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James Sutton is a member of the following lists: English television actors, 1983 births and English soap opera actors. Contribute. Help us build our profile of James Sutton! Login to add information, pictures and relationships, join in discussions and get credit for your contributions. James Sutton is dating Rachael Collin. James Sutton's former partners: James Sutton dated Catherine Tyldesley James Sutton is the former fiance of Kit Williams James Sutton dated Sammy Winward. James Sutton FameChain Links. Hollyoaks Cast. 2006. Other people in this association: Danniella Westbrook 2013. See all James Sutton's marriages, divorces, hookups, break ups, affairs, and dating relationships plus celebrity photos, latest James Sutton news, gossip, and biography. James Sutton is currently single. He has been in one celebrity relationship averaging less than one year. He has never been married. Sutton has 3 kids with her ex-husband, Christian Stracke. As of 2020, her daughter, Porter was 17 years old and her sons Philip was 15 & James was 12. Also, Sutton owned kitties that appeared on her Instagram from time to time. Similar – Brittany Pattakos Wiki, Age, Net Worth, Paul Nassif, Parents. Sutton Stracke Dating, Boyfriend As of 2020, James Sutton is dating Kit Williams. RELATIONSHIP DETAILS BELOW ⤵ James Sutton is an English actor, best known for playing John Paul McQueen in the British Channel 4 soap opera Hollyoaks and Ryan Lamb in the ITV soap opera Emmerdale. Hollyoaks star James Sutton has announced he's set to wed his long-term girlfriend Kit Williams. The actor, who plays John Paul McQueen in the soap, popped the question to blonde beauty Kit while ...
Housewife highlights/Daily shit talk - August 27th, 2020
2020.08.27 14:30 readingrachelxHousewife highlights/Daily shit talk - August 27th, 2020
Rachel Uchitel floated as Dorinda Medley’s replacement on ‘RHONY’ (Page Six Exclusive) "Could Rachel Uchitel replace Dorinda Medley on “The Real Housewives of New York City?” Page Six has learned that the colorful socialite — who shot to fame as one of Tiger Woods’ many mistresses — was “on the shortlist” to join the Bravo show last season, but producers plumped for Leah McSweeney instead. And now that Medley’s been axed after six seasons, we’re told there’s renewed effort to get her on the cast. An insider told us that Uchitel’s keen to land the gig, and listed her qualifications: “She’s linked to New York — growing up here, and [she was] on the cover of the New York Post as ‘New York’s tragic face.’ ” (We published Uchitel’s picture with that headline on Sept. 14, 2001. In the shot, she holds up a missing person flyer for her banker fiancé, James Andrew O’Grady, who died in the World Trade Center on 9/11. Uchitel also appeared on Page 1 of The Post a number of times during the Woods scandal.) Meanwhile, they said that — as Page Six has previously reported — she’s been linked to “Real Housewives” lothario Harry Dubin, who has famously dated cast members Sonja Morgan, Ramona Singer and Luann de Lesseps, and was married to former cast member Aviva Drescher. Plus, they said, that Uchitel (bonus gossip alert!) dated Paul “PK” Kemsley of “The Real Housewives of Beverly Hills” for a year, right before he got together with wife Dorit. A Bravo rep denied that they’re considering her to replace Medley, but appeared to acknowledge that she’s previously been in talks to join the show. When we asked Uchitel if she was joining the show, she wrote to us, “News to me!” and a winking emoji."
D’Andra Simmons says ‘RHOD’ will address Brandi Redmond’s racist video ‘head on’ (Page Six) "The next season of “Real Housewives of Dallas” will address some of the cast’s racist remarks, according to star D’Andra Simmons. Simmons, 50, told Page Six of Redmond’s scandal, “We will address that first thing head on. I think that’s very important for the show. We can’t just sweep it under the rug, especially since it was such a big deal for people and they were very upset about it.” The Hard Night Good Morning CEO implied that some other conversations surrounding race — aside from Redmond’s remarks — will take place on the upcoming season, which is currently in its last weeks of filming. “I can’t really talk about the other cast members, but there’s another reason why we had to do that, as well,” she said. “You’ll have to wait and see [what that is].” Simmons said in regards to Locken’s insensitive remarks from Season 4 about her co-star Kary Brittingham’s Mexican heritage, the cast doesn’t “really talk about that” this season since Locken, 53, is no longer on the show. Conversations about race will not only be a focal point on “RHOD,” but also in “My Brothers’ Crossing,” a film Simmons co-produced with her husband, Jeremy Lock, a former photojournalist." (more in article)
NeNe Leakes deletes Instagram over rumors of return to ‘RHOA’ (Page Six) "Nene Leakes has deleted her Instagram account after routinely being asked by fans whether she’ll return for Season 13 of Bravo’s “Real Housewives of Atlanta.” There’s been buzz about Leakes’ contract negotiations to return. Sources have said she’s been holding out for a bigger payday, but Bravo might add fresh faces instead."
Former Real Housewives of Sydney star Krissy Marsh says the drama on the show 'wasn't scripted' and that producers were shocked by how nasty and toxic the cast were (Daily Mail/Back from Reality Podcast) "The Real Housewives of Sydney was infamously dubbed 'too extreme' to air in the US. And in a new interview, cast member Krissy Marsh claims that not only was the drama not scripted, but that producers were blindsided by how nasty the cast turned out to be. Speaking to the Back From Reality podcast, the 48-year-old said: 'I don't think even the producers knew what they were getting.' She added: 'I don't think they realised how crazy and how nasty some of these women were.' The former reality star said that none of the drama was fake, and that producers didn't even need to encourage anybody to drink because the women 'were getting drunk on our own accord'. Krissy said that things got so nasty and vicious at one point that she quit the show during filming to try and protect her family. Krissy revealed that she rallied some of the other cast members together and that they all walked out on a scheduled promotional shoot for the show until producers agreed to remove a potentially defamatory scene from the series. 'They had no option but to basically cut out and write out what had been said that night,' she said. While Krissy declined to reveal what exactly was said, she said it was much worse than the drama that viewers saw on screen and that it was something that could've affected her children. She added that the mystery castmate that said the remark about her family was 'not of sound mind'."
Real Housewives' Gizelle Bryant 'disturbed for days' by Candiace and Monique 'brawl' (Daily Star UK exclusive) "Speaking exclusively to Daily Star Online, Gizelle, 49, revealed just how shell-shocked she was about the alleged incident. The mum-of-three told us: "I was completely shocked, I was disturbed for days afterwards. "When we film we have real emotion but we always have found a way for things not to escalate to that level and for it to get there was never something that I thought would happen, so I wasn't happy." She continued: "But it allowed us, on the other side of it, to really have some good discussions about who and what we are as black women in this country, and what we represent. "So if there's any silver lining, it's that we were able to talk about what matters and to kind of hold ourselves up to a level that we're proud of." Re: the men of Potomac getting involved in the franchise, Gizelle laughed: "I think they want to hold a champagne glass [in the opening credits], I think they want to be Housewives! I really don't understand it. And we see more of that this season as well." The beauty joked that she would "co-sign" the decision if producers were to make Michael a featured Housewife in the opening credits, adding: "Michael gets into more trouble than anyone else," Gizelle told us. "Michael gets into all kinds of nonsense. "I don't really know how it was handled between he and Ashley because they have their own personal things, I wasn't there, so I'm curious to see those things just as much as everyone else is." But she teased big things to come, as she cryptically finished: "Michael Darby at our season finale, he stole the show."
Former Black Female TV Execs Launch New Production Company For Diverse Storytelling (Forbes) "Lauren Grace Media, a new production company helmed by two veteran reality television executives, has entered the discussion with a clear mission: To tell diverse stories that people of color can relate to. The company is owned and operated by Dorothy Toran, a former producer for Bravo’s The Real Housewives of New Jersey, and Leslie Farrell, a former vice president of production at NBCUniversal and Bravo Media. “I had been on Jersey Housewives for six or seven years,” says Toran, now president and executive producer of Lauren Grace Media. “Just like everything else, it had been a wonderful experience, but you always get to a point when you are doing something for a really long time and you hit a wall creatively and want to explore what's next. I really wanted to be able to tell stories that I wanted to tell.” But the duo’s professional history has certainly come in handy: Their first project, a 90-minute special titled Race in America: A Movement Not a Moment, aired on Bravo TV, Toran and Farrell’s former company, earlier this month. The special features an in-depth discussion on issues of racism between reality stars including Kandi Burruss and Gizelle Bryant, who weighed in with their personal experiences. “When you think of people who are wealthier than you, famous, or celebrities on television, you think that their life is different,” says Farrell, senior vice president of development and executive producer of Lauren Grace Media. “But what I think that Race in America really showed is, as a Black person in this country, it doesn't matter what echelon you are on. We all share these experiences because racism is systemic.” (more in article)
2020.08.12 11:55 qldmaroon7Match Thread: Western Sydney Wanderers vs Melbourne Victory (2019-20 A-League - The PPF/The 27 in 34)
WESTERN SYDNEY WANDERERS2-1MELBOURNE VICTORY Western Sydney Wanderers Goalscorers: Pirmin Schwegler (34'), Jordan O'Doherty (62') Melbourne Victory Goalscorers: Andrew Nabbout (66') Competition: 2019/20 Hyundai A-League Regular Season (The PPF/The 27 in 34) Venue: Bankwest Stadium, Sydney, NSW Date: Wednesday, August 12th, 2020 Kickoff: 8:10pm AEST Referee: Ben Abraham Attendance: 1,118 (Capacity: 30,000 - COVID Capacity: 7,500) TV Broadcast: Fox Sports 507 (AUS) & Sky Sport 7 (NZ) Streams: Kayo Sports & My Football Live App Matchtracker Link:Fox Sports Post-COVID League Form Guide WESTERN SYDNEYDWLLLast Match: 3-5 "@" Western United MELBOURNE VICTORYLLLWLast Match: 4-0 "@" Perth Glory Last Time They Met:MVC1-2WSWOctober 18th, 2019 Ladder Positions:9thvs10th Lineups(note: both sides allowed to make up to five substitutions) WESTERN SYDNEY WANDERERS
Commentary -15' With the top six locked in (barring a massive Western United collapse), only end of season pride will be on the line as the Western Sydney Wanderers host the Melbourne Victory in the second match of this Bankwest Stadium double-header. The Victory are coming off a 4-0 demolition of Perth Glory to end a three-match losing streak, while the Wanderers lost 5-3 in an entertaining match against Western United last time out. -3' Teams are out on the pitch. 1' Somehow ahead of schedule, the match gets underway. 9' Jurman picks up the ball outside the area and he tries to chip Acton, who scrambles back to tip it over the crossbar for a corner. 20' Matt Jurman goes into the book after a high boot challenge. 22' Cordier goes into the book for bringing down Roux. 26' Lawrie-Lattanzio bursts through the middle of midfield. He takes the shot from outside the box, but Prendergast easily saves it. 28' Duke takes advantage of a mistake from the Victory. He tries a shot with the outside of his foot from long range, but it misses by an absolute mile. 30' Schwegler goes into the book for dragging back Kamsoba. 32' Lawrie-Lattanzio is booked for a poor challenge on Baccus. 34' Duke puts in a measured ball to the top of the area. Cox tries to score with a header from outside the box, but Acton makes the save. 34'WSW1-0MVCGOAL - Schwegler gets set up by Cox before shooting from outside the box and getting it past Acton. He gets on the scoresheet in his final match. 38' Duke sends the ball towards the back post. Cordier meets it on the volley, but it rolls into Acton's arms. 45' There will be one minute of added time. HTWESTERN SYDNEY WANDERERS1-0MELBOURNE VICTORY 46' The second half gets underway. 49' Aaron Anderson becomes the latest player to be booked tonight. 54' Double changes for both sides, with the Wanderers changing Jurman for Mourdoukoutas, 54' And Simon Cox for Mohamed Adam. 54' Meanwhile, the Victory take off Storm Roux for Migjen Basha. 54' And Elvis Kamsoba won't be adding another goal this season. He comes off for Lleyton Brooks. 62'WSW2-0MVCGOAL - Duke crosses it in to O'Doherty, who gets his shot past Acton and the Wanderers double their advantage. 66'WSW2-1MVCGOAL - Nabbout pulls one back with a great strike in his final match for the Victory. There may have been some doubts about the potential offside, but replays show that McGowan seems to play the Glory-bound attacker onside. 71' Another double change for the home side, with Pirmin Schwegler coming off for the final time in his career, to be replaced by Nick Sullivan. 71' And Bruce Kamau is on in place of Tate Russell. 74' Brandon Lauton comes on in place of Luis Lawrie-Lattanzio. 82' Kostandinos Grozos replaces goalscorer Jordan O'Doherty in what will be the Wanderers' final substitution of the season. 87' Victory's two final changes of the season see Birkan Kirdar come off for Joshua Varga. 87' And Adama Traore makes way for So Nishikawa. Nabbout will stay on for the full ninety minutes - plenty of time to add to his 21 offsides for the season. 90' The Victory will have four minutes of stoppage time to try and find an equaliser. 90+1' Kamau makes a run into the box, only to be brought down by Nishikawa. The referee decides to play on, although it looked like he should've pointed to the spot instead. FTWESTERN SYDNEY WANDERERS2-1MELBOURNE VICTORY
2020.07.29 11:14 qldmaroon7Match Thread: Melbourne Victory vs Brisbane Roar (2019/20 A-League - The PPF/The 27 in 34)
MELBOURNE VICTORY1-2BRISBANE ROAR Melbourne Victory Goalscorers: Andrew Nabbout (86' - P) Brisbane Roar Goalscorers: Scott McDonald (56'), Matthew Ridenton (78') Competition: 2019/20 Hyundai A-League Regular Season (The PPF/The 27 in 34) Venue: Bankwest Stadium, Sydney, NSW Date: Wednesday, July 29th, 2020 Kickoff: 7:30pm AEST Referee: Alex King Attendance: No spectators permitted (Capacity: 30,000 - COVID Capacity: 7,500) TV Broadcast: Fox Sports 507 (AUS) & Sky Sport 7 (NZ) Streams: Kayo Sports & My Football Live App Matchtracker Link:Fox Sports Post-COVID League Form Guide MELBOURNE VICTORYLLast Match: 1-2 vs Western United BRISBANELLast Match: 0-1 vs Adelaide United Last Time They Met:BRI0-1MVCOctober 25th, 2019 Ladder Positions:10thvs4th Lineups(note: both sides allowed to make up to five substitutions) MELBOURNE VICTORY
Commentary -15' The A-League carnival rolls on as the Melbourne Victory play the Brisbane Roar at Bankwest Stadium. Both sides are coming off losses and looking to rebound with a win. Probably an important match - although Fox seems to be promoting Speed vs Bosnich more prominently. -2' Teams are on their way out. 1' The Victory get the first half underway. 3' Lawrie-Lattanzio evades a couple of defenders before attempting a shot on the turn, but it goes harmlessly wide of the target. 12' Hingert picks up a yellow card for his late challenge on Lawrie-Lattanzio. 15' A loose ball falls for Anderson in the penalty area, but his hurried shot is blocked by the Roar defence. 16' McDonald gets the ball to O'Shea, who unleashes a pearler from outside the penalty area - the shot looks destined for the top right corner, but Acton pulls off a magnificent save. 21' Nabbout takes the free-kick from long range, but his shot goes well over the crossbar. 21' A deflection off the Brisbane defence falls straight at the feet of Roux - the defender unleashes a powerful shot, but Young gets enough on the ball to direct it into the crossbar. 27' A break in play with Adama Traore on the turf and requiring medical assistance. He soon gets up on his feet and seems ready to continue. 34' Rojas gets on the end of a long ball and attempts to chip it over Young, but there's too much weight on his effort, which lands on top of the net. 42' Inman pulls the trigger from just inside the penalty area - his shot beats Acton, but just goes wide. 45' Inman attempts to set up Wenzel-Halls with the goalmouth wide open, but there's too much on the pass and it's a missed opportunity. 45' There will be one minute of additional time played. HTMELBOURNE VICTORY0-0BRISBANE ROAR 46' The Victory make the first substitution of the match with Birkan Kirdar making way for Josh Hope. 46' Brisbane kick-off the second half. 56' Victory's second change sees Elvis Kamsoba come on to replace Luis Lawrie-Lattanzio. 56'MVC0-1BRIGOAL - From basically a standing start, Inman delivers a wonderful cross from the right towards McDonald, who leaps into the air and gets a powerful header away - the ball takes a deflection and Acton is unable to keep it out. 70' Looks like the Victory won't be making all five subs, as Adama Traore comes of for So Nishikawa, using up the last of the Victory's three sub-windows. 72' A first booking for the Victory with Jay Barnett handed a card for his late challenge. 73' Brisbane make their first change with Dylan Wenzel-Halls leaving the field for Matt Ridenton. 74' Does half-time not count as a window? Jay Barnett makes way for Anthony Lesiotis. 78'MVC0-2BRIGOAL - A sublime cross in from the left from Brown puts the ball right on the head of Ridenton, who blasts his header past a despairing Acton. 84' Fresh legs for Brisbane with Aaron Amadi-Holloway coming on on for Danny Kim. 85'PENALTY - Nabbout is brought down in the box and he will step up to the spot to try and give the Victory some late hope. 86'MVC1-2BRIGOAL - Nabbout sends Young the wrong way and drives his penalty into the bottom left corner - there's life in this match yet. 87' The Brisbane players are pleading for a penalty as Hingert is brought down by Nishikawa in the area, but the referee is quick to deny their pleas. 90' Nabbout gets in between two Brisbane defenders and almost makes it two in quick succession, but he can't keep his header on target. 90' We will have four minutes of added time. 90+3' Nabbout fires a shot that sends Young diving to his right to keep the ball out. FTMELBOURNE VICTORY1-2BRISBANE ROAR
2020.07.06 18:50 MikeTysonChickenr/NFL Top 100 Players of the 2019 Season - #10-6
Welcome to the reveal for players ranked 10-6 for this year’s NFL Top 100 Players for the 2019 Season!
Players whose average rank had them land in places 10-6 are on this portion of the list revealed today. Players are associated with the team they finished 2019 with. Below you will see write-ups from rankers summarizing the players' 2019 season and why they were among the best in 2019. Stats for each player are from this season and are included below. Additionally, their previous ranks in this long running series are also available for all of you. Methodology LINK TO THE HUB POST WITH A MORE DETAILED DESCRIPTION OF THE METHODOLOGY
Rankers for each team nominated players to rank. 10 Games Played Minimum Threshold. Players are associated with the team they finished the 2019 Season with.
The Grind. Utilize ranking threads for individual rankers broken up by positional group. Users were tasked with ranking players within the following tiers based on their evaluation: T-25, T-50, T-100, T-125 based on 2019 regular season only. There were no individual case threads. There were no arbitrary position limit caps. Just questions and rankings.
Users submitted their individual Top 125 list. Ranking out to 125 is new for this year.
User lists were reviewed for outliers by me with assistance from two former rankers. Users were permitted to correct any mistakes found. Once complete, lists were locked.
Reveal the list… right now.
So now, without further ado, here are the players ranked 10-6 in the NFL Top 100 Players of the 2019 Season!
#10 - Tre’Davious White - Cornerback - Buffalo Bills
Written By:jiggs_ Introduction Even in high school, it was obvious that Tre'Davious White was bound to be the greatest at his position. In fact, in his entire high school career he never gave up a single goal. I am, of course, referring to White's hockey career. In fact, looking just at the numbers, Tre White isn't just good, he is the greatest goalie in the entire state of Louisiana. Coming out of the Tre White Goalie Academy, many thought he would have chosen to be a hockey player, but luckily for the NHL he decided that football was where he truly belonged. Look, I know I just wasted a paragraph of an important top-10 writeup to get a pity laugh (pls?) from you all, but I think it's important to understand that the Buffalo Bills have never been an organization with a player like Tre White. The players that join the Bills are usually guys who keep their heads down and (try to) do their jobs well. Hell, the most exciting thing our players did in the decade before Tre White is dance in an Applebee's. And that's fine, if you're winning, but when you lose for so long I almost feel I'm missing a big part of the NFL fandom experience because they are all just so… boring. And it feels almost directly opposite of the fan experience that we have. Bills Mafia is outspoken and, quite honestly, batshit insane, so it would be nice to have a player who without question shows that football in Buffalo is more than just hard work, it's fucking fun. So please excuse me for wanting to make sure that White's personality (and his ability to perfectly emulate the voice of Vontae Davis) is being showcased just as much as his ability as a top corner in the NFL. The 2019 Season Now let's get down to the facts, because what is PFFs SIXTEENTH ranked cornerback doing in our top ten? Tre'Davious White allowed a 46.3 Passer Rating when targeted (2nd only behind JC Jackson), had six interceptions (tied-1st in NFL among qualified CBs), and allowed zero touchdowns all season (1st place, obviously). Tre White hardly ever gives up a big play, but if he does he sure as hell isn't going to let you in the endzone. Limiting touchdowns on big plays gives way for the Bills to make stops and force crucial field goals which kept our subpar offense in games. To add on top of the discussed stats above, Tre White also spent much of his time shadowing top receivers, which makes his stat sheet even more incredible. It also makes the ranking given by PFF even more baffling, considering we pull all of our stats from THEIR SITE. But I digress. Tre White is technically a zone cornerback, but the Bills smartly use him quite a bit to cover top receivers in a fairly convoluted match zone scheme (along with running man coverage a decent amount of time, as well). Here are some notable PFF shadow coverage stats for Tre White. Against OBJ he gave up only three catches on ten targets for 27 yards, effectively shutting down the Browns' top passing threat for the entire game. He also shadowed Courtland Sutton (1/7, 27Yds), Terry McLaurin (3/4, 27Yds), and Amari Cooper (3/6, 37Yds). These aren't only good players, they are great players. Many actually found themselves on this very list, and most had their worst game of the season up against Tre White. Lastly, my favorite stat among all of this was posted by Warren Sharp a couple months ago, when he said “Since 2006, White is the only player to lead the NFL in interceptions without allowing a single TD. 2019: 6 INTs, 2 forced fumbles, 4 tackles for loss. He just turned 25.” A truly mind-blowing stat, considering the last one to do this was future HOFer Champ Bailey. Now I think I will showcase some film work of guys who have gone through more time and effort to make a logical breakdown of some of Tre White's best plays/games. First, we have Baldy's Breakdowns. Ignoring the god awful film quality, Baldy does a fairly good job of highlighting some of the stuff that Tre White did to cool off a red hot Courtland Sutton. It's not super detailed work, but studying CBs isn't exactly the most glamorous thing. Next, we have an (admittedly long) breakdown of just about every aspect of Tre's game. As usual with these smaller accounts, I was pleasantly surprised at the quality of the film work here. Tre White's anticipation, in particular, stands out constantly on film and shows just how much work he puts in preparing before every game to know every route he will see. Lastly, I will link the NFL Turning Point from this year. This one is obviously leaving out the fact that it's against Duck Hodges, but it should not discount how fantastic Tre White played throughout the whole game. In particular, his interception against James Washington is of note as some fantastic technique against a double move. In summation, Gilmore and White were head and shoulders above the other CBs this season, so seeing them both in the top 10 was no surprise. I do think Tre White has a legitimate case for CB1 of 2019, but it's tough to argue against the DPOY and not sound like a homer. Legacy Tre'Davious White is 25 years old. We just (obviously) took his fifth year option and I fully expect the Bills to offer him CB1 money. A cornerback like Tre White is not only fantastic for every scheme in the NFL, but even moreso under McDermott in particular. Our zone bilitz scheme (reminiscent of Jimmie Johnson), needs top tier talent in coverage to make up for the relatively simple zone structure that a good QB can use against the defense if not disguised properly. Being able to place a top receiver on an island in any scheme is a luxury that does not come around often, and to have someone doing that at 25 is even more insane. Therefore, I truly believe we are witnessing a hall of fame career that has blossomed right before our eyes, and it is truly a treat to watch him work every week. Not to mention all of the dance moves I have since been able to master thanks to watching the master himself.
Written By:schmatz17 Introduction Step aside J.J there is a new Watt brother in-charge. The former Wisconsin product originally came to college as a Tight End prospect but made the transition to the defensive side of the ball in 2015. After an incredible 2016 season Watt found himself in the discussion of first-round edge rusher prospects, but due to his rawness at the position fell all the way to pick #30 (Sorry Packers fans) to the Pittsburgh Steelers. Since then the Steelers haven’t thought twice about selecting Watt who has quickly developed into one of the league’s most dominant figures on the edge. TJ Watt’s presence on the Steelers defense has been immense, as the Steelers have led the league in sacks per game over each of the three years since he entered the league. This past season we saw the Steelers defense return to the days of the Steel Curtain and nearly carry the league’s worst offense into the playoffs. The 2019 Season
Tackles for Loss
At first glance at T.J Watt’s statistics from last year, it is easy to see why he was a finalist for the NFL’s Defensive Player of the Year award and selected as the teams 2019 MVP. Watt’s impressive ability to rush the passer helped the Steelers claim the third-ranked pass defense, as well as, the fifth-best defense in terms of total yardage. In a season filled with some of the dullest offensive play the NFL may have ever seen, the new era of the Steel Curtain was able to create enough turnovers to keep this team in the playoff hunt, much to the credit of T.J. Watts NFL leading 8 fumbles (most in Steelers history) and 36 QB hits helping to force bad passes (2019 highlights). It felt as though in each and every game Watt was consistently making plays and disrupting the offense, with a statistical season that rivals Aaron Donalds 2017 DPOY campaign. Although Watt ultimately did not win the 2019 DPOY award, he was the only player since 1993 to have 10+ sacks, 5 FFs, 3 FRs, and 2 INTs in a single season, and captured his second straight Pro Bowl, 1st team All-Pro honors (edge rusher), and 2nd team All-Pro honors (as a linebacker). Overall, despite a disappointing season for the Pittsburgh Steelers as a whole, the 2019 season gave us a peek into what this Steelers team can look like in 2020. With a healthy Ben Rothlisberger and Stephan Tuitt, the Pittsburgh Steelers could find themselves back in the playoffs in 2020, and perhaps help Watt claim a much deserved DPOY award to add to the Watt family trophy hall. Watt’s energy and leadership on and off the field will help usher in a new era of Steel Curtain defenses for years to come. Legacy Entering his fourth season in the league Watt is looking to live up to his brother J.J.’s (sorry Dereck) status as one of the elite pass rushers in history, and to further solidify himself as one of the Steelers All-Time great defenders. Ever since the James Harrisons 2012 season, the Steelers have been hunting for an elite pass-rushing presence, with likes of Jason Worilds, Jarvis Jones, and Arthur Moats failing to live up to expectations, it seems as though they have found their answer in Watt. Watt has been simply put exceptional in his first three seasons and might just be the best Edge defender in all of football. I fully expect T.J’s name to be in next season DPOY race and for it to be back at the top of this ranking. The Steelers 2017 draft class might have been too good with the likes of T.J Watt (All-Pro), Juju (Pro Bowl), Cam Sutton (solid player), and James Conner (Pro Bowl) all up for extensions this season, it hard to imagine the Steelers not losing some key pieces this offseason especially with Watt expecting to cash in big time. However, it’s not often that an NFL team lets a young top talent walk, so I fully expect Watt to return on a record-setting contract and to continue to solidify himself as a top NFL defender, and one of the Steelers legends.
#8 - George Kittle - Tight End - San Francisco 49ers
Written By:scmsf49 Introduction At this point, anyone who watches football more than a few times a year knows who George Kittle is. The 146th overall pick of the 2017 draft made it known last year that he’s not only the best player in the league at his position- he’s one of the best players in the NFL at any position. He doubled down this season, though missing a few games and playing injured in others might lead someone glancing at his numbers to believe it was a down season. The next paragraph will clear that up, but there’s an ongoing discussion about George Kittle right now that deserves to be brought up, and everyone who’s been refreshing the sub for news these last few months knows that that discussion pertains to his next contract. Kittle likely aims to, and deserves to absolutely shatter the tight end market. $11 million a season is downright disrespectful for a player who does more for the 49ers offense than any non-quarterback does for any offense, and it’ll be interesting to see what the eventual price tag is, especially when you compound his situation with whatever the hell is going to happen with the salary cap because of lost ticket revenue. 2019 George Kittle’s box score statistics don’t properly tell the story of his season (and they likely never will), but there are two numbers that do a pretty good job of putting his year into perspective. Kittle had 3.11 yards per route run. No other player, wide receivers included, broke the 3.0 barrier in 2019, and Julio Jones is the only player in the last decade to top 3.11. The other is the 49ers’ yards per carry in the run game. For the 2 games Kittle missed, the 49ers averaged 2.6 yards per carry on the ground. That number was 4.8 in the 14 he played. Kittle was an elite receiver, producing more per route than anyone else in the NFL, and he was an elite blocker, paving the way for one of the league’s best rushing attacks, which in turn helped set up the 49ers’ dominant play action. Kittle is a key cog in every single dimension of the offense. For the 2019 season, PFF awarded Kittle with their Dwight Stevenson award, given to the best player in a given season regardless of position.This is typically reserved for JJ Watt or Aaron Donald, and Kittle is actually only the 2nd offensive player to ever win the award after Tom Brady. His 2019 season was also the highest graded tight end season of the PFF era by a full 3 points. Some of Kittle’s notable blocks of the season include that time he destroyed Clay Matthews, and the the murder of a Falcon in a game where Kittle caught 11 passes and was essentially the team’s entire offense. The blocking is incredibly necessary and can be really entertaining to watch, but most people want to see crazy catches, and Kittle also delivers there, like when he somehow managed to get his feet down in the end zone against the Rams. Staying in the division, here’s a ridiculous catch and run on an injured ankle against the Cardinals. No discussion of Kittle’s 2019 is complete without the play of the year in the game of the year. Kittle is incredibly dangerous with the ball in his hands, he made that extremely apparent last season when he broke the record for yards after the catch - not for tight ends, for everyone. Sometimes, though, he doesn’t need to dodge defenders or make contested grabs. Occasionally it’s really, really easy. Bonus highlight: Kittle even finds time to make sure his QB stays safe. Legacy/Future There’s not really a ton to say about a third year player’s legacy. He’s been a top 10 player for two consecutive seasons and figures to continue doing that for years to come. Some 49ers fans might be (justifiably) terrified that the team will treat his contract negotiation like he’s just another tight end and not an elite offensive weapon, and the team does not have the luxury to trade Kittle like they did with Buckner, we don’t have a bunch of elite skill position offensive players sitting around to help offset a loss like that that would probably take the 49ers out of contention. Kittle’s contract situation, like any top 10 player, is a major storyline to watch for the next few months.
#7 - Patrick Mahomes - Quarterback - Kansas City Chiefs
Written By:DTSportsNow Intro: Patrick Lavon Mahomes II, quarterback for the Kansas City Chiefs, third season of his career but just his second starting. Already an NFL MVP, record holder, and savior of a franchise. Soon to be awarded the richest contract in NFL history and it may still be an understatement to what Mahomes has already done for this team. Despite all that 2019 didn't come without trouble. At one moment it seemed like his season could be lost for the year, and perhaps the trajectory of his whole career could change. But this is Mahomes we're talking about. He wouldn't go down without a fight, and so this is the story of Patrick Mahomes in 2019. Coming off an MVP campaign that saw Patrick Mahomes and crew fall tragically short of a Super Bowl appearance expectations were expectantly high. With the vulnerable Bob Sutton and his defence cast out of Kansas City, fans let their expectations fly as many had held back before the previous season. Talk of a potential 19-0 campaign was brought up by a number of fans, and how could you blame them? The Magic Man Mahomes had come in and brought the team to new heights not seen since long before many had even been born. 5,097 passing yards and 50 touchdowns were new season records for the Kansas City Chiefs, and would have been for a number of teams in the league. How would he follow it up? Chiefs Kingdom was dying to know. 2019 Season: It was a season that began much like it had the previous, 1,195 passing yards and 10 touchdowns, it was hard not to believe Mahomes may be on the path to reach even new heights not seen in the entire league over. Already on the path to another 5,000+ yard and 50+ TD season, we'd already seen him do it once; could he do it again? Winning convincingly against Jacksonville, Oakland, and Baltimore, could those 19-0 dreams be coming true? He had suffered an ankle injury in the first week and otherwise appeared fine, but was he? Over the next three weeks the Chiefs scraped by the Detriot Lions and suffered bad losses against the Indianapolis Colts and the Houston Texans. Mahomes, ended his Chiefs record streak of throwing at least 2+ touchdown passes against the Lions, just one game short of tying the NFL record held by Peyton Manning. He also suffered another ankle injury against the Colts as backup left tackle Cameron Erving accidentally stepped on it getting pushed back. After that second ankle injury it was clear Mahomes looked off, his rating and completion percentages were down as his bad throw percentage went up. But that was the least of his problems. During week 7 on a QB sneak in the endzone Mahomes went down and had trouble getting back up. Replay showed his knee getting bent weirdly and everyone feared for the worst. A knee dislocation and any ligament damage could sideline him for the year. We'd later find out that it was a kneecap dislocation and that he season may not be over, but he'd still likely be out for some time. But again this is Mahomes, and he only missed the next two matchups. In his first game back Mahomes came out firing, 50 attempts were the most he'd throw for all season and one was a thing of beauty. Although the Chiefs lost the game Mahomes showed he was back and ready to continue the fight through the season. The Chiefs would not lose again for the rest of the year and through to the Super Bowl following that game. As Mahomes healed from his injuries he returned back to his former dominant self, finishing the last 4 games of the season as the 2nd highest graded QB. Despite his missed time and being hampered by injuries, Mahomes managed to finish the season with 4,031 yards, 26 touchdowns, and just 5 interceptions. A season that would be pretty good for an average QB. Legacy: What can you say about a QB who in two seasons won league MVP and Super Bowl MVP that hasn't already been said? With just those two season as a full time starter Mahomes has already cemented himself in NFL history, and is on a path like few have ever seen before. Despite being injury hampered through much of the 2019 season Mahomes again to be one of the best QBs in the league. Proving that even an 80% Mahomes is still better than a number of other QB's at 100%. What's crazy too is that Mahomes admitted he didn't fully understand how to read defenses until halfway through 2019.
"I didn't understand how to read defenses until, like, halfway through last year," he said. "I understood coverages, but being able to pick up little tendencies defenses do, stuff that Brady and them have done — I was just playing."
With another offseason to study and learn how far can Mahomes go? Has he already reached his peak? After his 2018 season Mahomes started to get a lot of comparisons to Dan Marino, who similarly threw for over 5,000 yards in his second season; but Marino never won a Super Bowl. Mahomes is in new territory of career trajectory. He's in control of his own legacy, and that legacy in the mind of Mahomes and Chiefs Kingdom is GOAT or bust.
#6 - Russell Wilson - Quarterback - Seattle Seahawks
Written By:MattyT7 Introduction I must confess, father, for I have sinned. I did not always believe in Christ. That all changed in 2012 when the Seahawks drafted Future’s eskimo brother and Future Jr.’s daddy, Russell “Jesus Christ himself in a 5’11 snack of a fuckin body” Wilson. Since he’s been in the league, all Russell Wilson has done is win. He holds the record for most wins by a quarterback in their first 7 seasons (75), has a career passer rating above 100, and like a hundred 4th quarter stats and records because Pete Carroll has a fetish for sending people into cardiac arrest. He’s also the first quarterback in NFL History with a winning record in each of his first eight seasons and PFF says he leads the NFL in big time throws since 2018, which is a big deal since we all know the PFF big time throws stat is THE way to measure a quarterback. Very cool Russell! The 2019 Season Russell “clearly the hotter part of his relationship” Wilson was pretty damn good in 2019. NBC Sports kindly put together this handy list of the milestones and records Russ accomplished this past season. Spoiler alert, there’s a lot. The season began with more of what we’re used to from #3; putting Seattle entirely on his back. From handling the Steelers with a 300 yard/3 TD game in week 2 to throwing four touchdowns (including this absolute dime with a great catch from Lockett) en route to taking down the Rams, Russ was largely tasked with overcoming slow starts throughout the season with the teams stout commitment to the run game. Still, though, Russell Wilson delivered time and time again. Even in the loss to the Saints in week 3 where the deficit was simply too large to overcome, Russ “the Trouserhammer” Wilson threw for over 400 yards and scored 4 total touchdowns in the only game of the season where he threw 50 passes. The second loss of the season came at the hands of the Llama himself, a game in which the Trouserhammer threw his first interception of the season… in week 7. This midseason stretch saw a 5 game winning streak with wins against 3 playoff-bound teams in the Eagles, the Vikings, and the 49ers. Oh, and not to mention his 378/5 TD performance against Captain LASIK and the Buccaneers. The Seahawks would go 1-3 on the final four games of the season, but that didn’t stop the ol’ Trouserhammer from putting up a season stat line of 4,110 yards and 31 touchdowns to only 5 interceptions with a 66.1 completion percentage. He also added another 342 yards and 3 touchdowns on the ground. In the 2019 season, we saw a lot more of that beautiful touch Russ makes to put the ball right in his receivers hands. We saw a lot of the magic he is capable of. This season also saw Russell deal with yet another poor year of offensive line play. Here’s the Trouserhammer managing to throw a dime on a trick play with turnstile Joey Hunt at center. The defense lost legend Earl Thomas. Doug Baldwin retired. And Russell “OG Mula Savage 420” Wilson went out and played the best football of his career. A major development in 2019 was the drafting and progress of rookie wide receiver DK Metcalf. Russell established a pretty immediate rapport with DK en route to a 900 yard 7 touchdown rookie season (and a 160 yard 1 touchdown performance in his first career playoff game). Wilson and Metcalf have been training throughout the offseason, and if DK continues to grow and thrive, we could see some EVEN BETTER football from the Trouserhammer. Not to mention he's an absolute smokeshow Legacy All Russell Wilson does is win, baby. He drags the Seahawks kicking and screaming to fourth quarter comebacks if that’s what it takes. After earning a Super Bowl ring in his second year in the league, Russell Wilson has genuinely grown and matured into a true, distinguished pocket quarterback with an impeccable escapability trait and knack to make magic happen. He has established himself as a true top 3 quarterback in the NFL and at 31 has plenty of time to dominate and earn some more rings. Who knows? He may even be able to nab a MVP vote someday on his journey to the Hall. Despite Pete Carroll’s belief in establishing a healthy run game, it would be a welcome change to see Seattle become if even just slightly more pass-happy, allowing the game to be in Russell’s hands throughout rather than forcing him to play hero in the second half. He has proven himself as an elite NFL quarterback and continuously put the city of Seattle on his big, manly, beautiful shoulders. Russell Wilson is my lord and savior. Russell Wilson is who I see when I close my eyes in bed late at night. Russell Wilson is the man I call daddy. And most importantly, Russell Wilson is one of the best players in the NFL.
If you are enrolled in the federal electoral division of Eden-Monaro, you will be required to vote in this by-election. The division of Eden-Monaro is located in NSW and covers areas surrounding the ACT, including both coastal and rural localities.
Issue of writ Thursday 28 May Postal vote applications open Monday 25 May Close of rolls 8pm AEST Thursday 4 June Close of nominations 12 midday AEST Tuesday 9 June Declaration of nominations 12 midday AEST Wednesday 10 June Early voting starts Monday 15 June Postal vote applications close 6pm AEST Wednesday 1 July By-election day Saturday 4 July Return of writ on or before Saturday 5 September
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2020.05.17 15:17 jcollywobbleWhich part of the UK produces the best footballers? (Experiment) (Part 1)
After taking inspiration from u/Mel0n_collie world cup thread, I’ve set up a similar experiment which I’m planning to simulate on Football Manager 2020 which has kept me busy over the last few weekends during lockdown. Hopefully, this experiment will provide the answer to the following questions: Which part of the UK produces the best footballers? Where do the real footballing hotbeds lie in the UK? What if the Premier League was split into 20 teams representing UK regions of equal population? Essentially, I’ve split up the UK into 20 equal(ish) geographical regions, with the idea being that each region has a team made up of players born in that region. I’ve used this website which shows the population of each county, I then calculated that each team should be made up of players from a region of 3.26m people (65.171m/20). Teams are filled up with whole counties, except for Greater London which has been split up into 3 regions due to having around 9m people in total. Note:Due to the diversity of the county populations and the challenges of geographically dividing the UK, some teams have slightly more/less than the aforementioned 3.26m people. Split of Counties into Teams https://preview.redd.it/2ney8b7fobz41.png?width=777&format=png&auto=webp&s=664a8a135dc29363406a819c89c296d339db1934 Here we have it, the 20 regions have been split up. Team 14 (Greater Manchester) have the smallest population but hopefully the produce of the academies of Premier League giants Man Utd and Man City will come to the fore. Team 7 has the largest population, but it remains to be seen whether this will translate into footballing ability just yet. I have also made some maps using my below-average paint skills to help visualise the split geographically. I picked each team using a database of players from Football Manager 2020. I extracted a list of players into excel and began manually allocating each player to a team based on their city of birth (according to FM). Ultimately, I ended up on a squad of 25 players for each team and have tried my best to allocate an even positional spread throughout each squad so that the AI managers aren’t forced to play any ridiculously attacking/defensive formations. Squads have been loosely picked around current ability, reputation and transfer value. Each team will be managed by a manager born from the region they are managing. I’ve allocated the manager with the highest reputation in each region according to FM to each team. This will add an extra element to the experiment and will be to interesting to see how much of an influence some of the better managers will have on their respective teams. I will be posting the teams in groups of 5 over 4 posts, I will also be running a predictions game when all the 20 teams have been released so keep an eye out for that. I will then be posting the results of the simulation and prediction game on the fifth and final post. Without further ado, I will reveal the first 5 teams one by one below in numerical order (I would also like some suggestions on team names for each region, as I am aware they’re not very creative!) __________ Team 1 – South-West - Cornwall, Devon, Dorset, Somerset – Population: 3,450,896.00 Media Prediction: 16th - Title Odds: 350-1 Manager – Darren Way (Plymouth, Plymouth U18) https://preview.redd.it/4ectj9vpobz41.png?width=510&format=png&auto=webp&s=2d967a07ea6011c4cf8ea7f6ac9a2ee83fc44d0e Likely Starting XI A region famous for Pasties, Cheese and Cider, the South West has brought to the nation many good things but unfortunately footballers (and managers) don’t seem to follow that trend. I had to search long and hard to find a manager that was born in this region. I eventually found Darren Way, who according to FM is the current Plymouth Argyle U18 Manager who recently had a spell in charge of League Two side Yeovil Town. Predicted to be in the bottom five come the end of the season, this squad seems like it will need a manager with a bit more experience to do anything of note. The squad lacks all round quality, especially fullbacks, lets hope Darren Way is impartial to a 3 at the back system. Stand out players include Leeds United defender Ben White who has had a great season in the championship this year, Tyrone Mings, who has recently won his first England caps and Austrian U20 capped Burnley striker Ashley Barnes who looks like the best attacking option in the side. Amongst the rest of the team, Scott Sinclair and Nathan Dyer look like they’ll occupy the flanks and will be hoping to re-ignite the success they both had together at Swansea back in the 2011/12 season. Jack Butland and John Ruddy will be competing for the number one shirt, who along with Tyrone Mings, share the squads total England caps (11) between them. The team also some exciting young talent in Ethan Ampadu and Xavier Amaechi, who are both currently learning their trade in the Bundesliga. Arguably the best player in the Championship this year to date, Ollie Watkins will be hopeful to add some more goals to his ever increasing tally. I am not hopeful for this team, considering the lack of top players and with the inexperienced Darren Way in charge but I’m hoping he can prove me wrong! __________ Team 2 – South-East - East Sussex, West Sussex, Kent – Population: 3,495,475 Media Prediction: 20th - Title Odds: 600-1 Manager: Lee Johnson (Newmarket, Bristol City) https://preview.redd.it/bxyum58xpbz41.png?width=539&format=png&auto=webp&s=290fe752211ad1ae898e9eb0fe2fffe16538aee1 Likely Starting XI Up next, we have the combined counties of Sussex and Kent, the South East of England. Taking the reigns is Lee Johnson, current Bristol City manager, who has done well in recent years in the championship. However, in terms of ability it doesn’t get much worse. The media have predicted them to be rock bottom at the end of the season and have offered odds of 600-1 for a title win for Lee Johnson’s men. The squad does boast the experience of Gareth Barry, who is the record all-time premier league appearance maker (653) and has also been capped 53 times by his country will be a frontrunner for captain duties. Sunderland ‘til I die fan favourite Jonny Williams makes an appearance in midfield along with Solly March who looks to be the most promising player in the final third. The goalkeeper spot looks to be an issue with not one of the three goalkeepers being the first-choice keeper in their respective championship club sides. However, the Brighton duo of Lewis Dunk and Adam Webster look to be a solid partnership at the back and will be hoping to limit the amount of shots at goal. With weaknesses in goal and up front, the media’s prediction is probably warranted, lack of goals looks to be a big worry with none of the forwards seeming to have top-level experience. I would be impressed with Lee Johnson if he could lead the South-East to safety with the resources at his disposal. __________ Team 3 – South Coast - Hampshire, Isle of Wight, Surrey – Population: 3,135,638 Media Prediction: 8th - Title Odds: 30-1 Manager: Neal Ardley (Epsom, Notts County) https://preview.redd.it/myk6l7clqbz41.png?width=617&format=png&auto=webp&s=863311423567a60bc3fd4beca94decfb9384bea3 Likely Starting 11 South Coast is managed by former Wimbledon and Watford winger Neal Ardley, current manager of National League side Notts County. Another manager who lacks top level experience will be hoping to make his mark at a higher level. This team has a bit of quality compared to the previous two and has plenty of premier league experience with a total of 10 players capped by their country. England Internationals Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain and Mason Mount have genuine quality in the midfield and will be hoping to create the supply for Danny Ings to grab plenty of goals. However, In defence, Calum Chambers is the stand out player out of an average bunch. Neil Etheridge, who qualifies for the Philippines by virtue of his Filipino mother will compete with Southampton number one, Alex McCarthy for the starting keeper spot. Described as a ‘fairly determined’ squad, South Coast have a lot of industry in the team with players like Matt Ritchie, James Ward-Prowse and Tom Cleverley and will be hoping that this translates on to the pitch with some good performances. The overall verdict in this squad is that they have enough ability and experience to finish the top half and could even push top four in my opinion. __________ Team 4 – South & West London - London Boroughs: Westminster, Kensington and Chelsea, Hammersmith and Fulham, Wandsworth, Islington, Camden, Brent, Ealing, Hounslow, Richmond upon Thames, Kingston upon Thames, Merton, Sutton, Croydon – Population: 3,369,408 Media Prediction: 6th - Title Odds: 9-1 Manager: Roy Hodgson (Croydon, Crystal Palace) https://preview.redd.it/yyb6xy0erbz41.png?width=580&format=png&auto=webp&s=dd158544449df1eb805284797573675ff88a4196 Likely Starting XI The first of the three London teams, which spans most of south and west London is managed by Crystal Palace’s Roy Hodgson. Roy has been a football manager since 1976 and has a wealth of experience to draw upon, including a four-year spell as manager of his country. Despite being at the ripe old age of 72, Roy isn’t the oldest manager in the league.. The squad, tipped by the media to finish 6th, is an exciting young squad with plenty of players tipped to be a big part of England’s future. Premier League loanees Freddie Woodman and Jamal Blackman (who is currently playing at Bristol Rovers on his 7th successive year out on loan from Chelsea) will compete for the starting keeping berth. Man Utd fullbacks Luke Shaw and Aaron Wan-Bissaka will almost certainly occupy their respective positions and will hope to offer an attacking outlet bombing on from their full back positions. One of England’s one cap wonder’s Steven Caulker, who currently plays for Turkish outfit Alanyaspor also makes an appearance in defence. In midfield, Declan Rice and Callum Hudson Odoi, both recently capped by England are the strengths which the team will rely on whilst fellow youngsters Ademola Lookman and Steven Alzate who has twice been capped for Colombia will also be looking to make an impact. In Attack, Euro 2016 hero Thomas Henry Alex (Hal) Robson-Kanu, Sone Aluko and Lewis Grabban will all fancy themselves to start. The youthful squad will bring a lot of pace and energy to the league and Roy Hodgson will be hoping for a top six finish at minimum. I think the squad has enough depth and quality to potentially go all the way. __________ Team 5 – East London - London Boroughs: City of London, Lambeth, Southwark, Tower Hamlets, Hackney, Bromley, Lewisham, Greenwich, Bexley, Havering, Barking and Dagenham, Newham– Population: 3,009,408 Media Prediction: 1st - Title Odds: 4-1 Manager: Chris Hughton (Forest Gate, Unemployed) https://preview.redd.it/5xjrm7rlrbz41.png?width=467&format=png&auto=webp&s=d8a8181cad75f86378130f0ca1dc0c49dc7f517d Likely Starting XI The Media’s favourites, made up of London Boroughs including and east of City of London is the 2nd smallest in terms of catchment area but certainly doesn’t lack quality. Ex-Brighton manager Chris Hughton is in the dug out and has a strong team which looks to have Premier League level quality all round apart from maybe in the goalkeeper position in which Fulham’s Marcus Bettinelli appears to be the likely candidate to start. An all premier league back four consisting of Nathaniel Clyne, Joe Gomez, Chris Smalling and Ryan Bertrand, share 74 England caps between them look to be solid partnership and will be hoping to keep as many clean sheets as possible in order to be in with a chance in the title race. Key man, Jadon Sancho, one of, if not the most exciting player in the league, will be hoping to chip in with as many goals and assists as possible from wherever Chris Hughton deploys him. Jadon has 14 goals and 15 assists in 21 starts this year in the Bundesliga and should be uncontrollable for some of the defences he will be up against . Talented Ruben Loftus-Cheek will be hoping to remain injury free throughout the season and make a good partnership with Jonjo Shelvey who will be looking to dictate play in the middle of the park. Bradley Dack, who according to FM is likely to play off Chelsea’s Tammy Abraham will be looking to provide enough chances for Tammy who should have enough with the level of creative quality surrounding him. Overall, A very strong team who will be hoping to keep Jadon Sancho injury free all season. Probably rightly favourites for the title, however, will face tough opposition from some of the teams yet to come… __________ That’s all for today folks, I hoped you enjoyed the concept and are looking forward to finding out the level of quality each of the remaining teams have in store. I’ll be posting the next five teams in the next post, so keep an eye out! Also let me know if i've potentially missed anyone or made any errors.
2020.04.06 14:37 KentuckyCandyTOP 100 PLAYERS OF THE LAST 30 YEARS
In a lockdown fuelled moment of complete boredom, I decided to list the Top 100 Nottingham Forest players of the last 30 years. Slightly arbitrary date, but that's when I first remember the team (I'm 35 now). Only rules were they have to have played at least 10 games for the club (sorry Darren Huckerby and Hugo Porfirio) and the inclusion is based on their time at Forest, not at other clubs (so Dean Saunders, good player previously, dog shit at Forest. Andrew Cole, the same). Here we go. There's some mildly controversial choices, I'm sure, but you have to remember we haven't been very good for about 25 years. Only omissions that might be worth a look are Paul Anderson, Gary Gardner (version 1.0), Marcus Tudgay, Terry Wilson, Kingsley Black? Fuck, the only decision is are they less shit than some of the inclusions. I feel the list must be fairly definitive because I literally went through all the squads from 1990-91 onward and the 100th spot was filled by our current squad. No culling was required. ADLENE GUEDIOURA ALAN ROGERS ALF-INGE HAALAND ANDY JOHNSON ANDY REID BEN BRERETON BEN OLSEN BEN OSBORN BILLY SHARP BRIAN LAWS BRICE SAMBA BRITT ASSOMBALONGA BRYAN ROY CHRIS BART-WILLIAMS CHRIS COHEN CHRIS GUNTER COLIN COOPER DARREN WARD DAVE BEASANT DAVID JOHNSON DAVID PHILLIPS DAVID PRUTTON DAVID VAUGHAN DES LYTTLE DES WALKER DEXTER BLACKSTOCK DORIUS DE VRIES DOUGIE FREEDMAN ERIC LICHAJ FRANZ CARR GARATH MCCLEARY GARETH WILLIAMS GARRY PARKER GARY CHARLES GARY CROSBY GONZALO JARA GRANT HOLT GREG CUNNINGHAM GUY MOUSSI HENRI LANSBURY IAN BRECKIN IAN WOAN JACK COLBACK JACK HOBBS JACK LESTER JAMAAL LASCELLES JAMES PERCH JERMAINE JENAS JIM BRENNAN JOAO CARVALHO JOE LOLLEY JOE WORRALL JOHN THOMPSON JON OLAV HJELDE JULIAN BENNETT JUNIOR AGOGO KARL DARLOW KELVIN WILSON KEVIN CAMPBELL KIERAN DOWELL KRIS COMMONS LARS BOHINEN LEE CAMP LEWIS GRABBAN LEWIS MCGUGAN LUKE CHAMBERS MARK CROSSLEY MARLON HAREWOOD MATTHIEU LOUIS-JEAN MATTY CASH MICHAEL DAWSON MICHAIL ANTONIO NATHAN TYSON NEIL WEBB NELSON OLIVEIRA NIGEL CLOUGH NIGEL JEMSON OLIVER BURKE PAUL GERRARD PAUL MCKENNA PIERRE VAN HOOIJDONK RADOSLAW MAJEWSKI RICCARDO SCIMECA ROBERT EARNSHAW ROY KEANE RYAN BERTRAND SAMBA SOW SCOTT GEMMILL STAN COLLYMORE STERN JOHN STEVE CHETTLE STEVE HODGE STEVE STONE STEVE SUTTON STUART PEARCE TEDDY SHERINGHAM THIERRY BONALAIR TIAGO SILVA TOBIAS FIGUEIREDO WES MORGAN Des Lyttle - lol.
2020.03.22 17:21 sayunclechrisUniquely Kentucky Ways to Beat the Corona Blues
With each passing day, the world in which we find ourselves is starting to look less and less like the life we lived a few short weeks ago. You know, that ‘normal’ life we took for granted, two weeks ago, before most of us gave a second thought to this virus. This invisible villain with a choke-hold on the world, filling our dreams, memes, and of all things, a Cardi B hook. As we all look at the prospect of an indefinite stay at home, our governor has called on us to unite as one Team KY. We are Team Kentucky. March is usually a time of celebration and excitement for Kentuckians. This March was going to be special, as both the Wildcats and Cardinals were poised to make deep runs in the postseason. March Madness is less of a slogan and more of a sacred way of life for us. Yet, we’ve been denied our natural rights as Kentuckians in the month of March. We haven’t even been allowed the opportunity to mourn the painful and unprecedented, for the most part, (I see you Sutton and Pitino) loss of what brings us so much joy. To outsiders, it seems both petty and boorish to mourn in the face of so much fear, sickness, -- and even death. How could we possibly think about basketball in such a time, when people are scared and suffering? We are Kentucky. We are unique. But we are more than bourbon and basketball, horse racing and hillbillies. Within this state permeates a culture that is a microcosm of what truly makes America great. Native Kentuckians can’t easily describe it to outsiders, but we all share that feeling that you get from seeing the early morning dew on fescue that they call bluegrass, or the fog rising like steam from within the valleys between the mountains we call home. So, as spring is just starting to burst forth through the budding trees all throughout the commonwealth, and the Easter lilies fighting through the frost, we too must find a way to blossom and rise through these unsure times. Considering that, I propose that we as the front lines of Team KY, the Kentuckians of reddit, put together a uniquely Kentucky guide to making the most of our time at home. Here are a few suggestions I came up with to get this remotely recorded, socially distanced party started. Basketball, duh. If the Kentucky Classics live streams and audio of this season are not enough to get you through this; and the Big Blue Sports Archive doesn’t appear to be fully up and running with digital downloads just yet, you can watch every full UK and/or UofL games available on YouTube. Whether Cards fans relive the 2013 National Championship or if the pain is too much and you’d rather go back to 1986, YouTube has you covered. Kentucky fans who want to relive the misery of the 1992 East Regional Final can watch the whole game from Pelfrey’s 3 to Grant Hill’s pass and Laettner’s dagger from the top of the key. Listen, if one of you watch all these games, make a playlist for everyone else and come back here to share it with the rest of us. With 159 games, this is a great start for Louisville fans, and all he shows is wins, wins, wins no matter what. And if you need to stretch your legs and practice your jump shot, I’ve seen, courtesy of the governor, that video H-O-R-S-E is a thing now. Grow a Garden Nothing says Kentucky Proud like having your own garden. With all the extra time at home, I bet this will be the year many Kentuckians follow in the footsteps of their parents and grandparents and plant a garden. If you don’t have those folks around to video chat or call for advice, this calendar is a heck of a place to start. It will show you what grows best in our climate and when to plant and harvest. If you prefer an even more precise calendar with frost dates, this is for you. The College of Agriculture has produced an excellent guide to Home Vegetable Gardening in Kentucky from plans and preparation through to storing the results with everything in between. And if there is anything this guide doesn’t cover in depth enough, you can find their other documents here. Getting wet This a friendly reminder that Kentucky has more navigable miles of water than any other state in the union. That includes our rivers, lakes, creeks, and ponds but doesn’t account for our many mud holes or above ground swimming pools. There is quite enough room to social distance on most bass boats and pontoons, and enough room on Kentucky’s lakes and rivers. It’s time to get back into fishing, rafting, canoeing, swimming, hiking, and other outdoor adventures that don’t require you to be within spitting distance from someone else. Remember to be safe, use social distancing and avoid crowds and public areas. Believe me, many husbands in Kentucky will be getting that boat out after a few days at home, and many wives will be encouraging it. Just practice proper social distancing and the world outside is still yours to explore. Catch up on reading I know this idea is not uniquely Kentucky, but the source is. Kentucky Libraries Unbound is a large group of Kentucky libraries that joined together to provide downloadable media to their patrons where You can download audiobooks, e-books, and video files. You can get a digital library card if you don’t have one. Of course, you can visit your local public library online and find access to other programs depending on what your specific library offers. Whether you are searching for Silas House, James Still, Bobbie Ann Mason, or one of your other favorite Kentucky authors there are plenty of other places to feed your curiosity and fill your time. To get you started, visit Project Gutenberg’s 60000 free eBooks. Also, Audible is providing a selection of audio books completely free without any commitment. I’ve read Kindle is giving new users two free months to their unlimited service, but it may require a subscription. I know that Team KY and Reddit can come up with some uniquely Kentucky ways to make the most of this time. Feel free to add suggestions that are not unique to Kentucky to give your friends and neighbors ideas. But I know we all want to see the most Kentuckian ways that you are planning on using this time.
2020.01.28 20:19 displacedindavisEvery one-hit-wonder playoff matchup in MLB history (non-WS)
Of all the Big 4 leagues, the MLB is the hardest to make the postseason in. As a result, we've only been able to experience several playoff matchups once. Which ones? This is part of a series I've been working on and it also spans NFL, NBA, and NHL, though I'll refrain from posting links in the main post. If you want to check them out, let me know and I'll respond with a link in the comments (note that I haven't published the NBA one yet due to Kobe Bryant's passing). I think I made a similar post like this a while ago. If so, consider this an updated version. I've avoided WS matchups since the list would blow up even more than it already has with those. The only exception is if both teams are in the same league as of today (hello Brewers and Astros) since these matchups could end up disappearing in the near future. I've also avoided tiebreaking games since those are not postseason matchups, although I will put an asterisk next to the postseason series that have also seen tiebreaker games. Without further ado, here goes: Angels over Twins 4-1 (2002 ALCS): after dropping a close one in Minneapolis in Game 1, it was all Anaheim as they steamrolled the Twins the rest of the way, outscoring Minnesota 28-10 the rest of the way. Only Game 3 was close, and it was notable to me because Francisco Rodriguez (yes, K-Rod, I almost forgot about that guy) pulled out the victory in relief (the Angels won 2-1). He would also get the win in Game 5, a game that also saw Adam Kennedy hit 3 HRs. The Angels ended up winning the WS and ended much heartbreak for fans of LA's second baseball team. Astros over Indians 3-0 (2018 ALDS): please forgive me if I write in a biased manner against the Astros, as I'm still not over their sign-stealing scandal. The 103-win Astros didn't have much trouble against the Indians, holding them to just 6 runs throughout the series. They had a 4-HR outing in Game 1 at home (gee, I wonder why) and then destroyed the Indians 11-3 on the road highlighted by two HRs from George Springer. The Astros would get a taste of their own medicine against the Red Sox in the ALCS as they lost in 5. ICYMI, Boston was also accused of sign stealing in the 2018 season. Astros over Rays 3-2 (2019 ALDS): the Astros were on their way to an easy ALDS victory, but Tampa Bay made things interesting with a dominant 10-4 win in Game 3 then a nice 4-1 win in Game 4 to even the series. Unfortunately, Gerrit Cole mowed down the Rays in Game 5 as Houston avoided a first-round upset. Dare I say the Rays got cheated? The Astros, for some strange reason, won all 3 games at home. Sign stealing has nothing to do with this, right? These Astros would thankfully get it handed to them in the WS as they lost all four home games in a 7-game loss to the Nats. Blue Jays over White Sox 4-2 (1993 ALCS): this series was actually pretty close as Toronto only outscored Chicago 26-23. After winning the first 2 games, the Blue Jays allowed Chicago to come back and even the series at 2. However, the Blue Jays held off a late White Sox rally in Game 5 and then got another strong performance from Dave Stewart (and some late insurance runs in the 9th) to take the clincher. Toronto defeated Chicago's home-field advantage, winning all three games in Chicago. Toronto went on to win its second straight WS title. Blue Jays over Orioles 1-0 (2016 ALDS): this was a really fun game to watch, and while Baltimore kept it close, the Blue Jays pulled out the win thanks to a clutch Encarnacion 3-run HR to win the game in extras. This game had a pretty awful moment where a fan threw a beer bottle at Hyun-Soo Kim of the Orioles, but hopefully, that guy has learned his lesson and the Blue Jays shrugged it off to win. They'd make it to the ALCS where they got destroyed by the Indians, more on that later. Braves over Rockies 3-1 (1995 NLDS): in just their third season, Colorado made the postseason only to get outplayed by a superior Braves team. Atlanta had nice 9th-inning rallies (including from down 4-3 in Game 2) to steal both Games 1 and 2 in Denver, then destroyed the Rockies in Game 4, winning 10-4 behind two Fred McGriff HRs. The Rockies didn't help themselves with 4 errors in Game 1. These Braves ended up marching all the way to the WS, but before that, there was... Braves over Reds 4-0 (1995 NLCS): Cincinnati's NLCS appearance ended rather unspectacularly as Atlanta simply outplayed them, although Games 1 and 2 in Southern Ohio were close as Atlanta needed to tie the game in the ninth in Game 1 then win in 11 2-1, then score the go-ahead runs in the 9th to win Game 2 6-2. Games 3 and 4 in Atlanta were washouts, as Greg Maddux and Steve Avery earned dominant wins. The Braves wound up finally winning the WS this season. Brewers over Angels 3-2 (1982 ALCS): Milwaukee made it back to the postseason this year and climbed out of a 2-0 hole to take the series in 5. The Brewers had fairly easy wins in Games 3 and 4 but scored 2 runs in the 7th inning of Game 5 to from down 3-2 to win the game 4-3. As for the Angels, their closest trip to the WS at the time was denied in heartbreaking fashion. Milwaukee would, unfortunately, suffer their own heartbreaking defeat in said WS, losing in 7 to St. Louis. Brewers over Diamondbacks 3-2 (2011 NLDS): I was heavily invested in this series as a Giants fan and was really glad that Milwaukee pulled off the win. Milwaukee hammered Arizona's Ian Kennedy and Daniel Hudson in Games 1 and 2 only to watch the DBacks pull even with dominant home wins in Games 3 and 4. John Axford, unfortunately, blew the save in Game 5 but all was forgiven after Nyjer Morgan's dramatic walk-off knock to clinch the series. The Brewers lost in 6 in the NLCS to the Cards. Brewers over Rockies 3-0 (2018 NLDS): aside from Game 1, which saw the Rockies score 2 runs in the ninth to tie the game at 2 only to watch Milwaukee walk-off anyways, this series was all Brewers as they shutout Colorado in both Games 2 and 3, the latter of which was impressive since it came in Denver. As pathetic as it is to score just 2 runs in 3 games, credit Milwaukee's pitching staff and their 3-HR performance from their batters in the clincher. Milwaukee lost a heartbreaking NLCS against the Dodgers in the next round, more on that later. Cardinals over Phillies 3-2 (2011 NLDS): in an upset, the Cardinals came back from a 2-1 deficit and defeated the 102-win Phillies in 5. Notably, St. Louis came back from 4-0 down against Cliff Lee (still one of the greatest postseason pitchers in history) and broke Philadelphia's hearts in Game 5, winning 1-0 on a stellar Chris Carpenter performance in which he allowed just three hits. I remember watching that Game 5, and it must have been maddening to see as a Phillie fan. The Cardinals went on to win one of the most dramatic WS in history, beating the Rangers in 7. Cardinals over Pirates 3-2 (2013 NLDS): in a hard-fought series between two division rivals, Pittsburgh took a 2-1 series lead but St. Louis held them to just two runs the rest of the way, taking a close 2-1 win in Game 4 and then blasting the Pirates out of Missouri in a 6-1 romp in Game 5. Adam Wainwright notably had two wins and yielded just 2 runs throughout the series. Pittsburgh's first playoff run since the 90s ended on a disappointing note but it was still a nice season. St. Louis wound up making the WS where they lost to Boston in 6. Cubs over Pirates 1-0 (2015 NLWC): this game quickly became Jake Arrieta mowing down the Pirates as Pittsburgh simply could not back up Gerrit Cole, who also gave up two HRs in a game for the first time that season. Chicago all but put that game away thanks to Schwarber's HR into the Allegheny River. Pittsburgh tried getting under Chicago's skin by throwing at Arrieta late, but it backfired and they got shut out in the WC game again, this time 4-0. The Cubs went on to get hammered by the Mets in the NLCS, losing in a sweep. Still a great season. Before they lost to the Mets, there was... Cubs over Cardinals 3-1 (2015 NLDS): the Cardinals were a 100-win team but they were decimated by injuries heading into this matchup and it's not really a surprise they got outplayed. Notably, Chicago destroyed St. Louis pitching with a 6-HR game in Game 3, then got a go-ahead HR by Anthony Rizzo late in Game 4 to take the clincher. As mentioned, Chicago got swept by the Mets in the NLCS. Cubs over Nationals 3-2 (2017 NLDS): I remember watching this series, and it made me legitimately mad to see Washington lose yet another NLDS in 5 games. Nevertheless, Chicago benefitted from coming back from 1-0 down late in Game 3 to steal it, then won a thrilling and slightly controversial Game 5. Chicago caught several breaks in a disastrous 5th-inning for Washington who surrendered 4 crucial runs. Then, in prime position to tie, Chicago picked off the Nats at 1st to keep the score 9-8, and it would remain that way for the rest of the game. Yet another gut punch to Nats fans. Chicago wound up getting wrecked by the Dodgers in 5 in the NLCS. Diamondbacks over Cubs 3-0 (2007 NLDS): the Cubs were overwhelmed this entire series and held to just 6 runs total as the as both Brandon Webb, Doug Davis, and Livan Hernandez each won their respective start (in that order) to crush Chicago. Arizona went on to get destroyed by Colorado in the NLCS in a sweep. Diamondbacks over Braves 4-1 (2001 NLCS): the pitching staff of Arizona crushed the living daylights out of the Atlanta batting order, holding them to just 8 runs in each of their four wins. Randy Johnson won both Games 1 and 5 while Atlanta screwed themselves by committing four errors in a crucial Game 4 as they got massacred 11-4. Arizona wound up winning all three games in Atlanta to seal the deal. The DBacks would famously defeat the Yankees in the WS. Dodgers over Pirates 3-1 (1974 NLCS): the Pirates simply had no chance against the 102-win Dodgers. Outside of their Game 3 win in Los Angeles, Pittsburgh scored a meager three runs including getting massacred in the deciding Game 4, losing 12-1. Dodgers starter Don Sutton won both Games 1 and 4 while Steve Garvey had a 2-HR game in the decider to move Los Angeles on to the WS, where they lost in 5 to Oakland. Dodgers over Diamondbacks 3-0 (2017 NLDS): I remember watching this series and really was pulling for Arizona to win not because I'm a Giants fan but because I wanted them to get revenge for the Dodgers jumping in their pool in 2013. It was not to be as the Dodgers blew apart their little sibling in the NL West. Notably, the Dodgers teed off on former starting pitcher Zack Greinke in the deciding Game 3. It was a dominating victory, but it was all for naught as the Dodgers got cheated out of the WS that season thanks to the sign-stealing Astros, losing in 7 (ever wonder how Houston hit all those clutch HRs in Game 5?). I'm a Giants fan, and even I feel sorry for calling the Dodgers chokers the past few years. Dodgers over Brewers 4-3 (2018 NLCS): this was a nice and exciting 7-game affair that saw the Dodgers earn a crucial Game 2 win on a late HR and a Game 4 walk-off win in 13. After fighting back to tie the series at 3, the Brewers simply ran out of gas in the deciding Game 7, losing 5-1. It was a pretty heartbreaking way to go out as this is the closest the Brewers have tasted the World Series in decades. The Dodgers went on to lose the WS to the Red Sox in 5, although it looks as if they may have been cheated out of that one as well. Expos over Phillies 3-2 (1981 NLDS): yes, there was a time when the Nationals were in Montreal and known as the Expos. It was a pretty bad time...this was the franchise's only playoff appearance while in Quebec. Montreal got dominant performances from Steve Rogers (yes, Captain America pitches too) and Bill Gullickson in Games 1 and 2 but allowed Philly to tie the series at 2 thanks to a dramatic walk-off HR by George Vukovich in Game 4. But the Phillies went out on a whimper, as Captain America got a shutout win in Game 5 to silence any hope for a Philadelphia comeback. The Expos would go on to lose a tough 6-game series in the NLCS against the Dodgers. Until 2019 happened, this was the franchise's only postseason series victory. Indians over Blue Jays 4-1 (2016 ALCS): the Indians shut down Toronto's offense the entire series as they managed just 8 runs in 5 games, including winning 3-0 in the clinching Game 5 to make it back to the WS. This series had a bit of a gross-out moment as Corey Kluber blew out his finger in Game 4 and the TV feed seemed infatuated with showing the blood trickle down his fingers. Nevertheless, the Indians still handily won. They lost a heartbreaking WS against the Cubs, handing them the longest WS drought. Giants over Phillies 4-2 (2010 NLCS): as a Giants fan, this series was the definition of the "torture" identity we had taken on that season. It was a very hard-fought series but the Giants got a crucial walk-off in Game 4 then stole Game 6 after being down 2-0 in that game early on. San Francisco pitching staff shut down the Phillies offense, and this victory helped the Giants move onto the WS, where they captured their first-ever WS in the Bay (and 6th in franchise history). Giants over Reds 3-2 (2012 NLDS): San Francisco found itself on the ropes in a 2-0 hole, dropping both of its home games. The Giants miraculously pulled out three straight wins in Cincinnati to extend their playoff series win drought, taking a close Game 3 in extras, going on a mini-HR derby in Game 4, and blasting the Red with a 6-run 5th and holding on for the comeback. These Giants cemented their season by winning another WS for the decade. Giants over Nationals 3-1 (2014 NLDS): this series was a tough battle as San Francisco took three 1-run affairs (including both games in DC) to hand Washington yet another DS loss. Game 2 was notable for being the longest playoff game to date (until Game 3 of the 2018 WS beat the record), going 18 innings with SF winning on a late Brandon Belt HR. Jake Peavy also got his first-ever playoff win in Game 1, and the Giants ended up marching all the way to their third WS title of the decade. Mariners over White Sox 3-0 (2000 ALDS): this series was closer than the sweep indicates as the Mariners would need a 3-run 10th to pull away in Game 1 and later score a walk-off win in the clinching Game 3 on a Carlos Guillen bunt that was absolutely perfect. Unfortunately, Seattle would get dumped by the Yankees in 6 games in the ALCS to again miss out on an opportunity to make the biggest stage. Cue the "Mariners are the only MLB team to never make the World Series" memes. Marlins over Braves 4-2 (1997 NLCS): in a stunner, the Marlins continued their Cinderella run of 1997 by defeating the 101-win Braves in 6. Kevin Brown got two wins in the opener and the clincher while Livan Hernandez also got two wins for Florida, including a 15 K performance in Game 5. Florida didn't have an impressive offensive series but their pitching is what won them this series. They went on to win their first WS. Marlins over Cubs 4-3 (2003 NLCS): ah yes, the Steve Bartman series. Can we just talk about how one guy took the blame for an overall terrible performance by the Cubs in that inning which included sloppy fielding and terrible pitching in the clutch? Florida won an exciting Game 1 in extras but quickly fell behind 3-1. They got a shutout performance from Josh Beckett in Game 5, then benefitted from said 8th-inning in Game 6 before coming back from 5-3 down in Game 7 to win 9-6. These Marlins would go on to win another WS, while The Curse of the Billy Goat went on. Mets over Reds 3-2 (1973 NLCS)\*: in a stunning upset, the 82-win Mets stole this series against a strong Cincinnati team in 5. Jon Matlack had a superb shutout start in Game 2 and the Mets went up 2-1 after a 9-2 shellacking in Game 3. Tom Seaver would avenge a Game 1 loss in the clincher as the Mets won 7-2. The Mets outscored the Reds 23-8 in the series and went on to the WS where they lost a heartbreaker to Oakland in 7 games. Mets over Astros 4-2 (1986 NLCS): this is a really underrated NLCS IMO as it produced some really exciting moments. Game 3 saw the Mets come back from down 5-4 in the 9th to win 6-5, then get another walk-off win in Game 5 in 12 innings. Game 6, however, was truly insane, as the Mets came back from down 3-0 to tie the game in the 9th, then blew a lead of their own in the 14th, then scored 3 runs in the 16th only to allow 2 Houston runs in the bottom of said frame. The Mets somehow hung on for the victory, and it was crucial as New York would go on to win the WS. Mets over Diamondbacks 3-1 (1999 NLDS): Arizona's first playoff matchup saw them put up a good fight against a slightly weaker but more experienced Mets team. New York needed 4 go-ahead runs in the 9th to win Game 1 8-4 and needed a dramatic Todd Pratt HR in the 10th inning to walk off and clinch the series in Game 4. Said game is notable for giving us one of the best manager-umpire arguments as Cookie Rojas of the Mets went on a tirade on a foul ball call. The Mets would, unfortunately, suffer a hard 6-game loss in the NLCS to their rivals in Atlanta. Mets over Cubs 4-0 (2015 NLCS): the ironic thing about this matchup is that Chicago won all 7 games in the regular-season matchup. However, the wonders of Daniel Murphy destroyed all of the hopes and dreams of Chicago as the Cubs were held to just 8 runs in the entire series and Murphy homered in all 4 games. In disappointing fashion, Chicago lost the clinching game 8-3 at home. It was a nice trip back to the big stage for the Mets, but they lost in 5 gut-wrenching games to the Royals. As for the Cubs, their curse would go on for just one more year. Nationals over Brewers 1-0 (2019 NLWC): watching this game almost made me puke as I thought the Nationals would get beaten in an elimination game at home again. But then, Juan Soto happened in the 8th-inning as he hit a go-ahead bases-clearing double to put the Nationals up 4-3, and the score held the rest of the game. These Nationals would ride a wave of clutchness all the way to their first WS title, ending years of misery as the old Montreal Expos and the early dog days (later choke days) in DC. Orioles over Angels 3-1 (1979 ALCS): yes, there was a time the Orioles were a really good team. This was a very underrated ALCS and produced some exciting moments on both ends. Game 1 was stolen by Baltimore on a John Lowenstein walk-off 3-run HR in the 10th and Game 2 saw the O's almost blow a 9-1 lead but hold off the Angels just enough to win 9-8. The Angels countered with their own walk-off win in Game 3, but O's starter Scott McGregor threw a complete-game shutout in the decider as the O's massacred the Angels 8-0. The Orioles ended up losing the 1979 WS in heartbreaking fashion, blowing a 3-1 lead to the Pirates to lose in 7 (and give Pittsburgh its last WS title to date). Orioles over White Sox 3-1 (1983 ALCS): after dropping Game 1 2-1, the Orioles completely destroyed the White Sox, outscoring them 18-1 the rest of the way which included an 11-1 drubbing in Chicago in Game 3. Game 2 additionally saw Mike Boddicker throw a shutout and while Game 4 was scoreless after 9, the Orioles got three runs in the 10th to all but put away the series. The Orioles went on to win the WS against the Phillies. Orioles over Mariners 3-1 (1997 ALDS): this series has sort of been lost in memory and that's because it honestly was pretty boring. Baltimore destroyed Seattle in the first two games at the Kingdome with back-to-back 9-3 wins and pulled off another win against Randy Johnson in the clincher at home, winning 3-1. Baltimore outscored Seattle 23-11 in the series. Baltimore went on to lose a very tough 6-game series against the Indians in the ALCS, and they wouldn't make the playoffs until 2012. Orioles over Rangers 1-0 (2012 ALWC): the first iteration of the WC was an absolute snoozefest as Joe Saunders absolutely dominated Texas and the Orioles got two runs in the 9th inning to put the game completely out of reach. With the 5-1 win, the Orioles got a "series" victory in their first playoff appearance since the 90s, but they would lose a heartbreaker against the Yankees in 5 in the ALDS. Orioles over Tigers 3-0 (2014 ALDS): I remember this series as being the last hurrah of the Tigers of the early 2010s. Baltimore destroyed the Tigers in Game 1 with a 12-3 win, then benefitted from the Tigers completely collapsing in Game 2 as the Orioles came back from down 6-3 in the 8th to win 7-6. David Price once again lost a crucial postseason game in Game 3, surrendering a costly Nelson Cruz HR as the Tigers lost 2-1. The Orioles got swept by KC in their first ALCS appearance in years. Padres over Cubs 3-2 (1984 NLCS): San Diego's first-ever postseason appearance started off on a high note with this comeback win. After going down 2-0, the Padres blew out Chicago 7-1, got a 2-run Steve Garvey shot to walk-off Game 4, then came from 3-0 down to win the clincher 6-3 to pull off the stunner and get their first postseason series win. The Padres didn't stand much chance against the Tigers in the WS, however, getting destroyed in 5 games. Padres over Astros 3-1 (1998 NLDS): San Diego had another Cinderella run to the WS this season and it began with this stunning upset over Houston. Kevin Brown stole a victory in the Lone Star State in Game 1 (a 2-1 SD victory) and Jim Leyritz homered in Games 3 and 4 to lead 2-1 and 6-1 victories respectively. Houston managed just 8 runs in the entire series to shoot themselves in the foot in the playoffs yet again. The Padres marched all the way to the WS, but before that, there was... Padres over Braves 4-2 (1998 NLCS): facing a 106-win team in Atlanta, San Diego instead took a commanding 3-0 lead by winning Game 1 in extras, getting another Kevin Brown masterful performance in Game 2 (a shutout), and getting a 1-run performance from Sterling Hitchcock in Game 3. Atlanta fought back to win the next two games but got wrecked by Hitchcock yet again in Game 6, losing 5-0 in another disappointing playoff exit. Embarrassingly, the Braves lost all 3 games at home despite home-field advantage, getting outscored 11-2 at Turner Field. The Padres were no match for the Yankees in the WS, however, as they got easily swept. Phillies over Astros 3-2 (1980 NLCS): although falling behind 2-1 in the series, and finding themselves down 2-0 in the 8th inning of Game 4, the Phillies scored 3 runs in said inning then won the game in extras. Later, facing a 5-2 deficit in Game 5, the Phillies once again rallied in the 8th, scoring 5 runs in the frame and once again winning the game in extras. Thanks to clutch performances, Philadelphia punched a trip to the WS which they won over KC for their first title. Phillies over Braves 4-2 (1993 NLCS): despite outscoring Philly 33-23, Atlanta once again tasted postseason heartbreak. The Phillies blew a late 9th-inning lead in Game 1 but walked off in the 10th. After a close 2-1 win in Game 4, Philadelphia blew a 3-0 lead in the 9th in Game 5 but 10th-inning heroics saved them again thanks to Lenny Dykstra's HR and the Phillies had a comfortable 6-3 win in the clincher to move on to the WS, which they lost in heartbreaking fashion to the Jays thanks to Joe Carter's famous walk-off HR. Phillies over Brewers 3-1 (2008 NLDS): Milwaukee's first postseason trip since their 1982 World Series run ended pretty abruptly against the Phillies. Cole Hamels and Brett Myers were dominant at home in their Game 1 and 2 victories respectively, then after Milwaukee countered with a 4-1 win in Game 3, Joe Blanton shut the door on the Brewers for good as they connected for 4 HRs, including 2 from Pat Burrell. The Phillies ended up winning the WS that year, their first since 1980. Rangers over Tigers 4-2 (2011 ALCS): I remember watching this series and the Tigers never really stood a chance against the firepower of Texas' offense in this series. The Rangers won all of their three home games including a 15-5 thrashing of Detroit in the clincher and stole a 7-3 win in extras in Game 4. It was a nice trip back to the WS but it ended in the most painful way possible as the Rangers choked not once, but twice with just one strike to go in Game 6, then put up a complete egg in Game 7 to lose. Also, to watch their in-state rivals cheat their way to a WS title only makes things even worse. Rays over White Sox 3-1 (2008 ALDS): Chicago was simply overwhelmed by a better team in this matchup, as Tampa Bay's James Shields, Scott Kazmir, and Andy Sonnanstine each got wins in Games 1, 2, and 4 respectively. Notably, BJ Upton had a 2-HR performance in the deciding Game 4 to give Tampa Bay its first-ever playoff series victory after making the postseason for the first time in franchise history. The Rays would make a Cinderella run all the way to the WS where they lost to Philadelphia in 5. Rays over Indians 1-0 (2013 ALWC): this game saw Alex Cobb pull off a tremendous start, shutting out Cleveland as all Tampa Bay had to do was score 4 runs to pull off an easy 4-0 win in Northern Ohio. This was notable in hindsight for being Round 1 of the Maddon-Francona playoff rivalry, with Round 2 being the Cubs-Indians WS of 2016. The Rays would get curb-stomped by the Red Sox in 4 games in the ALDS. Rays over Athletics 1-0 (2019 ALWC): I remember I stopped watching this game midway through as it was pretty clear that the Rays were going to win. Tampa Bay had a 3-HR day and Oakland was shut down by Charlie Morton throughout the game. This was Tampa Bay's first playoff "series" win since 2013 (another "series" win which was discussed earlier). Unfortunately, the Rays were likely yet another victim of sign stealing against the Astros in the ALDS. Reds over Dodgers 3-0 (1995 NLDS): Cincinnati's last playoff series victory came in dominating fashion over a Dodgers team that was beginning to fade out of the glory days. The Dodgers were no match for the Reds and they only kept things close in Game 2, scoring 2 runs in the 9th but still losing 5-4 (Bob Davidson also ejected Raul Mondesi in that game). Cincinnati would blow Los Angeles out of Southern Ohio with a 10-1 win at home in Game 3. The Reds wound up getting destroyed by Atlanta in the NLCS, more on that in an earlier entry. Red Sox over Tigers 4-2 (2013 ALCS): the Red Sox took advantage of every Detroit miscue in this series and they pulled out several close victories, including a walk-off in Game 2, to take the series in 6. Notably, David Ortiz hit a game-tying HR in said Game 2 and Shane Victorino won Game 6 on a go-ahead slam. Boston also got 1-run wins in Games 3 and 5. Ultimately, Boston simply played better baseball. They wound up winning the WS that year against the Cardinals in 6. Rockies over Cubs 1-0 (2018 NLWC): I was really pulling for Colorado to win this game and my wishes were granted. This was a pitchers duel throughout, but Chicago tied the game at 1 on an 8th-inning double. However, the Rockies pulled off the deciding run in the 13th on a Tony Wolters RBI single and closed out the close 2-1 win. The Rockies won their first playoff "series" wince 2007 while the Cubs completed a late-season collapse that saw them lose the NL Central to the Brewers in a tiebreaker earlier...also at home. The Rockies got destroyed by the Brewers in the NLDS, more on that in an earlier entry. Royals over Angels 3-0 (2014 ALDS): in the first postseason for Kansas City since their 1985 WS title, they started off with a bang, although the series was much closer than the sweep would appear to indicate. KC took both Games 1 and 2 in Anaheim in extras but then romped the Angels 8-3 in the deciding Game 3. This was just one step of the way to a WS berth, but before that, there was... Royals over Orioles 4-0 (2014 ALCS): continuing their torrid postseason run, the Royals picked up their 8th straight postseason victory in the deciding Game 4. As with their ALDS matchup, this series was actually a lot closer than the sweep seems to indicate. KC needed extras in Game 1 to win, a ninth-inning run to break the tie in Game 2, then got back-to-back 2-1 wins in Game 3 and 4. The Royals would, unfortunately, get Bumgarner'ed in the WS in 7 games, but they went on to win the WS the next year. The first step of the way to that one was... Royals over Astros 3-2 (2015 ALDS): the Astros lost. Good. In danger of going down 2-0, KC instead came back from down 4-2 in Game 2 to win 5-4. Then, in danger of losing the series in Game 4, KC (assisted by sloppy Houston fielding) came back from 6-2 down in the 8th inning, scoring 7 unanswered runs (including 5 in the 8th) to win 9-6. The Royals got a strong Cueto start despite allowing 2 early runs in the decider and romped Houston 7-2 to move on. As mentioned, they went on to win the WS. Tigers over Royals 3-0 (1984 ALCS): Kansas City scored a meager 4 runs in this entire series and the Tigers blew the Royals out of the water in this matchup. Jack Morris had a stellar outing in Game 1, the Tigers got a nice 5-3 win in 11 after KC rallied to tie it late, then Matt Wilcox fought off opposing pitcher Charlie Leibrandt's complete-game effort, allowing 0 runs in a 1-0 clincher for Detroit. These Tigers went on to win the WS, their last one to date. Twins over Tigers 4-1 (1987 ALCS)\*: this was a pretty comfortable series victory by Minnesota who was led by Bret Blylevin's two wins and outscored Detroit 34-23. Detroit's offense simply couldn't keep up with the Twins and honestly, it was just pure offensive domination from Minnesota most of the time. The Twins ended up winning the WS despite winning just 85 games in the regular season. As for Detroit, they wouldn't taste another postseason until 2006. Twins over Blue Jays 4-1 (1991 ALCS): Toronto was fairly competitive in the first three games, as they had a rally fall short as Minnesota took Game 1 5-4 and then took the Twins to extras in Game 3, a game Minnesota won 3-2 in 10. From then on, however, it was pretty much all Minnesota. The Jays were up 5-2 heading into the 6th but blew the lead, allowing Minnesota to score 6 straight runs in the clincher. The Twins would go on to win another WS for Minneapolis, the last championship the city has tasted. White Sox over Red Sox 3-0 (2005 ALDS): this matchup of the Sox teams started off one of the most dominant postseasons ever as Chicago torched the Red Sox for 5 HRs in Game 1, saw Tadahito Iguchi hit a go-ahead HR in a 5-run fifth to give Chicago a 5-4 win, then got clutch pitching as the White Sox took the clincher 5-3. Boston's title defense was put on hold as another team was on a mission to end their title drought. Thus comes... White Sox over Angels 4-1 (2005 ALCS): the Angels had the decency to hand what would become Chicago's only playoff loss that postseason in Game 1. Unfortunately, Chicago got a bad call in their favor on a dropped strikeout that could've ended the 9th inning. Instead, the White Sox would get a walk-off in Game 2, then won all three games in LA easily. Chicago's dominance continued all the way to the WS and speaking of which... White Sox over Astros 4-0 (2005 WS): this one makes the list only because both teams now inhabit the AL. This series was a lot closer than the final result, as Chicago squeaked by with a 2-run win in Game 1 and needed a walk-off HR by Paul Konerko to win Game 2. The close games continued with a 7-5 win in 14 in Game 3 then a 1-0 clincher in Game 4 highlighted by two terrific Uribe plays to get the final two outs. The White Sox thus won the WS and ended "The Curse of the Black Sox". It's too bad many people forget this one even happened. Yankees over Brewers 3-2 (1981 ALDS): this forgotten series (thanks in large part to Milwaukee now being in the NL) saw the Brewers even the series at 2 after dropping both of their home games. Unfortunately, the Yankees had a three-HR game in the decisive Game 5 and came back from down 2-0 early in the game as Dave Righetti won his second game of the series. It wasn't the best of endings for Milwaukee's first playoff appearance but it was a pretty exciting series. The Yankees would go on to blow a 2-0 series lead in the WS and lose in 6 to the Dodgers.
2020.01.02 03:32 twoshortdogs2019MOCKINGBIRD – A theory ** all the spoilers ** Part 1 of 2
I’ve had much of this percolating in my head for some time. I’ve lost more sleep than I care to admit. That aside, Season 7 - and some recent posts in this forum - has helped to solidify some missing pieces for me. This is going to be a long post, so you might want to grab a beverage and a snack:-). If you make it to the end, I promise that not all – but many - of your outstanding BL questions will be answered. You'll need to read both Part 1 and Part 2 for the full picture. Let’s lay the groundwork and get the formalities out of the way. ..... OVERARCHING ASSUMPTIONS This theory is predicated on the following overarching assumptions:
That commentary from the show producers, or actors, is not required to fill in the blanks of the show. i.e. everything that will be needed to conclude the story will be shown on screen.
That the ‘general audience’ (i.e. typical viewers and not members of this – or any other – forum) will not need all the hidden ‘easter eggs’ for the story to work or make sense in the end, e.g. books on shelves, newspaper articles).
That the ‘general audience’ does not need a detailed understanding of non-fictional or historical events, such as dates and events of the Cold War, or when specific technology or science (eg. DNA testing) became available.
That the conclusion of the show and overarching story will not refer to, or need, details from the comics to make sense or fill in the blanks.
That the major ‘clues’ can be found in the repetitive themes throughout the show.
That the producers use mirroring and parallels between the characters as a form of misdirection.
MY UNWAVERING BELIEFS From the very beginning, and throughout the seasons, I have held on to the following unwavering beliefs:
That Raymond Reddington, as played by James Spader, who I will refer to as ‘SRed’, is Elizabeth’s biological father
That the girl who danced in the production of Swan Lake in 1987 (‘Ballet Girl’) was SRed’s daughter, and that she is dead
That SRed and Carla Reddington aka Naomi Hyland, (‘Carla') were never married
That Jennifer Reddington aka Lily May Roth (‘Jennifer’) is not SRed’s daughter
That Jennifer and Elizabeth are not sisters (although I have allowed for the potential of a familial connection)
THEORY SPECIFIC ASSUMPTIONS These are the assumptions that I am making, specific to this theory:
That the story told to Madeline Pratt (1.14) by SRed contains elements of truth
That the parable of the farmer, as told by SRed to the Stewmaker (1.4) contains elements of truth
That the DNA report held by Constantin Rostov aka Alexander Kiri (‘Kirk’) is accurate (i.e.not a fake)
That the treason tape in Minister D (6.9) was not a set up between Katarina Rostova, as played by Lotte Verbeek (‘LKat’) and Alan Fitch.
That the DNA report proving the bones dug up by Katherine Nemec aka Kate Kaplan (‘Mr Kaplan’) at Tansi Farm belong to Raymond Reddington triggered a familial match to Jennifer.
That Elizabeth was temporarily placed in foster care by her adopted father Sam Milhoan (‘Sam’).
That Dembe is the only one that knows the entirety of SRed’s truth.
That Sam knew most – if not all – of SRed’s truth before he died in 1.8.
That Mr Kaplan, Dom, Carla and Ilya know some – but not all – of SRed’s truth
That everyone else – including Elizabeth – knows (or think they know) what SRed wants them to believe. i.e. alternative facts that support his narrative. More on this below.
That SRed uses ‘Redspeak’ to intentionally avoid answers, misinform or mislead others.
That there was a collaborative counterintelligence ‘team’ and that members of that team were using the same identities. i.e. ‘dopplegangers’ as decoys.
DISCLAIMERS Before I proceed, a few disclaimers: This is not a unified theory. It does not seek to address all elements of the relationships between the characters or answer all outstanding questions, including:
Wider familial relationships (although I strongly believe that there are some)
Who worked for US vs Russian intelligence
Where the characters lived growing up (e.g. US vs Russia)
Red’s illness and whether there is a connection to Kirk's medical condition
Not everything in this post will be accurate. That’s why it is a theory. I have filled in a number of ‘blanks’ with a creative narrative, which may – or may not – be accurate. The creative narrative may serve no other reason than to help others progress their own theories, which I’m completely OK with. Like Elizabeth, we are all seeking ‘the truth’ here. We'll get there a lot faster if we help each other along, rather than trying to tear each other down. This is today’s theory. Don’t hold it against me tomorrow, because tomorrow I may have a different theory. We will all likely change our minds about who is who and what is what many times before the show ends. Note that some of the quotes from the show may, on first read, appear inaccurate, non-sensical or attributed to the wrong character. Rest assured it will all make sense by the end of the post. Ok – now that that’s out of the way, let’s look at the characters and set up the deck. THE CHARACTERS Raymond Reddington (SRed) Not the name that he was born with, but a name assumed prior to entering the Naval Academy. SRed graduated the Naval Academy, was being groomed for Admiral and worked US counterintelligence, including the mission in Kuwait with Harold Cooper. SRed was married and had a family. An older biological daughter - Ballet girl (unnamed), and a younger biological daughter – Elizabeth (bubble girl), born 1985. SRed saw his older daughter last dance in a production of Swan Lake, March 22, 1987.
“Red: It may be hard for you to imagine, but I once had a relatively normal life – bills to pay, playdates, family, some friends, people to care about.”
SRed, in his capacity as a counterintelligence officer, posed as a lover of LKat, although they did not have a romantic relationship. The reason for the cover is that SRed was collecting Soviet intelligence firsthand from LKat and bring it back to the CIA at the Pentagon. He did, however, care about her deeply. SRed’s wife (unnamed) SRed’s wife, a blonde – likely a housewife – stayed home and their two daughters, although she could have also had a career. The draft pilot script had her as a drug addict who worked two jobs, although those details are not required for this theory.
“Red: I raised my family in this house.”
The family lived in a smallish house in Takoma Park, but sometimes rented a house in Rehoboth Beach for family vacations. Raymond Reddington (ORed – or Other Red, unnamed) ORed, a blonde, decorated Naval intelligence officer, was married to Carla and was the biological father of Jennifer. He fed US intelligence information to LKat during their extended (5+ years) affair. ORed was also using the Raymond Reddington identity. ORed was a bad man who committed many crimes and was likely the source of the Gideon leak and the person that gave Sutton Ross bogus plans for the Grayscape Seventeen.
“Katarina: Be good, little one. It wasn’t your fault. He was a bad man. I love you.”
Carla Reddington Wife of ORed, and biological mother of Jennifer (born 1984). Carla was a housewife who likely knew of – or suspected - her husband’s affair with LKat.
“Carla: Carla Reddington was a miserable housewife married to a miserable man. That woman doesn’t exist anymore.”
ORed, Carla and Jennifer lived in a cabin in rural Maryland, where Jennifer had a pink bedroom.
“Carla: I can’t believe you brought me here.”
They would sometimes vacation in a house in Behoboth Beach. Katarina Rostova (LKat) LKat, biological daughter of Dominic Wilkinson (an assumed name) posed as a Soviet spy and ‘honeytrap’. Dom was also her handler. She was married to Constantin Rostova, although Kirk may have been an assignment or cover. LKat had an extended affair with ORed (an assignment from Dom) and fell in love with him.
“LKat: He was my asset. I’d been siphoning intel off him for years.”
During her marriage to Kirk, LKat had a biological daughter – Masha Rostova (Masha), born 1986, who was cared for by the family’s nanny, Mr Kaplan. LKat never conducted a paternity test and believed ORed to be the father. Constantin Rostova (Kirk) Kirk, a billionaire, was a legitimate businessman, who was married to LKat.
“Kirk: I don’t really know how we got here, Raymond. I remember being an honest businessman in a happy marriage until you came along.”
Kirk is the biological father of Masha. Some time after his wife’s disappearance, he changed his name to – or assumed the name – Alexander Kirk and went from being an honest businessman to trading contraband and secrets. Kirk was aware – or at least suspected – that his wife was having an affair with ORed and confronted him about it.
“Kirk: Do you know what I’m thinking Raymond? That house by the water, holding a gun in your mouth. I should have pulled the trigger.”
At one point, he was concerned that ORed may have been Masha’s biological father, but the results of a DNA test that he procured proved that he was her biological father.
“Kirk: Now you don’t know any of that because Reddington took you away from us when you were just a little girl. He and your mother had an affair. For a time, I thought maybe he was the father, but I have proof that he’s not.”
Kirk and LKat had a home in Russia, and another home in Cape Breton, Canada where they – together or alone – would vacation; the Summer Palace. Katarina Rostova, aka Constance Drucker aka Maddie Tolliver, as played by Laila Robins (blonde Kat “BKat”) BKat also worked in counterintelligence and was a doppleganger for LKat. They both used the assumed name Katarina Rostova.
“I don’t know who that is, but I doubt very seriously that that is Katarina Rostova. I don’t think there are any photographs of Katarina Rostova.” “She’s a myth. Tall tales late at night over vodka shots. Probably an amalgamation of a half-a-dozen unknown female Soviet operatives – the Pinko Mata Hari.”
BKat was married to Pyotr, had retired from counterintelligence in 1986, although this was not her first marriage. When LKat became pregnant with Masha, she may have been forced or coerced into an unwanted pregnancy by her handles to enable her to keep up the charade of being Katarina Rostova. It’s possible that she was unable to conceive and that this ended her ability to successfully impersonate LKat, triggering her ‘retirement’. If, as BKat tells Elizabeth, she has an estranged daughter, the daughter may be Emma Knightly, a member of the Harem and former MI6 analyst or Lindsay Drucker, Assistant US Attorney. Or one or both of these characters may be red herrings. Ilya Koslov aka Frank Bloom aka the Stranger (“Ilya”) Ilya is a former intelligence officer (since retired). He is a childhood friend of both SRed and LKat and had had a crush on/was in love with LKat for much of his youth. Ilya knew Dom, LKat’s father and most likely worked for the US Embassy in Russia (the office shown in Rassvet, including text on the computer screen and the crossword puzzle, were all in English). Sam Milhoun (“Sam”) Sam, a grifter, was a friend of SRed and they had known each other since childhood. Sam was Elizabeth’s adopted father. He had terminal cancer and wanted to tell Elizabeth the truth before he died. He was suffocated by SRed at the hospital.
“Listen to me. I’ve been friends with Sam for all of yours and most of my life. He was dying. Every part of his body was failing. He was impatient for it to end. He’d asked to be disconnected from all the machines. He was in pain and suffering. And he wasn’t thinking clearly. If he were, he would never have chosen to tell you any of it. It wasn’t his choice to make. We said goodbye and I put him out of his misery.” “Red: I loved Sam, Lizzy. Taking his life was … of all the difficult things that I’ve done that may be the most.”
Ok. Now that we’ve gotten the main players out of the way, let’s look at the arc story in broad strokes and start shuffling the cards. THE STORY SO FAR … December, 1990 ORed discovers that his lover, LKat is a double agent. He learns that she has been siphoning intel off him intentionally and that she is also working for the Cabal. He learns of the Fulcrum, a blackmail file on the Cabal, which he steals from LKat (she had previously acquired this as insurance). Infuriated, he abducts Masha, who he believes to be his daughter, and takes her home to America, to the Rehoboth Beach house, which was unused over the winter.
“LKat: A man was seen carrying her off the campus. A blonde man. Kate: The American? LKat: I started pulling away. We couldn’t continue the way we were. He didn’t take it well. Kate: What – he stole Masha to hurt you? LKat: No, that’s not it. He thinks she’s his. Kate: Is she? LKat: I don’t know Kate,I never found out.”
LKat follows ORed with Mr Kaplan in tow. They rent a motel room in Dover, DE. … LKat contacts Alan Fitch, her Cabal handler, and tells him that ORed has discovered her identity and has proof that the Cabal exists. She is in love with ORed and believes that Masha is his daughter. Realising the danger that he is in by possessing the Fulcrum, she desperately tries to convince Fitch to spare his life by discrediting him using intel she had previously siphoned.
“Alan Fitch: They pulled me out of a meeting. This better be important. Katarina: Reddington knows. He knows everything. Fitch: Explain. Katarina: He’s discovered my identity. And the existence of the Cabal. Fitch: Can he be contained? Katarina: He took Masha. Fitch: Eliminate him. Katarina: He’s a decorated officer. His death would be investigated. Whatever they find, they will believe. But if we discredit him– The intelligence I stole– We leak that it came from him. No one will believe him after that. Not with the blood of 134 Americans on his hands. Fitch: Agent Rostova, I told you to eliminate him. Katarina: And I’m telling you there’s a better way. Fitch: Because you’re sleeping with him. Katarina: Because he has proof that the Cabal exists, proof that would be released in the event of his death. Fitch: The Fulcrum. Katarina: And because I love his daughter. My daughter. Fitch: I want this mess cleaned up. Get rid of him or ruin him. Just get it done by Christmas.”
But the Cabal aren't satisfied that discrediting ORed will be enough. They want the Fulcrum back. A plan is devised to abduct ORed’s wife and daughter from their home and ransom them in exchange for the Fulcrum. Here’s where things get messy. Christmas Eve, 1990 The extraction team, instead of going to rural Maryland and abducting Carla and Jennifer, are instead sent to Takoma Park - the wrong Raymond Reddington’s, where things don’t go according to plan. Perhaps SRed’s wife tries to run and save herself, with no thought of her children and is shot trying to escape (“a mother who died of weakness and shame”). It’s been suggested that, in an abandoned plot line, SRed’s wife was a drug addict. Perhaps she was high that night and that’s the reason why SRed has such a disdain for (non-opioid) drugs). It's not clear at this time. Regardless, the wife and Ballet girl are killed and the extraction team leaves. Meanwhile, SRed is on his way home for Christmas when he runs out of gas.
“It was Christmas Eve. I pulled off to the side of the road. Seemed like it’d been snowing for days. No traffic. No cars to come help. Just me and a car full of gifts. It was more than 20 years ago. I must have walked four miles five, maybe. It was so still. Just cold and white. The whole time, all I could think about was them in our house. The warm light in the windows, the smoke from the chimney. The sound of my daughter at the piano. The smell of the tree and the fire, oyster stew on the stove. I was so upset to think that I’d ruined Christmas for them, being late, leaving the gifts in the car. But the closer I got, the more I realized how funny the whole thing was, how much they’d love the story, daddy running out of gas, how every Christmas they’d get such joy from telling that story at my expense. And then, finally I got there. I walked I walked through the door. And there was just blood. All I saw was blood. All there was was blood. I can I can still s–smell the nape of her neck, feel her little fingers on my cheek her whisper in my ear. That’s why I didn’t show up in Florence. It’s why I haven’t shown up in a lot of places over the years.”
Arriving home SRed discovers the blood bath. He also finds Elizabeth – who had been hiding throughout the ordeal and went undiscovered by the extraction team (who had been told there was one daughter) - clutching her soft toy bunny. Devastated and confused, SRed leaves with Elizabeth. He contacts ORed, who tells him of LKat’s betrayal, of the Cabal and of the Fulcrum. SRed leaves in his wife’s car and takes Elizabeth to Rohoboth Beach, to meet with ORed (and Masha). When he arrives, he hides Elizabeth with her white bunny in the closet.
“SRed: Okay, stay here, sweetie. No matter what happens, you need to stay here and not come out until I come get you. Understand?”
Masha is already in there with her grey bunny, put there by ORed. LKat, Ilya, possibly other members of the Cabal arrive. ORed has hidden the Fulcrum bubble module in Masha’s grey bunny. ORed and LKat are arguing over ORed’s abduction of Masha.
“Elizabeth: What are they fighting about? Masha: It’s a secret.”
The secret is the hidden Fulcrum, which the adults also argue about.
“LKat: They’ll kill you if you don’t give it back to them. ORed: They’ll kill me if I do.”
Things become physical. Masha steps out of the closet.
“Elizabeth: Don’t go out there. You can’t go out there. No! No! Don’t! Daddy said not to come out!”
A gun is dropped which young Masha grabs. Seeking to stop her mother and ORed fighting she fires the gun, hitting ORed.
“SRed: Your mother was never the same after that. The man she loved killed by the child she adored – it was just too much.”
A fire breaks out. Perhaps lit by one of the children, or perhaps a lamp or candle is knocked over during the fight. The fire takes hold rapidly. After ORed is shot, SRed pulls Elizabeth from the closet, leaving the white bunny behind, and exits the house, sustaining severe burns to his back and neck (maybe his face) in the process.
“Elizabeth: I’m not leaving without Masha. Masha! SRed: She’s not going back with you. I know you’re scared, but it’s okay. Lizzy? Can you hear me?” “Elizabeth: The only memory I have of my real father is from the night of the fire. I remember him pulling me out of the flames. Saving me.”
Elizabeth’s wrist is burned as they leave.
“Elizabeth: My daddy gave it to me.”
LKat takes Masha, still clutching her grey bunny, and heads to her car. She returns to help Ilya pull ORed from the fire and attempts to revive him but is unsuccessful. They take the body with them in the boot of the car and bury it, after dropping Masha and her bunny off at the motel in Dover, DE with Mr Kaplan.
“Katarina: We did the right thing, right? Ilya: What thing? Katarina: Pulling him from the fire, trying to save his life? I can’t stop thinking about those firefighters, what might have happened if we’d left him there – if they found him, maybe they could’ve gotten him help, saved Raymond’s life. Ilya: He would’ve burned to death. We did everything we could, and we got him out. Katarina: And yet, he died.”
Later, the bones would be retrieved, placed in a suitcase and reburied at Tansi Farm (which may or may not be the farm on which Dom grew up). The initial ‘K’ would be carved into a tree, to commemorate LKat’s love for ORed.
“Kate: I’m sorry, Katarina.”
… SRed’s priority is to keep his daughter safe. He needs a safe place to go and someone who he can trust. He takes Elizabeth to Sam’s.
“Red: The way Sam told the story was that one night, an old friend showed up at his door, scared. The friend told Sam he was leaving town, that he was in danger, and that he needed someone to care for a little girl. That her father had died that night in a fire. So Sam took the little girl in, and he raised her as his own.”
SRed realizes that, in order to keep his daughter and himself safe, he must burn the RR identity, give up his daughter and the role of parent, and disappear. ….. December 26, 1990 Ored, who should have been home on Christmas Eve, does not arrive.
“Jennifer: Look at me. Anything? I’m your daughter. The one you abandoned 28 years ago on Christmas Eve … Did you think of me at all? In my pink room, in my pink pajamas, waiting for Santa. When I went to sleep, my world was perfect, and when I woke up, it was destroyed. My daddy gone. Did he just leave? Was it an accident?”
Concerned, Carla calls the authorities and reports her husband missing, but by this time, in an effort to both cover up the botched abduction and appease one of their most valuable assets, the Cabal has discredited ORed with the Gideon leak and branded him as a traitor and set up a number of offshore accounts with incriminating transactions. Alan Fitch sets in motion the events of the Kursk bombing and frames ORed for Berlin’s daughter’s bogus death. In 1994 SRed and Alan Fitch would come to a mutually beneficial agreement based on the Fulcrum and the Cabal’s activities. A code would be established whereby a specific floral arrangement would be sent if Red needed to make contact with Fitch. Carla is interrogated at length by the authorities as a suspected accessory to ORed’s crimes and her assets are frozen. Unbeknownst to Carla at the time, SRed has realized that ORed’s family is in danger from the Cabal, and arranges for them to be placed into WITSEC, where US Marshall Ian Garvey takes a special interest in them. They are relocated to Philadelphia and given new identities (Naiomi Hyland and Lily May Roth). When ORed’s bones resurface, Garvey would contact Carla and she would fake her death. In 1994, SRed would contact Carla, explain what happened to her husband and together they would come to an agreement on a plan designed to keep Carla and Jennifer safe. As SRed had stepped into ORed’s identity, to deter her from seeking him out, Jennifer would be told that her father was a threat. SRed would arrange for Carla to receive plastic surgery from Dr Kohler.
“SRed: You look different. Carla: Not as different as you.”
A code would be established whereby one or the other would place an advertisement in Cat Fanatic magazine should contact need to be made. THE PLAN LKat contacts SRed to discuss the predicament they find themselves in. Both the US and Russia are hunting Katarina Rostova. The Townsend Directive has been activated. Together, they come up with a plan. Step 1 – Deal with the nanny First, Masha needs to be cared for, and, in order for the ruse to work, the nanny needs to be dealt with. LKat was genuinely fond of Mr Kaplan and was grateful for her support and loyalty so did not want her killed but needed a way to permanently separate her from Masha.
“You have to leave Masha with someone unconnected, who I can trust. I want you to get in touch with Sam Milhoan. He’s listed. Kearney, Nebraska.”
But Sam is already taking care of Elizabeth and Mr Kaplan cannot know about her. Elizabeth is temporarily moved to ‘foster care’; likely a trusted friend of SRed. He tries to discourage Mr Kaplan.
“Sam Milhoan: I’m sorry you had to drive all this way. But I’m in no position to help here. I told Kat. Kathryn: Katarina called you? Sam: Sure did. And she sent you anyway. Kathryn: She told me that you are the only person who knew both her and Raymond, the only one they both trusted. Sam: Yeah, well, that may be. Kathryn: Of all the people in the world, she chose you to protect her daughter–“
Eventually, Sam gives in and agrees to take Masha. Step 2 – Fake LKat’s death LKat will ‘commit suicide’ at Cape May. No body will be found, but clothes will be left on the beach and a personal locket from her father, which will be used to identify her.
“Red: Your mother was never the same after that. The man she loved killed by the child she adored – it was just too much. Two months later, she went to Cape May and left her clothes on the beach, walked into the ocean and was never seen again.”
But Cape May didn’t go according to plan and it would be many months before LKat would disappear after having relocated both her parents with Ilya’s help and setting up Box 642 as a means of contact. In the meantime, LKat has disclosed to Ilya the offshore accounts and Ilya has come up with a cunning plan on how to get the money. LKat shares the plan with SRed. Changes are made. Instead of Ilya, SRed will step into the shoes of ORed. Not just to access the funds, but to protect Elizabeth and seek revenge on those who destroyed his family. He already shares the identity (and potentially has a familial resemblance) so is the logical choice. Some of the $40M will be used to fund LKat’s disappearance and some will be used to set up a criminal empire. In secret, SRed approaches trusted individuals at the FBI/CIA/Pentagon and sets up a deep cover operation. A sanctioned long con, that will eventually deliver some of the worst criminals to justice. Step 3 – The surgery SRed undergoes plastic surgery with Dr Abraham Maltz to fix the visible burn scars on his neck and face but elects to retain the scars on his back.
“SRed: I hope you’re not uncomfortable. It was necessary for me to make – some changes to my appearance.”
LKat also undergoes plastic surgery with Dr Koehler and receives a brand new face to go with her new identity. While the plan is being set up, Ilya and Dom, understanding that LKat and Masha will always be hunted while the Townsend Directive is in play, conspire to deliver a dead Katarina by setting up her doppleganger BKat in Belgrade. Ilya lures her out of retirement with one final job. It’s a failed attempt and Pyotr is killed. BKat goes into hiding, vowing to get revenge for the betrayal. Heartbroken, having lost the only man she loved, having to give up her precious daughter to keep her safe, LKat disappears with her new face and her new identity. MOCKINGBIRD Elizabeth is collected from foster care and taken to Dr Krilov to have her memories manipulated.
“Orchard: The people and the events may have been there, but indifferent roles. I know this is difficult to comprehend. Liz: Are you telling me I may never know what really happened that night? Orchard: I’m telling you that the only people who could tell you what really happened are the people who want you to forget.”
“SRed: The memory of an accident, a tragedy, a fire in which a 4-year old girl killed her father.”
“Elizabeth: What I remember is leaving my father dying on the floor of a burning house. There’s no way he could have survived that. SRed: Lizzy the memories of a 4-year old are unreliable.”
Happy memories are substituted – playing in a Christmas Tree lot with her parents. Masha is placed with another family and Elizabeth is reinstated with Sam.
“Red: Be careful, Lizzy. Because the truth of it is, once you start down this road there’s no logical place to stop. You can see to her education, health insurance, housing. You can watch her or have her watched, keep her safe, try to ascertain her hopes, dreams, desires. Pull strings, call in favors to discreetly smooth the path. And for the first few years, it may work. You’ll draw some measure of virtue from being her invisible benefactor. Red: But that won’t last. It’s all a fraud. That it’s really not about her at all. That it’s all about you. And you’re just going through the motions to salve your own guilt. Look, all the money, all the time and effort, all the favors in the world cannot possibly equal what you took away from her. Everything else is just a nice gesture.”
And from the garbled fire memory with Dr Orchard:
“Elizabeth: Who’s Masha? Masha: You are.”
….. Elizabeth is raised by Sam, under SRed’s remote guidance and financial support and eventually joins the FBI. THE TASKFORCE SRed continues working deep cover, building his criminal empire, all hopes of being a parent to Elizabeth crushed. To Tom:
“SRed: Complete this mission and come back alive? Maybe you can, maybe you can’t. Or do you mean complete this mission alive, come back and raise your daughter as if you were a real parent? Her only parent? Because thatI knowyou can’t do.”
He rescues Dembe and hires Mr Kaplan in 1997. Eventually, his empire comes under attack, and he realizes that LKat’s past is catching up with him and, by extension, Elizabeth. It’s time for the spy to come in from the cold.
“Grey: Assistant Director Harold Cooper just arrived at headquarters. Now would be a good time to move. Kate: You can’t just stroll into her life after all these years. This is a mistake. Red: I’m aware of your feelings, Kate. Kate: Raymond, stop. The instant you walk through that door, the damage will be done. You’ll destroy her innocence, everything we’ve been fighting to be preserved. You’ll never undo it. Red: As I feared would happen, elements from Katarina’s past are circling Elizabeth like a pack of wolves in the night. I put Tom Keen in her life to keep an eye on her, and he married her. Kate: This isn’t about Tom Keen. It’s about your need for control. Red: Indeed, I need to control the danger to Elizabeth. I’ve built a vast criminal network predicated on that very principal. It’s time to live up to my mission statement.”
The Post Office is set up, the task force assembled and they go after Ahab’s whales. While SRed has managed to hold off most of Elizabeth’s questions about how they are connected, a turning point is reached when Dembe sends her to the Bethesda flat to collect the interface and key for the Fulcrum. Elizabeth finds a photo of her with her biological mother. This is where, from Elizabeth’s POV, the charade of Elizabeth is Masha commences. Elizabeth accelerates the threat by declaring herself as Masha Rostova at the Russian Embassy. [It’s also possible that Elizabeth discovered evidence of the whole truth in the flat. This is the episode that pre-dates Dr Krilov’s comments by two years.
“Krilov: Not 25 years ago. Just two. You were brought to me by a mutual acquaintance of ours who wanted me to take certain memories away from … Let us say you had uncovered a certain truth about Raymond Reddington.” ]
….. Still here? You’ve done well. You'll need to read Part 2 to round things off.
It’s not common that a story begins with a Police officer robbing a gas station at knifepoint, but not all stories are created equal. And so, a tragic chain of events led the former police officer boyfriend of Nicola Dixon to stick up a petrol station cashier with a bladed weapon, more than three years after she was murdered. James Winfield had been seeing the murdered schoolgirl for most of 1996, but the couple broke up just before she was killed on New Year's Eve. What became clear over the following years was that her death had a terrible, traumatizing effect on him. When he was convicted of robbery in 1999, the court heard how he threatened a terrified assistant while wearing a balaclava mask and brandishing a jagged edged knife, because he was depressed by her death. James Winfield pleaded guilty to robbery and was given a two-year prison sentence, suspended for two years. At Birmingham Crown Court, Judge Laurence Marshall said there was “absolutely no doubt'” that the effect that Nicola's death had on Winfield had been an overwhelming factor in his motives for committing the violent robbery. He told him, “Nicola's death was a most horrific event and prior to her brutal murder you had lived an exceptional life and had a rosy future”. Ex-grammar school pupil Winfield was considered a star pupil at school and represented his county at rugby and swimming. Judge Marshall said that at the time of the offence, Winfield was in a 'highly vulnerable state' and was undergoing psychiatric counselling. Chris Millington, Winfield’s defence attorney, told the court that Winfield and Nicola started dating early in 1996 but by the end of the year he had ended the relationship, yet the pair had remained close friends. The defence attorney also said that Winfield was not 17-year-old Nicola's boyfriend at the time of her murder in the grounds of Holy Trinity Church in Sutton Coldfield on New Year's Eve 1996. But he said the killing had a profound effect on Winfield, particularly as it happened only a few hundred yards from where he was at the time. “He was utterly devastated by it. Although he had broken off their relationship by that time, he still felt a sense of responsibility for Nicola” Winfield was later interviewed four times by murder squad detectives and this too had caused him great stress. He was always protective of Nicola, and the idea that he was an actual suspect in her murder was psychologically devastating to him. He was later eliminated from inquiries following the results of DNA tests but by this time he had fallen into acute depression and had started to drink heavily in an attempt to escape the feelings of shame and guilt. In June 1998, Winfield resigned from the police force and got a job as an assistant manager in a pub, something that may well have contributed to his alcoholism. At the time of the gas station robbery, Winfield was suffering mental illness and was desperate to repay a debt to his mother. Prosecutor Stephen Bailey said Winfield lunged at the young cashier when he tried to press a panic button. He grabbed just over £100 from a till and ran off but was found by police a short time later hiding in bushes nearby. The cashier was shocked but otherwise unhurt. The man who ended up being charged with the murder of Nicola Dixon was actually the best friend of one of Nicola's former boyfriends, who has been living in Australia until just before Nicola’s murder. Colin Waite was arrested shortly after returning to the UK. Both James Winfield and Colin Waite were understood to have been questioned regarding the murder shortly after it had taken place. Waite later left Britain for Australia, but returned to the UK not long after, where it is understood there was an outstanding warrant for his arrest. That may explain why police, who have been repeatedly questioned over their inability to solve the high- profile murder, have always been confident that they would ultimately charge someone with Nicola's murder. Now a DNA breakthrough is believed to have provided fresh evidence in the case which sparked one of the biggest manhunts in the history of West Midlands Police. Nicola, an art and photography student, had been walking alone to a party when she was attacked. Her naked and bruised corpse had been found on the church grounds the following morning. An inquest heard that the A-level pupil had been sexually assaulted, but had died from severe head injuries. Detectives have since recorded almost three thousand statements and have taken DNA samples from more than nine thousand men. But despite the huge police operation, which has involved hundreds of officers and detectives, as well as a £20,000 reward being posted, no-one was charged until long after the murder. Waite was arrested by detectives from West Midlands Police. He was later questioned at Bloxwich Police station, where a police source said “he was arrested sometime earlier on an unrelated matter and a DNA swab was taken. It was checked against samples taken from the Nicola Dixon murder scene”. At what is believed to be Waite's family home in Highgate, Birmingham, a Jamaican woman refused to discuss the arrest last night and threatened to call the police to our reporter. “Go away, I have nothing to say”, she is reported to have said. Neighbours said they knew very little about the Waite family. One stated that “a couple in their sixties live in the house and they have a number of grown up children, we say hello whenever we see each other but apart from that I don't know a lot about them”. Detective Superintendent Matt Sawers, said “the arrest was a result of an intelligence breakthrough from forensic processes”. On the night she died, Nicola, who studied at Fairfax School in Sutton Coldfield, had set out to walk half a mile from a hospital social club to meet friends at a pub party. Her killer struck as she took a short cut down an alleyway near the church, and she never arrived at the pub. She had stayed at home in Corncrake Close, Sutton Coldfield, over the festive period to take her driving test on New Year's Eve while the rest of her family travelled to visit relatives in Northumberland. The test was cancelled because of snow. Close to the anniversary of the murder last year, her father Andy said police had 'strong DNA evidence' that could eventually catch her murderer. He added, “if the killer commits another crime, then he will end up behind bars”. West Midlands Police had also disclosed that they monitored the national DNA database for comparisons between samples from the murder scene. Nicola Dixon’s father, a 51 year old civil engineer, had said, “my wife Rita and I are always hopeful that one day this man will be caught. We feel that someone, somewhere, must know something about the murder or at least have a suspicion about a particular person. Even after all this time it is not too late”. Last night the couple, who have been kept closely informed of the latest developments, said they would not be commenting on the arrest. Waite, a vehicle examiner for a credit company and a father of four from Highgate, Birmingham, denied murder, claiming that he spent the night with his girlfriend and brother in Birmingham. After the verdict, he was handed a life sentence. He protested his innocence and his brother, after shouting abuse at the jury, attacked photographers with a walking stick. It seems Waite was born into a violent family, and in the end, it was his violent nature that would consume his life, as well as Nicola’s.
2019.12.31 01:39 manbeqrpigOffseason look ahead part 1
This is a position by position breakdown of our roster going into the offseason. Today will be the offense while defense and special teams will come at a later date, my goal is to finish it by Wednesday . QB- Lock, Flacco, Allen, Rypien While frankly he was pretty average in his play, Lock is obviously the future and will definitely be the starter. The more interesting situation is the backup. While Flacco is under contract for next year he costs far more than what we should be spending for a backup. Allen meanwhile inspired no confidence in his short stint. I personally would cut Flacco, let Allen walk, and see what you could find in the market RB- Lindsey, Freeman, Booker, Riddick Royce and Phil have established themselves as a solid one two punch. However we have a need for a third down back with Booker and Riddick being free agents. Lindsey’s skill set suggests he can fill the role, however he struggled as a pass blocker this year and was an average pass catcher so I would look at the market for someone who can step into that role. FB- Jano Do we really need to talk about this at all? Everybody loves Jano WR- Sutton, Patrick, Hamilton, Spencer, winfree, Brown Sutton is a beast and a future pro bowler but beyond that this is a significant position of need. In his 8 games Patrick was solid but not a fear inducing number 2 while Hamilton struggled in the slot for most of the year. Dionte Spencer is worth bringing back as a punt returner but that’s about it while Winfree is still and unknown. With such a deep WR class this definitely feels like a spot to target fairly early in the draft, maybe even in the first round. TE- Fant, Heuerman, Fumagalli, Butt, Beck, Fort This is probably the most interesting position on offense. With no context, Fant struggled this season. However his improvement as the season went along tells me he can become a major weapon in this offense, potentially as soon as next year. We also don’t have any TE’s who are really good blockers as Heuerman is our best blocker but he is nothing special. We obviously won’t take 6 TE’s on our roster next year but all of them are under contract for next year. How Elway trims this spot while potentially adding a better blocking TE is one of the more interesting things to watch this offseason. Personally I would roll with Fant, Heuerman, Beck and unknown new guy who’s a stud blocker T- Bolles, James, Wilkerson, Rodgers Bolles is better than we as fans give him credit for. IF, and that’s a big if, he reigns in his holding penalties than he can be one of the better LT in the game. That being said that has been a problem his whole career so I would decline his 5th year option and hope that that sparks improvement. On the right side, James will start because of his contract but he’s a big unknown with his knees. Wilkerson struggled a tackle this year while Rodgers looked good in his small sample. I would re sign Rodgers as the swing tackle and use Wilkerson as the backup on the inside. G- Risner, Leary, Schlottman Risner is locked in at LG but RG is pretty interesting. Both Leary and Schlottman struggled but both are under contract. However Leary has a team option which I believe should be declined and Schlottman can be cut for next to nothing. Look for Elway to address this spot during the offseason. C- McGovern, Morris McGovern is a RFA but is completely worth bringing back. Morris played well in his one appearance so is worth bringing back. All in all the offense doesn’t have many needs believe it or not. It’s possible 9 starters are back at the start of next year. OL depth is definitely still an issue as well but the backups performed admirably, albeit against weak teams. Lock’s development is critical for the success of this entire unit but I’m hopeful. If Elway finds a legitimate second receiver it’s possible that we could have a top half offense next year and that’s all we need with a Fangio defense to be a legitimate playoff team.
2019.12.27 15:13 CaesarNaples2The future is looking bright, this morning, all the better to launch everything!
1999 The Story Girl by L M (Lucy Maud) Montgomery.txt 2000 The Three Comrades by Kristína Royová.txt 2001 The Lady of Lynn by Walter Besant.txt 2002 Buckskin Mose; Or Life From the Lakes to the Pacific as Ac by George W Perrie.txt 2003 New Arabian Nights by Robert Louis Stevenson.txt 2004 The Awakening of Helena Richie by Margaret Wade Campbell Deland.txt 2005 A Mock Idyl by Percy Ross.txt 2006 Ragged Dick Or Street Life in New York with the Boot-Black by Horatio Alger.txt 2007 The Red River Half-Breed; A Tale of the Wild North-West by Gustave Aimard.txt 2008 Castle Craneycrow by George Barr McCutcheon.txt 2009 Up the Hill and Over by Isabel Ecclestone Mackay.txt 2010 Every Man for Himself by Norman Duncan.txt 2011 The Land of Lure; A Story of the Columbia River Basin by Elliott Smith.txt 2012 In a Steamer Chair and Other Stories by Robert Barr.txt 2013 One Day's Courtship and The Heralds of Fame by Robert Barr.txt 2014 The Gentleman from Indiana by Booth Tarkington.txt 2015 Jennie Baxter Journalist by Robert Barr.txt 2016 The Machine That Floats by Joe Gibson.txt 2017 Astounding Stories August 1931 by Various.txt 2018 The Prairie Wife by Arthur Stringer.txt 2019 Mendel; A Story of Youth by Gilbert Cannan.txt 2020 Carnival by Compton MacKenzie.txt 2021 Woman Triumphant (La Maja Desnuda) by Vicente Blasco Ibáñez.txt 2022 The Green God by Frederic Arnold Kummer.txt 2023 The Kentucky Warbler by James Lane Allen.txt 2024 Lord Arthur Savile's Crime; The Portrait of Mr WH and Ot by Oscar Wilde.txt 2025 Zehru of Xollar by Hal K Wells.txt 2026 Roads of Destiny by O Henry.txt 2027 The Lesser Bourgeoisie by Honoré de Balzac.txt 2028 Lilith; A Romance by George MacDonald.txt 2029 Ferragus Chief of the Dévorants by Honoré de Balzac.txt 2030 Average Jones by Samuel Hopkins Adams.txt 2031 When a Man's Single; A Tale of Literary Life by J M (James Matthew) Barrie.txt 2032 The Spanish Brothers; A Tale of the Sixteenth Century by Deborah Alcock.txt 2033 Old Rambling House by Frank Herbert.txt 2034 Gabrielle of the Lagoon; A Romance of the South Seas by W H (William Henry) Myddleton.txt 2035 Two Timer by Fredric Brown.txt 2036 Jan and Her Job by L Allen (Lizzie Allen) Harker.txt 2037 Camilla; or A Picture of Youth by Fanny Burney.txt 2038 Spacemen Never Die by Morris Hershman.txt 2039 Miss Heck's Thanksgiving Party; or Topsy Up To Date by Ida Hamilton Munsell.txt 2040 Dogfight—1973 by Mack Reynolds.txt 2041 The Crime and the Criminal by Richard Marsh.txt 2042 The Chase of the Ruby by Richard Marsh.txt 2043 Deerbrook by Harriet Martineau.txt 2044 Main-Travelled Roads by Hamlin Garland.txt 2045 Ramona by Helen Hunt Jackson.txt 2046 The Rise of David Levinsky by Abraham Cahan.txt 2047 Rose in Bloom; A Sequel to Eight Cousins by Louisa May Alcott.txt 2048 Without a Home by Edward Payson Roe.txt 2049 No Thoroughfare by Wilkie Collins.txt 2050 The Altar Steps by Compton MacKenzie.txt 2051 El Verdugo by Honoré de Balzac.txt 2052 Castle Rackrent by Maria Edgeworth.txt 2053 A Drama on the Seashore by Honoré de Balzac.txt 2054 The Recruit by Honoré de Balzac.txt 2055 Dr Breen's Practice by William Dean Howells.txt 2056 Their Wedding Journey by William Dean Howells.txt 2057 The Redemption of David Corson by Charles Frederic Goss.txt 2058 Hatchie the Guardian Slave; or The Heiress of Bellevue; A by Warren T Ashton.txt 2059 Rex Ex Machina by Frederic Max.txt 2060 The Kentons by William Dean Howells.txt 2061 Fennel and Rue by William Dean Howells.txt 2062 That Mother-in-Law of Mine by Anonymous.txt 2063 Two Royal Foes by Eva Annie Madden.txt 2064 The Heart's Secret; Or the Fortunes of a Soldier; a Story o by Maturin Murray Ballou.txt 2065 This World Must Die by H B (Horace Bowne) Fyfe.txt 2066 For the Major; A Novelette by Constance Fenimore Woolson.txt 2067 With Drake on the Spanish Main by Herbert Strang.txt 2068 Charles Rex by Ethel M (Ethel May) Dell.txt 2069 Ragged Lady — Complete by William Dean Howells.txt 2070 The Three Sapphires by William Alexander Fraser.txt 2071 Nedra by George Barr McCutcheon.txt 2072 Ruth by Elizabeth Cleghorn Gaskell.txt 2073 Wives and Daughters by Elizabeth Cleghorn Gaskell.txt 2074 The Hill of Dreams by Arthur Machen.txt 2075 Helen and Arthur; or Miss Thusa's Spinning Wheel by Caroline Lee Hentz.txt 2076 Laicus; Or the Experiences of a Layman in a Country Parish by Lyman Abbott.txt 2077 In the Fire of the Forge; A Romance of Old Nuremberg — Compl by Georg Ebers.txt 2078 Tales of the Chesapeake by George Alfred Townsend.txt 2079 Uncle's Dream; and The Permanent Husband by Fyodor Dostoyevsky.txt 2080 Through Night to Light; A Novel by Friedrich Spielhagen.txt 2081 What the Swallow Sang; A Novel by Friedrich Spielhagen.txt 2082 At the Crossroads by Harriet T (Harriet Theresa) Comstock.txt 2083 The Mystery of Choice by Robert W (Robert William) Chambers.txt 2084 Robinetta by Allan McAulay.txt 2085 The Shepherd of the North by Richard Aumerle Maher.txt 2086 Lords of the Housetops; Thirteen Cat Tales by Unknown.txt 2087 The Angel of the Revolution; A Tale of the Coming Terror by George Chetwynd Griffith.txt 2088 The Wealth of Echindul by Noel M Loomis.txt 2089 Master of the Moondog by Stanley Mullen.txt 2090 The Wooing of Calvin Parks by Laura Elizabeth Howe Richards.txt 2091 Gadsby; A Story of Over 50000 Words Without Using the Lette by Ernest Vincent Wright.txt 2092 Thomas Jefferson Brown by James Oliver Curwood.txt 2093 The Denver Express; From Belgravia for January 1884 by Augustus Allen Hayes.txt 2094 The Glory of Ippling by Helen M Urban.txt 2095 Monte-Cristo's Daughter by Edmund Flagg.txt 2096 The Bishop of Cottontown; A Story of the Southern Cotton Mil by John Trotwood Moore.txt 2097 A Matter of Importance by Murray Leinster.txt 2098 The Moonshiners At Hoho-Hebee Falls; 1895 by Mary Noailles Murfree.txt 2099 The Phantoms Of The Foot-Bridge; 1895 by Mary Noailles Murfree.txt 2100 His Day In Court; 1895 by Mary Noailles Murfree.txt 2101 'way Down In Lonesome Cove; 1895 by Mary Noailles Murfree.txt 2102 Cashel Byron's Profession by Bernard Shaw.txt 2103 The Cathedral by J-K (Joris-Karl) Huysmans.txt 2104 When Ghost Meets Ghost by William De Morgan.txt 2105 The Co-Citizens by Corra Harris.txt 2106 The Guns of Europe by Joseph A (Joseph Alexander) Altsheler.txt 2107 The Gland Stealers by Bertram Gayton.txt 2108 Colonel Carter's Christmas and The Romance of an Old-Fashion by Francis Hopkinson Smith.txt 2109 Brandon of the Engineers by Harold Bindloss.txt 2110 Masters of the Wheat-Lands by Harold Bindloss.txt 2111 The Long Trick by Bartimeus.txt 2112 Oldtown Fireside Stories by Harriet Beecher Stowe.txt 2113 In The Boyhood of Lincoln; A Tale of the Tunker Schoolmaster by Hezekiah Butterworth.txt 2114 Sea-Dogs All; A Tale of Forest and Sea by Tom Bevan.txt 2115 The Man Who Lost Himself by H De Vere (Henry De Vere) Stacpoole.txt 2116 Peter the Priest by Mór Jókai.txt 2117 Nobody by Louis Joseph Vance.txt 2118 A Dream of John Ball; and A King's Lesson by William Morris.txt 2119 Beyond the City by Arthur Conan Doyle.txt 2120 The Parasite; A Story by Arthur Conan Doyle.txt 2121 Buttered Side Down; Stories by Edna Ferber.txt 2122 Of Human Bondage by W Somerset (William Somerset) Maugham.txt 2123 Seven Miles to Arden by Ruth Sawyer.txt 2124 Domnei; A Comedy of Woman-Worship by James Branch Cabell.txt 2125 A Mummer's Wife by George Augustus Moore.txt 2126 The Scarlet Car by Richard Harding Davis.txt 2127 Poison Island by Arthur Quiller-Couch.txt 2128 Mademoiselle Miss and Other Stories by Henry Harland.txt 2129 Bruvver Jim's Baby by Philip Verrill Mighels.txt 2130 The Pickwick Papers by Charles Dickens.txt 2131 Pamela or Virtue Rewarded by Samuel Richardson.txt 2132 Toilers of the Sea by Victor Hugo.txt 2133 Brink of Madness by Walter J Sheldon.txt 2134 Their Pilgrimage by Charles Dudley Warner.txt 2135 Mr Prohack by Arnold Bennett.txt 2136 Helen with the High Hand (2nd ed) by Arnold Bennett.txt 2137 The Coming of Cassidy—And the Others by Clarence Edward Mulford.txt 2138 A Columbus of Space by Garrett Putman Serviss.txt 2139 Jubilation USA by G L Vandenburg.txt 2140 —And Devious the Line of Duty by Tom Godwin.txt 2141 The Visits of Elizabeth by Elinor Glyn.txt 2142 Behind a Mask; or a Woman's Power by Louisa May Alcott.txt 2143 The Heavenly Twins by Sarah Grand.txt 2144 The Pot of Gold and Other Stories by Mary Eleanor Wilkins Freeman.txt 2145 Ecstasy A Study of Happiness; A Novel by Louis Couperus.txt 2146 The Little Minister by J M (James Matthew) Barrie.txt 2147 The Path Of Duty by Henry James.txt 2148 Tommy by Joseph Hocking.txt 2149 Philip Steele of the Royal Northwest Mounted Police by James Oliver Curwood.txt 2150 The Hand but Not the Heart; Or The Life-Trials of Jessie Lo by T S (Timothy Shay) Arthur.txt 2151 The Success Machine by Henry Slesar.txt 2152 The Heroine by Eaton Stannard Barrett.txt 2153 The Purcell Papers; Index and Contents of the Three Volumes by Joseph Sheridan Le Fanu.txt 2154 A Collection of Stories Reviews and Essays by Willa Cather.txt 2155 Mauprat by George Sand.txt 2156 Oneness by James H Schmitz.txt 2157 Lady Luck by Hugh Wiley.txt 2158 Alarm Clock by Everett B Cole.txt 2159 Lorraine; A Romance by Robert W (Robert William) Chambers.txt 2160 Angel Unawares; A Story of Christmas Eve by C N (Charles Norris) Williamson.txt 2161 A Transmutation of Muddles by H B (Horace Bowne) Fyfe.txt 2162 The Thorn in the Nest by Martha Finley.txt 2163 Anno Domini 2000; or Woman's Destiny by Julius Vogel.txt 2164 Gladiator by Philip Wylie.txt 2165 Something Will Turn Up by David Mason.txt 2166 Thorley Weir by E F (Edward Frederic) Benson.txt 2167 The English Rogue; Continued in the Life of Meriton Latroon by Francis Kirkman.txt 2168 Just So Stories by Rudyard Kipling.txt 2169 A Fair Mystery; The Story of a Coquette by Charlotte M Brame.txt 2170 From the Memoirs of a Minister of France by Stanley John Weyman.txt 2171 Thais by Anatole France.txt 2172 The Foolish Lovers by St John G (St John Greer) Ervine.txt 2173 The House of Cobwebs and Other Stories by George Gissing.txt 2174 The World of Ice by R M (Robert Michael) Ballantyne.txt 2175 Michael by E F (Edward Frederic) Benson.txt 2176 The Turquoise Cup and the Desert by Arthur Cosslett Smith.txt 2177 Brown John's Body by Winston K Marks.txt 2178 The Vanishing Point by Coningsby Dawson.txt 2179 Crotchet Castle by Thomas Love Peacock.txt 2180 The Raft by Coningsby Dawson.txt 2181 Captain Scraggs; Or The Green-Pea Pirates by Peter B (Peter Bernard) Kyne.txt 2182 The Marriage of William Ashe by Humphry Ward.txt 2183 The Wing-and-Wing; Or Le Feu-Follet by James Fenimore Cooper.txt 2184 The Social Gangster by Arthur B (Arthur Benjamin) Reeve.txt 2185 Flight From Tomorrow by H Beam Piper.txt 2186 Wailing Wall by Roger D Aycock.txt 2187 The Nigger Of The Narcissus; A Tale Of The Forecastle by Joseph Conrad.txt 2188 The Ocean Waifs; A Story of Adventure on Land and Sea by Mayne Reid.txt 2189 The Plant Hunters; Adventures Among the Himalaya Mountains by Mayne Reid.txt 2190 Wood Rangers; The Trappers of Sonora by Mayne Reid.txt 2191 Round the Corner; Being the Life and Death of Francis Christ by Gilbert Cannan.txt 2192 The Shadow of the Czar by John R Carling.txt 2193 The Professional Aunt by Mary C E Wemyss.txt 2194 The Four Faces; A Mystery by William Le Queux.txt 2195 Calvary Alley by Alice Caldwell Hegan Rice.txt 2196 The Last Straw by Harold Titus.txt 2197 The Trail of the Axe; A Story of Red Sand Valley by Ridgwell Cullum.txt 2198 Overshadowed; A Novel by Sutton E (Sutton Elbert) Griggs.txt 2199 The Dual Alliance by Marjorie Benton Cooke.txt 2200 The Fourth R by George O (George Oliver) Smith.txt 2201 The Missing Bride by Emma Dorothy Eliza Nevitte Southworth.txt 2202 The Perfume of Eros; A Fifth Avenue Incident by Edgar Saltus.txt 2203 Plashers Mead; A Novel by Compton MacKenzie.txt 2204 A Fearful Responsibility and Other Stories by William Dean Howells.txt 2205 Boon The Mind of the Race The Wild Asses of the Devil and by H G (Herbert George) Wells.txt 2206 The Misfit Christmas Puddings by Consolation Club.txt 2207 Sudden Jim by Clarence Budington Kelland.txt 2208 Meccania the Super-State by Owen Gregory.txt 2209 A Fine Fix by Ray C Noll.txt 2210 The City of Beautiful Nonsense by E Temple (Ernest Temple) Thurston.txt 2211 The Firing Line by Robert W (Robert William) Chambers.txt 2212 People Like That; A Novel by Kate Langley Bosher.txt 2213 Jimmy Quixote; A Novel by Tom Gallon.txt 2214 The Man in Lonely Land by Kate Langley Bosher.txt 2215 The Macdermots of Ballycloran by Anthony Trollope.txt 2216 Desert Dust by Edwin L (Edwin Legrand) Sabin.txt 2217 Fanshawe by Nathaniel Hawthorne.txt 2218 A Girl Among the Anarchists by Isabel Meredith.txt 2219 Gaut Gurley; Or the Trappers of Umbagog; A Tale of Border L by Daniel P (Daniel Pierce) Thompson.txt 2220 The Elm Tree Tales by F Burge (Frances Burge) Griswold.txt 2221 The Pilgrim's Progress in Words of One Syllable by John Bunyan.txt 2222 They Twinkled Like Jewels by Philip José Farmer.txt 2223 Regeneration by Charles Dye.txt 2224 As Gold in the Furnace ; A College Story by J E (John Edwin) Copus.txt 2225 Jack of Both Sides; The Story of a School War by Florence Coombe.txt 2226 The Yazoo Mystery; A Novel by Irving Craddock.txt 2227 The Real Adventure by Henry Kitchell Webster.txt 2228 A Cathedral Singer by James Lane Allen.txt 2229 Jorrocks' Jaunts and Jollities by Robert Smith Surtees.txt 2230 Mrs Warren's Daughter; A Story of the Woman's Movement by Harry Johnston.txt 2231 Victorian Short Stories; Stories of Courtship by Unknown.txt 2232 Jess of the Rebel Trail by H A (Hiram Alfred) Cody.txt 2233 The Politeness of Princes and Other School Stories by P G (Pelham Grenville) Wodehouse.txt 2234 True Riches; Or Wealth Without Wings by T S (Timothy Shay) Arthur.txt 2235 The Literary Sense by E (Edith) Nesbit.txt 2236 Inez; A Tale of the Alamo by Augusta J (Augusta Jane) Evans.txt 2237 Fickle Fortune by E Werner.txt 2238 Marguerite Verne; Or Scenes from Canadian Life by Rebecca Agatha Armour.txt 2239 The Purple Land; Being the Narrative of One Richard Lamb's A by W H (William Henry) Hudson.txt 2240 Ringfield; A Novel by S Frances (Susie Frances) Harrison.txt 2241 Cerebrum by Albert Teichner.txt 2242 The Story of a Country Town by E W (Edgar Watson) Howe.txt 2243 Sundry Accounts by Irvin S (Irvin Shrewsbury) Cobb.txt 2244 Jerry Junior by Jean Webster.txt 2245 The Sign at Six by Stewart Edward White.txt 2246 The Doings of Raffles Haw by Arthur Conan Doyle.txt 2247 The Gods of Pegana by Lord Dunsany.txt 2248 The Gentleman; A Romance of the Sea by Alfred Ollivant.txt 2249 A Devotee; An Episode in the Life of a Butterfly by Mary Cholmondeley.txt 2250 The Tides of Barnegat by Francis Hopkinson Smith.txt 2251 Prince Charlie by Burford Delannoy.txt 2252 Martie the Unconquered by Kathleen Thompson Norris.txt 2253 Wakulla; a story of adventure in Florida by Kirk Munroe.txt 2254 A Romance of Two Worlds; A Novel by Marie Corelli.txt 2255 The Woman Who Did by Grant Allen.txt 2256 The Forsyte Saga - Complete by John Galsworthy.txt 2257 The Cloister and the Hearth by Charles Reade.txt 2258 The Bride of Lammermoor by Walter Scott.txt 2259 Goldsmith's Friend Abroad Again by Mark Twain.txt 2260 Shaman by Robert Shea.txt 2261 The Cost by David Graham Phillips.txt 2262 Moods by Louisa May Alcott.txt 2263 Paz (La Fausse Maitresse) by Honoré de Balzac.txt 2264 Sand Doom by Murray Leinster.txt 2265 The Ultimate Experiment by Thornton DeKy.txt 2266 The Last of the Chiefs; A Story of the Great Sioux War by Joseph A (Joseph Alexander) Altsheler.txt 2267 Chivalry by James Branch Cabell.txt 2268 Slingshot by Irving W Lande.txt 2269 She's All the World to Me by Hall Caine.txt 2270 Plain Mary Smith; A Romance of Red Saunders by Henry Wallace Phillips.txt 2271 The Hills of Refuge; A Novel by Will N (Will Nathaniel) Harben.txt 2272 The Second String by Nat Gould.txt 2273 Romance Island by Zona Gale.txt 2274 The Deemster by Hall Caine.txt 2275 Summer by Edith Wharton.txt 2276 The Last Shot by Frederick Palmer.txt 2277 The Flight of the Shadow by George MacDonald.txt 2278 Sense and Sensibility by Jane Austen.txt 2279 The Return by H Beam Piper.txt 2280 An Attic Philosopher in Paris — Complete by Émile Souvestre.txt 2281 The adventures of Alphonso and Marina; An Interesting Spanis by Florian.txt 2282 Confessions of an Etonian by I E M.txt 2283 When the Mountain Shook by Robert Abernathy.txt 2284 Murder at Bridge by Anne Austin.txt 2285 Mr Spaceship by Philip K Dick.txt 2286 The Plunderer by Henry Oyen.txt 2287 Piper in the Woods by Philip K Dick.txt 2288 A Touch of E Flat by Joe Gibson.txt 2289 Everyman's Land by A M (Alice Muriel) Williamson.txt 2290 Walking Shadows; Sea Tales and Others by Alfred Noyes.txt 2291 Mr Claghorn's Daughter by Hilary Trent.txt 2292 Six Prize Hawaiian Stories of the Kilohana Art League by Emma Louise Smith Dillingham.txt 2293 A Modern Buccaneer by Rolf Boldrewood.txt 2294 Talents Incorporated by Murray Leinster.txt 2295 My Man Jeeves by P G (Pelham Grenville) Wodehouse.txt 2296 The Market-Place by Harold Frederic.txt 2297 Tales from Two Hemispheres by Hjalmar Hjorth Boyesen.txt 2298 Success Story by Robert Turner.txt 2299 The Captain of the Polestar and Other Tales by Arthur Conan Doyle.txt 2300 Asteroid of Fear by Raymond Z Gallun.txt 2301 Beauty and the Beast and Tales of Home by Bayard Taylor.txt 2302 The Stark Munro Letters; Being series of twelve letters writ by Arthur Conan Doyle.txt 2303 The Golden Age by Kenneth Grahame.txt 2304 The Mystery Girl by Carolyn Wells.txt 2305 Danny's Own Story by Don Marquis.txt 2306 Wanted; A Cook; Domestic Dialogues by Alan Dale.txt 2307 The Red Window by Fergus Hume.txt 2308 Bill Biddon Trapper; or Life in the Northwest by Edward Sylvester Ellis.txt 2309 For the White Christ; A Story of the Days of Charlemagne by Robert Ames Bennet.txt 2310 The Datchet Diamonds by Richard Marsh.txt 2311 Ginx's Baby; His Birth and Other Misfortunes; a Satire by Edward Jenkins.txt 2312 The Room with the Tassels by Carolyn Wells.txt 2313 The Deacon; An Original Comedy Drama in Five Acts by Horace C Dale.txt 2314 The Black Tortoise; Being the Strange Story of Old Frick's D by Christian Sparre.txt 2315 Alphabetical Catalogue of Books in General Literature and Fi by Chatto & Windus (Firm).txt 2316 Crooked Trails by Frederic Remington.txt 2317 An Ambitious Man by Ella Wheeler Wilcox.txt 2318 Down the River to the Sea by Agnes Maule Machar.txt 2319 Juggernaut; A Veiled Record by George Cary Eggleston.txt 2320 The Oxford Circus; A Novel of Oxford and Youth by Raymond Mortimer.txt 2321 Waynflete by Christabel R (Christabel Rose) Coleridge.txt 2322 An English Squire by Christabel R (Christabel Rose) Coleridge.txt 2323 A Mixed Proposal; The Lady of the Barge and Others Part 9 by W W (William Wymark) Jacobs.txt 2324 A Tiger's Skin; The Lady of the Barge and Others Part 8 by W W (William Wymark) Jacobs.txt 2325 The Lady of the Barge; The Lady of the Barge and Others Par by W W (William Wymark) Jacobs.txt 2326 Bill's Paper Chase; Lady of the Barge and Others Part 3 by W W (William Wymark) Jacobs.txt 2327 The Monkey's Paw; The Lady of the Barge and Others Part 2 by W W (William Wymark) Jacobs.txt 2328 Cupboard Love; The Lady of the Barge and Others Part 5 by W W (William Wymark) Jacobs.txt 2329 The Well; The Lady of the Barge and Others Part 4 by W W (William Wymark) Jacobs.txt 2330 Captain Rogers; The Lady of the Barge and Others Part 7 by W W (William Wymark) Jacobs.txt 2331 In the Library; The Lady of the Barge and Others Part 6 by W W (William Wymark) Jacobs.txt 2332 The Touch of Abner by H A (Hiram Alfred) Cody.txt 2333 The Powers and Maxine by A M (Alice Muriel) Williamson.txt 2334 Home as Found; Sequel to Homeward Bound by James Fenimore Cooper.txt 2335 The Impostor by Harold Bindloss.txt 2336 The conquest of Rome by Matilde Serao.txt 2337 Mrs Vanderstein's jewels by Charles Bryce.txt 2338 Lady Penelope by Morley Roberts.txt 2339 A Doctor of the Old School — Complete by Ian Maclaren.txt 2340 Roden's Corner by Henry Seton Merriman.txt 2341 Lord Kilgobbin by Charles James Lever.txt 2342 The Last Hope by Henry Seton Merriman.txt 2343 Rejected of Men; A Story of To-day by Howard Pyle.txt 2344 A Journey to the Centre of the Earth by Jules Verne.txt 2345 The Return by H Beam Piper.txt 2346 Tessa Wadsworth's Discipline; A Story of the Development of by Nathaniel Conklin.txt 2347 The Call of the South by Robert Lee Durham.txt 2348 Hungry Hearts by Anzia Yezierska.txt 2349 The Sunset Trail by Alfred Henry Lewis.txt 2350 A Woman's Love by Amelia Opie.txt 2351 To Leeward by F Marion (Francis Marion) Crawford.txt 2352 The Alhambra by Washington Irving.txt 2353 Monsieur Bergeret in Paris by Anatole France.txt 2354 The New Magdalen by Wilkie Collins.txt 2355 The Law and the Lady by Wilkie Collins.txt 2356 Miss or Mrs by Wilkie Collins.txt 2357 The Lion and the Unicorn by Richard Harding Davis.txt 2358 The Evil Genius; A Domestic Story by Wilkie Collins.txt 2359 After Dark by Wilkie Collins.txt 2360 The Frozen Deep by Wilkie Collins.txt 2361 The Two Destinies by Wilkie Collins.txt 2362 Crome Yellow by Aldous Huxley.txt 2363 I Say No by Wilkie Collins.txt 2364 My Lady's Money by Wilkie Collins.txt 2365 Sunshine Sketches of a Little Town by Stephen Leacock.txt 2366 The Call of the East; A Romance of Far Formosa by Thurlow Fraser.txt 2367 The Perpetual Curate by Mrs (Margaret) Oliphant.txt 2368 The Red Dust by Murray Leinster.txt 2369 Amazing Grace Who Proves That Virtue Has Its Silver Lining by Kate Trimble Sharber.txt 2370 Wilfrid Cumbermede by George MacDonald.txt 2371 Framley Parsonage by Anthony Trollope.txt 2372 The Twins of Table Mountain and Other Stories by Bret Harte.txt 2373 Valerius A Roman Story by J G (John Gibson) Lockhart.txt 2374 Greenmantle by John Buchan.txt 2375 Otto of the Silver Hand by Howard Pyle.txt 2376 A Sappho of Green Springs by Bret Harte.txt 2377 Goodbye Dead Man by Tom W Harris.txt 2378 The Point of View by Henry James.txt 2379 The Land That Time Forgot by Edgar Rice Burroughs.txt 2380 Slaves of Mercury by Nathan Schachner.txt 2381 Two Thousand Miles Below by Charles Willard Diffin.txt 2382 Clarissa; Preface Hints of Prefaces and Postscript by Samuel Richardson.txt 2383 The Children of the World by Paul Heyse.txt 2384 Vandover and the Brute by Frank Norris.txt 2385 The Fall of the Grand Sarrasin; Being a Chronicle of Sir Nig by William John Ferrar.txt 2386 Half Portions by Edna Ferber.txt 2387 Half A Chance by Frederic Stewart Isham.txt 2388 Robbery under Arms; A Story of Life and Adventure in the Bus by Rolf Boldrewood.txt 2389 The Jolly Corner by Henry James.txt 2390 The Coxon Fund by Henry James.txt 2391 Glasses by Henry James.txt 2392 The Adventures of Louis de Rougemont by Louis de Rougemont.txt 2393 Taras Bulba and Other Tales by Nikolai Vasilevich Gogol.txt 2394 The Purse by Honoré de Balzac.txt 2395 The Law of Hemlock Mountain by Hugh Lundsford.txt 2396 The Day of the Dog by Anderson Horne.txt 2397 The Man Who Played to Lose by Laurence M Janifer.txt 2398 The Skull by Philip K Dick.txt 2399 Disqualified by Charles L Fontenay.txt 2400 Bring Me His Ears by Clarence Edward Mulford.txt 2401 The Life Everlasting; A Reality of Romance by Marie Corelli.txt 2402 The Shepherd of Salisbury Plain and Other Tales by Hannah More.txt 2403 The Mystery of Witch-Face Mountain and Other Stories by Mary Noailles Murfree.txt 2404 The Observers by G L Vandenburg.txt 2405 Homo Inferior by Mari Wolf.txt 2406 A Hero of the Pen by E Werner.txt 2407 Conjuror's House; A Romance of the Free Forest by Stewart Edward White.txt 2408 Tales of the Fish Patrol by Jack London.txt 2409 An Alabaster Box by Florence Morse Kingsley.txt 2410 The Crystal Crypt by Philip K Dick.txt 2411 Lady Rosamond's Secret; A Romance of Fredericton by Rebecca Agatha Armour.txt 2412 Satan and the Comrades by Ralph Bennitt.txt 2413 The Invaders by Murray Leinster.txt 2414 The Leader by Murray Leinster.txt 2415 The Trespasser Complete by Gilbert Parker.txt 2416 Thomas Wingfold Curate V3 by George MacDonald.txt 2417 A Reversible Santa Claus by Meredith Nicholson.txt 2418 The Man on the Box by Harold MacGrath.txt 2419 Abbeychurch; Or Self-Control and Self-Conceit by Charlotte M (Charlotte Mary) Yonge.txt 2420 The Honorable Senator Sage-Brush by Francis Lynde.txt 2421 The Game of Rat and Dragon by Paul Myron Anthony Linebarger.txt 2422 The Vagrant Duke by George Gibbs.txt 2423 Two Arrows; A Story of Red and White by William Osborn Stoddard.txt 2424 Lucretia — Complete by Edward Bulwer Lytton Lytton.txt 2425 The Altar at Midnight by C M (Cyril M) Kornbluth.txt 2426 The Aggravation of Elmer by Robert Arthur.txt 2427 The Devil; A Tragedy of the Heart and Conscience by Joseph O'Brien.txt 2428 Swiss Family Robinson by Johann David Wyss.txt 2429 The Bishop's Secret by Fergus Hume.txt 2430 The Secret Power by Marie Corelli.txt 2431 Australia Felix by Henry Handel Richardson.txt 2432 The Observations of Henry; Illustrated by Jerome K (Jerome Klapka) Jerome.txt 2433 Owindia ; a true tale of the MacKenzie River Indians North- by Charlotte Selina Bompas.txt 2434 Miss Theodora; A West End Story by Helen Leah Reed.txt 2435 The Lady Evelyn; A Story of To-day by Max Pemberton.txt 2436 The Sherrods by George Barr McCutcheon.txt 2437 The Fortunes and Misfortunes of the Famous Moll Flanders by Daniel Defoe.txt 2438 Prince Otto a Romance by Robert Louis Stevenson.txt 2439 The Forlorn Hope; A Tale of Old Chelsea by S C Hall.txt 2440 Marriage by H G (Herbert George) Wells.txt 2441 Bad Hugh by Mary Jane Holmes.txt 2442 A Soldier's Trial; An Episode of the Canteen Crusade by Charles King.txt 2443 The Mysteries of London v 24 by George W M (George William MacArthur) Reynolds.txt 2444 By Veldt and Kopje by W C (William Charles) Scully.txt 2445 Carette of Sark by John Oxenham.txt 2446 The Honored Prophet by William E Bentley.txt 2447 Earthsmith by Stephen Marlowe.txt 2448 The Triumphs of Eugène Valmont by Robert Barr.txt 2449 A Girl of the People by L T Meade.txt 2450 Narrative and Miscellaneous Papers by Thomas De Quincey.txt 2451 The White Feather by P G (Pelham Grenville) Wodehouse.txt 2452 The Late Mrs Null by Frank Richard Stockton.txt 2453 The Brown Brethren by Patrick MacGill.txt 2454 The Grizzly King; A Romance of the Wild by James Oliver Curwood.txt 2455 Hidden Creek by Katharine Newlin Burt.txt 2456 Temporal Power; A Study in Supremacy by Marie Corelli.txt 2457 Unleavened Bread by Robert Grant.txt 2458 The Jucklins; A Novel by Opie Percival Read.txt 2459 The Sand-Hills of Jutland by H C (Hans Christian) Andersen.txt 2460 Wild Bill's Last Trail by Ned Buntline.txt 2461 A College Girl by George de Horne Vaizey.txt 2462 The Easiest Way; A Story of Metropolitan Life by Eugene Walter.txt 2463 Betty Trevor by George de Horne Vaizey.txt 2464 Flaming June by George de Horne Vaizey.txt 2465 Two Days' Solitary Imprisonment; 1898 by Edward Bellamy.txt 2466 Potts's Painless Cure; 1898 by Edward Bellamy.txt 2467 To Whom This May Come; 1898 by Edward Bellamy.txt 2468 A Summer Evening's Dream; 1898 by Edward Bellamy.txt 2469 An Echo Of Antietam; 1898 by Edward Bellamy.txt 2470 Hooking Watermelons; 1898 by Edward Bellamy.txt 2471 The Blindman's World; 1898 by Edward Bellamy.txt 2472 A Positive Romance; 1898 by Edward Bellamy.txt 2473 At Pinney's Ranch; 1898 by Edward Bellamy.txt 2474 Security by Ernest M Kenyon.txt 2475 Condensed Novels by Bret Harte.txt 2476 The Private Memoirs and Confessions of a Justified Sinner by James Hogg.txt 2477 He Fell in Love with His Wife by Edward Payson Roe.txt 2478 The Career of Katherine Bush by Elinor Glyn.txt 2479 A Waif of the Plains by Bret Harte.txt 2480 The Piebald Hippogriff by Karen Anderson.txt 2481 Planet of Dread by Murray Leinster.txt 2482 Withered Leaves from Memory's Garland by Abigail Stanley Hanna.txt 2483 Double or Nothing by Jack Sharkey.txt 2484 Alice or the Mysteries — Book 05 by Edward Bulwer Lytton Lytton.txt 2485 Publicity Stunt by Robert Moore Williams.txt 2486 The Treasure of Pearls; A Romance of Adventures in Californi by Gustave Aimard.txt 2487 Nestleton Magna; A Story of Yorkshire Methodism by J Jackson (James Jackson) Wray.txt 2488 The Confounding of Camelia by Anne Douglas Sedgwick.txt 2489 Two Knapsacks; A Novel of Canadian Summer Life by John Campbell.txt 2490 Dickory Cronke; The Dumb Philosopher or Great Britain's Wo by Daniel Defoe.txt 2491 Alice or the Mysteries — Book 07 by Edward Bulwer Lytton Lytton.txt 2492 Back to God's Country and Other Stories by James Oliver Curwood.txt 2493 The Last of the Plainsmen by Zane Grey.txt 2494 Messer Marco Polo by Donn Byrne.txt 2495 Sylvia's Lovers — Complete by Elizabeth Cleghorn Gaskell.txt 2496 Andrew Golding; A Tale of the Great Plague by Annie E Keeling.txt 2497 The Leopard Woman by Stewart Edward White.txt 2498 My Brilliant Career by Miles Franklin.txt 2499 The Dawn of All by Robert Hugh Benson.txt
DVOA (Defense-adjusted Value Over Average): calculates a team's success based on the down-and-distance of each play during the season, then calculates how much more or less successful each team is compared to the league average. DVOA Pass/Run Defense Rank: Team’s NFL rank in DVOA pass or run defense so far this season. #1 means best DEF against the pass/run, #32 means worst DEF against the pass/run. Weighted DEFENSE: is adjusted so that earlier games in the season become gradually less important. It better reflects how the team was playing at the end of the season. ATS = Against the spread DVOA from https://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/teamdef/2019
Opp (SF) Pass DVOA: #2 Opp (SF) Run DVOA: #12 Opp (SF) Weighted DEF: #3 Injuries to Watch DEF (SF): DE Dee Ford (D) S Jaquiski Tartt (D) DT Jullian Taylor (D) Injuries to Watch OFF (LAR): None Key WCB matchups: None Relevant Target Share %’s (Last 6 Weeks): Robert Woods (27%) Tyler Higbee (21%) Cooper Kupp (15%) Gerald Everett (15%) Todd Gurley (10%) Brandin Cooks (10%) Josh Reynolds (9%) RB Snap %/Touches/Targets Week 15: Todd Gurley (96%, 14, 7) Malcolm Brown (4%, 0, 0) QB/WTE Breakdown After a pair of encouraging performances for the Rams offense, things went back to their 2019 normals with a rough performance in a road loss to the Cowboys. It appears that perhaps the two-game upswing was more about the opponent’s defense, or lack thereof, than any real improvements. Jared Goff (downgrade) salvaged an otherwise poor outing by racking up the yards in garbage time, and his late passing TD just barely put him above his week 14 point total. This week, he’ll go against one of the best defenses in the league. The Niners have the second ranked pass DVOA and have allowed the 8th fewest FPPG to QBs on the season. They were without some of their top defensive players last week, but look poised to get their starters back this week, so that is no longer a potential upgrade. Consider Goff a low-end QB2 for championship week; he’s not someone we would recommend in any format that starts 1 quarterback. With LA’s offense in disarray most of the year, it’s been hard to get a consistent valuation on their pass catching options. Robert Woods (downgrade) leads the way with a 27% target share over the past 6 weeks, but he put up a dud 4-17 line last week after four straight big performances. Still, his 9 targets gave him the potential for much more, and are a sign he’ll continue to be the top WR in this offense. Cooper Kupp (downgrade) was mediocre once again, going only 6-41, but grabbed a TD for the third game in a row to salvage his output. Brandin Cooks (downgrade) saw an encouraging eight targets, but it led to just a 4-46 line, and he appears to be third or fourth in line for targets at this point. The Niners are elite against the pass, ranking 2nd by DVOA and giving up the 5th fewest FPPG to WRs, meaning we need to downgrade all three options. Consider Woods a volume-based WR2, Kupp a solid but suddenly low-ceiling WR3, and Cooks a risky WR3/4. If the Niners have all their defensive starters back in the secondary it would be a further downgrade to their outlooks. Owners should get Woods, and possibly Kupp as well, in their lineups, while keeping Cooks on the bench. Tyler Higbee has taken the league and the fantasy world by storm the past three weeks, going over 100 receiving yards in every game. The matchup isn’t easy - San Francisco yields the 3rd fewest FPPG to TEs - but Higbee is too hot to bench at this point. Continue riding him as a TE1 for the fantasy finals. Update: Even with Gerald Everett returning, Higbee is still in the TE1 mix, but his ceiling should be lowered slightly. Everett isn’t on the fantasy radar in standard leagues, but his presence does add risk to Higbee’s outlook. RB Breakdown Although it wasn’t a pretty performance in terms of yardage, Todd Gurley (downgrade) was able to give owners their money's worth by punching in a pair of TDs, one on the ground and one through the air. The Rams offensive line has struggled throughout most of the year, and that combined with Gurley seemingly losing some of his explosiveness has been more than enough to minimize his ability to rack up high rushing totals. He hasn’t been as involved in the passing game this year either. On tap this week is a matchup with the 12th best rush defense by DVOA, and a group that allows the fewest FPPG to RBs on the year. It’s hard to recommend benching Gurley considering his TD potential and his recent uptick in snap share (96% last week), but the matchup is concerning. Consider Gurley more of a mid-range RB2 this week; he’ll need to snag at least one TD to account for a likely mediocre yardage output. There’s no need to roster Malcolm Brown as a handcuff unless your league goes into Week 17.
Opp (LAR) Pass DVOA: #11 Opp (LAR) Run DVOA: #6 Opp (LAR) Weighted DEF: #10 Injuries to Watch DEF (LAR): CB Troy Hill (Q) Injuries to Watch OFF (SF): G Mike Person (Q) Key WCB matchups: Emmanuel Sanders vs. Jalen Ramsey (ESPN) Relevant Target Share %’s (Last 6 Weeks): George Kittle (32%) Deebo Samuel (19%) Emmanuel Sanders (14%) Kendrick Bourne (12%) Tevin Coleman (7%) Raheem Mostert (6%) Matt Breida (4%) RB Snap %/Touches/Targets Week 15: Raheem Mostert (53%, 15, 2) Tevin Coleman (30%, 4, 1) Matt Breida (19%, 6, 2) QB/WTE Breakdown The Niners take a two-game losing streak into their divisional matchup against the Rams, and Jimmy Garoppolo is coming off a disappointing performance against the Falcons last week. He’s ridden some massive ups and downs this season, but despite it all ranks in the top-15 for fantasy QBs in most formats. The matchup this week will be somewhat challenging - the Rams have given up the 12th fewest FPPG to QBs - so this doesn’t look like a “boom” week on paper. Jimmy G could be pulled into a shootout if the Rams offense kicks into gear, but this looks like a game the Niners win with strong defense and a dominant run game (as they have most of the year). Garoppolo is a risky streamer in fantasy championships, and should be considered more of a mid-range QB2 this week. Unfortunately for owners relying on him in their semi-final matchups last week, Deebo Samuel came crashing down to earth with only one catch on three targets. It was a disappointing end to a five game streak of 12+ points scored (.5 PPR), and showed the risk of starting any SF wideout in a must win fantasy matchup. Emmanuel Sanders (downgrade) fared even worse, turning his one catch into just nine scoreless yards. Making things even worse, Sanders appears most likely to see Jalen Ramsey in shadow coverage this week, which means owners should strongly consider fading him across the board. That coverage would potentially open things up for Samuel, but it’s impossible to know exactly how that could shake out. The Rams overall have given up the 15th fewest FPPG to WRs, but the main reason they shut down the Cowboys receivers was that they were getting gashed so heavily on the ground the passing game wasn’t even needed. The Niners have a similarly strong ground game, so don’t be surprised to see them look to exploit that rather than try to win in an air-raid shootout. Samuel is a risky but upside WR3, while Sanders (assuming he gets Ramsey in coverage) is a WR3/4 that should likely be avoided in championship lineups. George Kittle is the real #1 option in this offense, and the only option that should be guaranteed a spot in lineups. He’s an elite TE1, and is both game-script and matchup-proof at this point. Keep him plugged in. RB Breakdown Another week, another solid performance from Raheem Mostert. He wasn’t as productive as the previous two weeks, but he out-touched Matt Breida and Tevin Coleman a combined 15-10. This backfield is extremely hard to predict on a weekly basis, but it does appear as though Mostert is the 1A while Breida and Coleman operate as dual 1B options. The Rams don’t pose an overly intimidating matchup - 6th ranked run DVOA while allowing the 15th most FPPG to RBs. Given the uncertainty, it’s best to approach Mostert as an upside RB2, albeit one with a riskier touch floor than we’d like on championship week, with Breida and Coleman slotting in as TD-dependent RB3/4s. Only Mostert is worth real lineup consideration this week outside of extremely deep leagues. Score Prediction: 49ers 24, Rams 13
Opp (NE) Pass DVOA: #1 Opp (NE) Run DVOA: #7 Opp (NE) Weighted DEF: #1 Injuries to Watch DEF (NE): CB Jonathan Jones (D) LB Ja’Whaun Bentley (Q) LB Jamie Collins (Q) CB Jason McCourty (Q) DL Danny Shelton (Q) Injuries to Watch OFF (BUF): OL Ty Nsekhe (Q) Key WCB matchups: John Brown vs. Stephon Gillmore (ESPN) Relevant Target Share %’s (Last 6 Weeks): John Brown (27%) Cole Beasley (21%) Devin Singletary (13%) Isaiah McKenzie (13%) Dawson Knox (11%) RB Snap %/Touches/Targets Week 15: Devin Singletary (71%, 23, 3) Frank Gore (29%, 10, 0) QB/WTE Breakdown The Bills continue to win with a dominant defense rather than a gun-slinging offense, but Josh Allen (downgrade) ranks as a QB1 on the season due in large part to his rushing ability. The Patriots are one of the toughest matchups for any fantasy position - they cede the fewest FPPG to QBs on the year - so this likely isn’t the week to call Allen’s number. If Buffalo is to pull the upset, it will likely be in a low-scoring defensive battle rather than a shootout, which the low projected point total reflects. Consider Allen a mid-range QB2; his rushing gives him somewhat of a floor, but he has little chance of hitting his ceiling against this extremely elite defense. The Bills offense, due to its lack of high scoring games, has only a few productive options. John Brown (downgrade) is currently in the high-end WR2 range on the season, and was solid last week even in a tough matchup. Cole Beasley (not recommended) has been more of a deep-league asset, but his occasional TDs have put him on the map as a reasonable WR4 streamer in the right matchups. Unfortunately for both these players, this week’s game will feature an opposing defense near the best in the league at limiting WRs. The Pats have the best pass defense by DVOA, and allow the fewest FPPG to the position. Brown is slated to face stud CB Stephon Gillmore in coverage as well, which is a significant individual downgrade. Brown is somewhat tough to bench based on his productivity, but owners with alternative options should highly consider looking elsewhere. Although Beasley won’t have to deal with Gillmore, he still is not a recommended start against NE. Consider Brown a boom-bust WR3 with a low floor this week, and Beasley a risky TD-dependent WR4. Dawson Knox is not on the fantasy radar at this point. RB Breakdown While not yet an elite fantasy asset, Devin Singletary (downgrade) is beginning to emerge as one of the more impressive young RBs in the league. He’s gone over 75 yards rushing in 5 of his last 7 games played, and pops out on tape as a guy that can make defenders miss while showing elite burst in short spaces. He had an unfortunate fumble in last week’s win against the Steelers, but considering that was his first of the year and the Bills seem committed to feeding him, expect another heavy workload again this week. The matchup, unfortunately, is not a favorable one. The Patriots have the 7th ranked rush DVOA and have given up the second fewest FPPG to RBs. Singletary doesn’t catch a lot of passes, and has to compete with Frank Gore for short yardage and goal-line opportunities, so he doesn’t have enough going his way to counteract the tough matchup. He is capable of breaking a few big plays at any time, but it’s best to consider Singletary a lower-end RB2 this week based on the matchup. Leave Gore on the wire in every possible format.
Opp (BUF) Pass DVOA: #3 Opp (BUF) Run DVOA: #19 Opp (BUF) Weighted DEF: #4 Injuries to Watch DEF (BUF): DT Corey Liuget (Q) Injuries to Watch OFF (NE): WR Julian Edelman (Q) Key WCB matchups: No clear shadow matchups projected (ESPN) Relevant Target Share %’s (Last 6 Weeks): Julian Edelman (25%) James White (16%) Jakobi Meyers (12%) Mohamed Sanu (11%) RB Snap %/Touches/Targets Week 15: Sony Michel (42%, 20, 4) James White (38%, 6, 4) Rex Burkhead (31%, 8, 2) QB/WTE Breakdown It might be time to officially panic about the state of this Patriots offense, despite a predictable drubbing of the Bengals last week. Tom Brady (downgrade) is lacking the weapons necessary to elevate his game, and the offensive line hasn’t been as dominant at giving him time to throw as in previous years. The Bills are a tough matchup through the air - they allow the 2nd fewest FPPG to QBs - so Brady should likely be ignored in championship lineups unless owners are digging deep in 2QB leagues. Consider him a mid to low-end QB2 whose floor is lower than others in this range due to his lack of rushing output. Leave him on your bench or on waivers altogether. The Patriots passing game is hard to read heading into Week 16, as Julian Edelman (downgrade) has been limited at practice, after looking unproductive last week perhaps due to injury. There are a plethora of receiving options behind Edelman, but none have any real standalone value as long as Edelman is able to gut it out this weekend. N’Keal Harry caught a TD last week, but hasn’t gone over 20 receiving yards in his five active games. He would get a boost, as would Mohamed Sanu, if Edelman were to sit, but neither have very appealing outlooks. The matchup with Buffalo is difficult as well - they cede the fourth fewest FPPG to WRs. Keep close tabs on Edelman’s status, and only consider benching if you have solid alternatives or if he has a reported setback. He’s somewhat of a risky WR2 heading into the week. Sanu and Harry aren’t more than hail-mary WR4s, and even if Edelman were out would be just boom-bust WR3 streamers. We do like Harry’s red zone abilities, however. Consider avoiding this situation entirely, and monitor Edelman’s status if you own him. There is no fantasy relevant TE to monitor for the Pats at this time (miss you Gronk). RB Breakdown It has been a disappointing year for those invested in Sony Michel, as the second-year back hasn’t been a consistent fantasy producer through most of the season. Michel is both game-script and TD-dependent, suffering from inefficiency and a lack of touches in a multitude of games. This week will be an interesting test; the Bills have a below-average rush DVOA but give up the 12th fewest FPPG to RBs. Additionally, it’s hard to predict the game flow for this game as the two teams appear well matched and the last game between them was a 16-10 slugfest with NE getting the win. James White continues to be heavily involved in the passing game, and has racked up at least 9 points in all but two healthy games (.5 PPR). Rex Burkhead even got in on the action last week, although that may have been due more to the blowout nature of the game. For championship week, owners should view Michel as a risk-reward RB2/3 with an upgrade in standard leagues. Consider White a high-floor RB2 in PPR leagues, and more of a solid flex in standard, while leaving Burkhead safely on the wire. Score Prediction: Patriots 17, Bills 13
Opp (TB) Pass DVOA: #15 Opp (TB) Run DVOA: #1 Opp (TB) Weighted DEF: #8 Injuries to Watch DEF (TB): DL Beau Allen (D) Injuries to Watch OFF (HOU): TE Darren Fells (Q) WR Will Fuller (Q) WR DeAndre Hopkins (extremely likely to play) RB Carlos Hyde (Q, likely to play) Key WCB matchups: None Relevant Target Share %’s (Last 6 Weeks): DeAndre Hopkins (30%) Will Fuller (24%) Keke Coutee (14%) Duke Johnson (12%) Kenny Stills (11%) RB Snap %/Touches/Targets Week 15: Carlos Hyde (67%, 26, 0) Duke Johnson (33%, 4, 3) QB/WTE Breakdown The Texans got a needed bounce-back win against the Titans last week after losing to Denver the previous week, and put themselves in great position for the playoffs in doing so. Deshaun Watson (upgrade) was solid, but not dominant, and proved his floor is still higher than most at the position. The Bucs are an excellent matchup for him to carry his fantasy owners this week - they have given up the 7th most FPPG to QBs. Continue to ride Watson as an elite QB1 this week; we expect he’ll be on a lot of championship rosters when the dust settles on monday night. Despite some difficult matchups the past few weeks, DeAndre Hopkins (upgrade) has come through for owners over the past month, and should be a fixture in lineups yet again this week. He missed practice for an illness on wednesday, but is in very little danger of missing the game. Tampa Bay is one of the more vulnerable teams for WRs to play, so continue to treat Hopkins as an elite WR1. The bigger question is what to do, if anything, with the Texans auxiliary options. Will Fuller (upgrade) got back into action last week, and was able to log a limited practice session on Wednesday. It appears he should be given the green light to play about the same number of snaps (59 of 63 total) as last week, meaning he becomes an intriguing option. The Bucs have given up the most FPPG to WRs, and Fuller is capable of the kind of game that could carry owners to the championship. Monitor injury reports closely, but if Fuller is cleared he should likely be in lineups as an upside WR3. Kenny Stills (streamer) was actually more productive in the games Fuller played than the games he missed over the past two months of the season, but even so he makes for an unreliable option this week. The matchup gives him some upside, but the target share will be hard to trust. Consider him a boom-bust WR3/4. Keke Coutee is off the fantasy radar, and Darren Fells and Jordin Akins are dart throw TE2s that you are just hoping catch a TD. If Fells were to sit (currently questionable), it would make Akins a slightly more attractive option, but he still would not be on the standard league radar. Hopefully you have a more trustworthy option. RB Breakdown In the massive Week 15 showdown, Carlos Hyde (downgrade) came through in a big way for the Texans. He racked up 104 rushing yards and a TD, although he didn’t record a catch, per usual. Duke Johnson (downgrade) handled much of the pass-down work, but recorded a season-low 23 total yards, and got only four touches. The Bucs have arguably the league's best run defense, ranking first in DVOA and allowing the 3rd fewest FPPG to RBs. That makes it extremely risky to trust Hyde, even coming off a big week, and should all but eliminate Johnson from consideration in any lineup outside of an extremely deep PPR league. Consider Hyde a TD-dependent RB2/3, with a downgrade in PPR, and view Duke as a hail-mary RB4 in PPR leagues. Owners will hope a shootout leads to a few goal-line opportunities for Hyde to cash in on. Hyde missed practice on Wednesday, but it was “non-injury related” so owners merely need to keep an eye on the situation.
Opp (HOU) Pass DVOA: #26 Opp (HOU) Run DVOA: #15 Opp (HOU) Weighted DEF: #27 Injuries to Watch DEF (HOU): S Jahleel Addae (Q) OLB Jacob Martin (Q) ILB Benardrick McKinney (Q) Injuries to Watch OFF (TB): WR Mike Evans (OUT-IR) WR Chris Godwin (D) TE Tanner Hudson (Q) C Ryan Jensen (Q) T Donovan Smith (Q) QB Jameis Winston (P) Key WCB matchups: None Relevant Target Share %’s (Last 6 Weeks): Chris Godwin (19%) Mike Evans (17%) Cameron Brate (13%) O.J. Howard (12%) Breshad Perriman (10%) Ronald Jones (9%) RB Snap %/Touches/Targets Week 15: Ronald Jones (45%, 12, 3) Peyton Barber (28%, 12, 2) Dare Ogunbowale (28%, 2, 1) QB/WTE Breakdown The Buccaneers roller coaster season continued, peaking again last week in a blowout road win against the slumping Detroit Lions. Jameis Winston (upgrade) lit the world on fire, throwing for 458-yards and four touchdowns. In rare form, Winston played a very clean game, only throwing one pass to the other team; in typical Winston fashion, it occured within the first three minutes of play on the opening drive. It’s a tradition at this point. On tap is another slumping defense, HOU has been burned through the air of late, ranking near the bottom in Pass DVOA and Weighted DVOA - ceding 21.8 FPPG to QBs and 23.2 to RBs - plug Winston into lineups as a feast-or-famine QB1. Like he demonstrated last week, he has the potential to be a league winner. Congratulations are in order if you managed to snag and play Breshard Perriman (upgrade volume). Chances are you made the finals, especially if Winston was stacked as well. Chris Godwin (likely out) has yet to practice this week, and it’s looking extremely unlikely that he’ll suit up (UPDATE-Godwin is OUT). With fellow wideout Scotty Miller also placed on IR, the only realistic fantasy options are Perriman and Justin Watson. Perriman should slide immediately into lineups as a volume-based WR2, while Watson is a much riskier endeavour, consider him a boom-or-bust WR4. It remains to be seen if it’ll be a wideout that picks up the targets vacated by Godwin, or perhaps a running back or tight end. Bruce Arians mentioned this week that the running backs will be utilized more in the passing game due to the injuries at receiver. O.J. Howard (upgrade volume) saw 8 targets last week, parlaying them into a 4-46-0 receiving line. He’s been disappointing all season, but may be ready to make some noise. Consider him on the TE1/2 borderline - HOU surrenders 8.5 FPPG to the position. Cameron Brate is no more than a desperation TE2. RB Breakdown The Buccaneers rolled up 495 total yards last week, yet only 49 were produced on the ground. Ronald Jones (upgrade IF volume) continues to be the lead back of a three-headed RBBC. He’s the preferred play, and is hopefully used more in the passing game sans Godwin/Evans, but don’t count on it. He’s hard to trust as anything more than a low-floor flex play for fantasy championships. However, the matchup is appealing - HOU has hemorrhaged rushing yards to opponents, giving up 132.7 per game over the last three, also ceding 20.3 FPPG to RBs. Peyton Barber and Dare Ogunbowale shouldn’t see lineups, the volume hasn’t been there consistently. Score Prediction: Texans 27, Buccaneers 24
Opp (DEN) Pass DVOA: #14 Opp (DEN) Run DVOA: #17 Opp (DEN) Weighted DEF: #12 Injuries to Watch DEF (DEN): DE Adam Gotsis (Q) Injuries to Watch OFF (DET): WR Marvin Jones Jr. (OUT-IR) RB Bo Scarbrough (Q) RT Rick Wagner (Q) Key WCB matchups: Kenny Golladay vs. Chris Harris Jr. (ESPN) Relevant Target Share %’s (Last 6 Weeks): Danny Amendola (20%) Marvin Jones (19%) Kenny Golladay (17%) T.J. Hockenson (15%) J.D. McKissic (10%) RB Snap %/Touches/Targets Week 15: Ty Johnson (45%, 6, 5) Wes Hills (36%, 12, 2) J.D. McKissic (19%, 3, 3) QB/WTE Breakdown The Lions head to Week 16 in full meltdown. Owner Martha Ford announced Tuesday that both coach Matt Partricia and general manager Bob Quinn will retain their jobs for the 2020 season, giving them three years to build the program together (ESPN). It’s a curious move, considering that Patricia is 9-20-1 in his tenure. Plus, the Lions haven’t looked competitive in the second half of either season. In fairness, the injury bug hit quite hard this year, but it’s safe to assume that both coach and GM are on the hot seat. David Blough doesn’t appear to be anything special, and can be avoided in all but the deepest of formats - DEN cedes just 15.7 FPPG to QBs and 21 to WRs. It was Danny Amendola (PPR), not Kenny Golladay, drawing the Lion’s share of the targets in a smash spot against the Bucs. Amendola looks to be the clear beneficiary of the Marvin Jones Jr. (out-IR) injury. The 3 game sample size of Blough to Golladay has produced 4-158-1, 6-58-1, and 3-44-0 receiving lines. It’s not too far off from the variable production we’ve seen from Golladay all year, and he’s due a breakout week. However, against an upward trending Denver defense, while shadowed by stud CB Chris Harris Jr. probably isn’t the place to expect it. Strangely enough, Kenny G’s best game with Blough came in the toughest matchup they’ve faced (vs. CHI), so maybe they find the connection again this week. Chris Harris (PFF’s No. 42 CB) has been lit up in back-to-back weeks by DeAndre Hopkins and Tyreek Hill, so the matchup is exploitable. Consider Golladay a back-end WR2. Golladay’s expected shadow date may open a few more looks for Amendola, he’s a WR3 in PPR formats. It’s a much tougher draw this week for the entire passing game, so keep expectations tempered. The auxiliary passing options can be faded. RB Breakdown The Detroit backfield is one of the bigger headaches in fantasy football. It was Wes Hills, fresh off the practice squad without an NFL carry, leading the Lion’s backfield last week in the absence of Bo Scarbrough, who’s questionable for Week 16. The possible return of Kerryon Johnson further muddies the waters, and considering The Broncos allow just 3.9 yards per carry to RBs (sportingnews), the entire backfield should likely be faded. Especially Ty Johnson and J.D. McKissic. If Scarbrough is active, and Johnson is not, Scarbrough can be considered a volume based back-end RB2 - DEN cedes 15.6 FPPG to RBs - if it’s the reverse, consider Kerryon a name value only, he’ll likely to be limited in some capacity in his first game back. If both are inactive, fade the situation.
Opp (DET) Pass DVOA: #29 Opp (DET) Run DVOA: #14 Opp (DET) Weighted DEF: #29 Injuries to Watch DEF (DET): LB Devon Kennard (Q) DT A’Shawn Robinson (Q) LB Christian Jones (Q) DE Damon Harrison (P) Injuries to Watch OFF (DEN): RT Ja’Wuan James (OUT) RG Ron Leary (Q) LG Dalton Risner (Q) TE Noah Fant (P) Key WCB matchups: Courtland Sutton vs. Darius Slay (ESPN) Relevant Target Share %’s (Last 6 Weeks): Courtland Sutton (24%) Noah Fant (16%) Tim Patrick (14%) DaeSean Hamilton (11%) Phillip Lindsay (8%) Royce Freeman (8%) RB Snap %/Touches/Targets Week 15: Royce Freeman (54%, 9, 4) Phillip Lindsay (39%, 7, 2) Devontae Booker (8%, 2, 0) QB/WTE Breakdown For fantasy managers starting Denver players, Sunday’s game against Kansas City was an unmitigated disaster. Leading the offense to only a field goal, Drew Lock (upgrade) threw for 208 yards and no scores, with an interception. It was the rookie’s first poor outing, and he’ll look to bounce back against an extremely vulnerable Lion’s secondary - DET hemoragges 21.4 FPPG to QBs and 26.6 to WRs - Lock can be considered in 2QB formats, and the entire passing game gets an upgrade. Courtland Sutton (upgrade) cobbled together a 4-79-0 receiving line in the blowout road loss, and now looks to do battle with Darius Slay (PFF’s No. 80 CB). Slay has been exploited along with the rest of the defense of late, and Sutton has shown the ability to win his shadow matchups. Consider him a fringe WR1 in the smash spot. Tim Patrick and DaeSean Hamilton’s low target share in an inconsistent passing game, render both WR4 dart throws, even in the great matchup. Noah Fant has flashed game-breaking ability, but has also demonstrated an extremely low-floor. This puts him just outside the TE1 ranks this week, but he possesses perhaps the greatest ceiling outside of the elite TE1 tier. The matchup is average, DET cedes 7.7 FPPG to the position. RB Breakdown The Denver run game along with the rest of the offense sputtered last week. It was disappointing, especially considering the matchup against the Chiefs exploitable run defense. Royce Freeman lead the backfield in touches and snaps, but neither he nor Phillip Lindsay were able to do much with their limited touches. While Detroit’s Run DVOA is better than their Pass DVOA, game-script should work in the Broncos favor. Lindsay remains the preferred play, look for him to bounce back as an RB2 - DET cedes 22.8 FPPG to RBs - Freeman is riskier, consider him a touchdown dependent flex. Score Prediction: Broncos 24, Lions 16
Opp (LAC) Pass DVOA: #19 Opp (LAC) Run DVOA: #23 Opp (LAC) Weighted DEF: #15 Injuries to Watch DEF (LAC): LB Uchenna Nwosu (P) Injuries to Watch OFF (OAK): RB Josh Jacobs (OUT) T Trent Brown (Q) G Richie Incognito (Q) WR Hunter Renfrow (Q) Key WCB matchups: None, Hayward didn’t shadow Williams in Week 10 (ESPN) Relevant Target Share %’s (Last 6 Weeks): Darren Waller (22%) Hunter Renfrow (17%) Tyrell Williams (13%) Jalen Richard (10%) DeAndre Washington (9%) RB Snap %/Touches/Targets Week 15: Josh Jacobs (57%, 26, 3) Jalen Richard (29%, 3, 3) DeAndre Washington (15%, 8, 3) QB/WTE Breakdown Trash rained down from the stands onto the field after a stunning late game collapse by the Raiders. The Jaguars walked away with a victory, while Jon Gruden and his team were left with an apology from the NFL for a blown call late in the game. Derek Carr had given himself up well before the sideline, and should have been ruled in-bounds, keeping the clock moving - yet the officials ruled him out, giving the Jaguars an additional 40 seconds for their game-winning drive. It was a bitter end to Oakland’s bumpy 25 tenure in the Bay. On tap is an AFC West rival fresh off a disappointing outing of their own. Carr is fringe 2QB format worthy, and shouldn’t be considered in most settings. The Chargers cede just 14.1 FPPG to QB’s, and just 16.5 to WRs. Outside of Darren Waller, options in the passing game for Oakland’s offense have been largely non-existent. Hunter Renfrow appears ready to make his return, but the matchup renders him a low-floor PPR play. Tyrell Williams has largely bottomed-out over the last five games, clearing 50 yards receiving just once. He’s a floor option WR3 against a defense that surrenders just 197.4 passing yards per game, good for 4th best in the league. Waller is an every week TE1, get him active. RB Breakdown It’s been announced that Josh Jacobs (OUT) will sit for Week 16 in hopes of playing Week 17. That thrusts DeAndre Washington (upgrade volume) immediately into the RB2 conversation. The matchup is average, the Chargers give up the 17th most yards rushing per game at 110 - also ceding 20 FPPG to RBs - Washington needs to be in most lineups, and is a good bet to find paydirt. Jalen Richard should mix in as well, but he’s no more than a desperation flex play. Neutral game-script seems likely, meaning it’s unlikely that Washington is phased out in favor of the pass-catching Richard.
Opp (OAK) Pass DVOA: #31 Opp (OAK) Run DVOA: #26 Opp (OAK) Weighted DEF: #31 Injuries to Watch DEF (OAK): LB Marquel Lee (Q) Injuries to Watch OFF (LAC): T Russell Okung (Q) Key WCB matchups: None Relevant Target Share %’s (Last 6 Weeks): Keenan Allen (25%) Austin Ekeler (17%) Mike Williams (16%) Hunter Henry (14%) Melvin Gordon (12%) RB Snap %/Touches/Targets Week 15: Austin Ekeler (48%, 12, 7) Melvin Gordon (40%, 12, 7) Justin Jackson (21%, 7, 2) QB/WTE Breakdown The disappointing season continued for the Chargers, who are essentially playing all of their home games on the road. The Vikings thoroughly embarrassed veteran signal caller Phillip Rivers (upgrade), turning him over 4 times. The Chargers as a team gave the ball away an eye-popping 7 times. On tap is an extremely vulnerable Oakland team, coming off a heart-breaking defeat. Rivers is extremely untrustworthy for 1QB formats, but the exploitable matchup keeps him in the discussion for 2QB leagues - OAK hemorrhages 22.1 FPPG to QBs and 25.3 to WRs. Both Keenan Allen (upgrade) and Mike Williams (upgrade) put together solid fantasy outings in their dismantling at home. Williams pushed his touchdown streak to two games, while Allen was a yard short of breaking the century mark, something he’s done just twice this season. It’s a smash spot for the Chargers passing game, yet in Week 10 when these two teams met, it wasn’t taken advantage of. Look for that to change this week. Williams has thrived on the deep ball the last six weeks, possessing an ADoT of 23.1 yards. That’s good for the No. 1 spot for wideouts with over 10 catches in that span. Considering that OAK surrenders explosive pass plays (20+ yards) on a league worst 14% of plays (sharpfootballstats), the matchup should be considered a home run for Williams. Hunter Henry (upgrade) found his floor last week against the Vikings, busting with a 2-29-0 receiving line. Look for him to bounce back as well - OAK gives up 9.6 FPPG to TEs, second worst in the NFL. RB Breakdown Both Melvin Gordon (upgrade standard) and Austin Ekeler (upgrade PPR) found their floor against the Vikings. Gordon had perhaps his worst day as a pro, fumbling twice, and only producing 7-28-0 on the ground, and 5-36-0 receiving. Last time these two teams faced off, Gordon produced an RB1 day. Game-script should keep both backs involved, and Gordon is a good bet to find pay dirt. Consider both RB2’s in their preferred formats. Score Prediction: Chargers 27, Raiders 17
A N G E R Ethan's Rad Team (4-9) beats No Fly Zone (7-6) 171.36-125.26: MVP: I guess James White and his garbage 33.70 points. LVP: Jonathan Williams didn't even get a chance to replicate last week's numbers, getting heavily outsnapped by both Jordan Wilkins and Nyheim Hines, resulting in a 3 point performance. Sit/Start Decision of the Week: Yeah Ryan Fitzpatrick would have been a much better start than Baker Mayfield. 18 points difference between the two. Analysis: Ethan's average points per week in weeks not against me: 108.36. Ethan's average points in weeks against me: 166.48. On a seven-game losing streak until every single player on that team pops off in this single week. I hate everything. I knew this was going to happen, I saw the whole thing happening in slow motion, and I hated every second of it. I'm gonna go cut Mahomes for Drew Lock now. Moving on: NFZ drops out of a playoff spot while remaining tied with 3rd place Team Name Loading and 4th place Nincompoopery. Everything now hinges on their week 14 matchups. NFZ draws Skyler's Unreal Team, fresh off a sub-100 point week and ready to drop another nuke on my face. And no one cares about Ethan ROS except for me because I hate that team with a passion greater than anything else in this dystopian world. The Backyard Boys (5-8) beats Team Name Loading (7-6) 154.30-144.53: MVP: Devante Parker is suddenly a stud? 31.40 points this week and averaging 14.64 since week 3. He suddenly looks like a keeper-caliber player for TBB. LVP: Tevin Coleman's 2 point "effort" put the last nail in the coffin for TNL this week. Sit/Start Decision of the Week: Joe Mixon or Curtis Samuel would have won the week for TNL if started instead of Coleman. TBB left a few points on the bench as well in Mitch Trubisky, Courtland Sutton, and Duke Johnson. Analysis: TBB has risen out of the basement to eighth place on the strength of Parker, Jarvis Landry's ascent to stardom, and the return of Melvin Gordon. Aaron Rodgers and Russell Wilson providing consistent QB play has been an asset as well, and even Todd Gurley had a nice game with 18 points in this one. Deshaun Watson's huge day against the vaunted Patriot defense was wasted for TNL, who didn't have a particularly bad week and would have beaten seven other teams this week with their 144.53 points. The big weakness for TNL continues to be at the WR position, where DK Metcalf and Brandin Cooks supplied a mere 11.90 fantasy points while Calvin Ridley eclipsed both of them with 13.10. Moving on: TNL maintains their 3rd place seed since NFZ lost as well, but they now find themselves in a three-way tie for 3rd place and in real danger of falling out of the playoff picture should they lose their upcoming matchup. It won't be easy, either: their date is with the well oiled Action Jackson machine. TBB will close out the regular season against last place Ethan's Rad Team. Action Jackson (10-3) beats Cheeks (4-9) 105.00-94.30: MVP: Alshon Jeffrey outshone even Lamar with his 24.20 point day, racking up 9 catches for 137 yards and a score. LVP: Jamison Crowder's 1.80 point performance against a very beatable Cincinnati defense really hurt Cheeks' chances in this one. Sit/Start Decision of the Week: In hindsight it would have been nice to have started Rashaad Penny over Tyler Lockett's goose egg for AJ, but a win is a win. Analysis: Action Jackson put up their lowest point total since week 2, but Cheeks was somehow worse, capping a horrendous season with yet another disappointing outing. Dalvin Cook's injury didn't help, but he still scored the third-most points on the team with 11.90 and that's just not going to win matchups. It will be interesting to see who Cheeks decides are the keepers off this squad after the obvious (Saquon, Cook, Tyreek Hill). AJ escapes a bad week with their third straight win. Moving on: AJ locks down first place for the playoffs with this win which guarantees a weaker opponent. They get third place Team Name Loading in a meaningless game for them. Rest the stars? Cheeks will face seventh place Chiraq Attack. Nincompoopery (7-6) beats Skyler's Unreal Team (6-7) 110.23-99.13: MVP: The highest scoring player in this matchup was Allen Robinson with just 18.60 points. LVP: George Kittle should do more for your team than 2.40 points, right? Nope. Not when you're Skyler and your fantasy season is on the line. Sit/Start Decision of the Week: I don't know how you would have known to start him, but Peyton Barber's 18.40 points on the bench feels real bad for Skyler. Analysis: This was a matchup where the winner keeps their playoff hopes alive while the loser is done, and that means NCP has a real good shot at going to the dance while Skyler will be on the outside looking in. Frankly it seemed like neither team really wanted it, with lots of subpar outings across the board. Getting a combined 15.70 points from Le'Veon Bell (in a great matchup) and Chris Godwin was not in the plans for Skyler one must assume. Moving on: NCP moves into fourth place, tied for third with Team Name Loading and No Fly Zone. It's essentially a "win and you're in" situation for them as they play second place Joe's Best Team next week. Skyler will face 7-6 No Fly Zone and will have a chance to play spoiler there and thwart NFZ's playoff aspirations. Joe's Best Team (9-4) beats Chiraq Attack (6-7) 127.40-119.03: MVP: Joe was led by the GOAT himself as Old Man Brady led the team with 23.17 points on 326 passing yards and 3 TDs. LVP: Hunter Henry's baffling 2 point effort against the Broncos in a game the Chargers were behind early is the vote here for CA. Sit/Start Decision of the Week: CA made the right call in keeping Terry McLaurin on the bench, but getting David Montgomery and Benny Snell into the flex spots over Christian Kirk and Carlos Hyde would have won the week for them. Analysis: CA had a real "studs and duds" week, getting an average of 21.43 points from Josh Allen, Davante Adams, Miles Sanders, and Carson Wentz, and then getting an average of just 4.76 points from the seven remaining starters. Joe got another big week from Derrick Henry (22.10 points) and a really nice game from kicker Will Lutz (17 points) to drive the victory. Moving on: Joe locks down second place and a playoff spot with the win and will have a meaningless outing next week against playoff hopeful Nincompoopery. CA will take on ninth place Cheeks in a battle of hopelessness.
Chargers HC Anthony Lynn played for the Broncos from 1997-1999, winning both Super Bowls 32 and 33 with the team, and coached with the team from 2000-2002. LT Russell Okung was a member of the Broncos during the 2016 season. OG Michael Shofield was a member of the Broncos from the 2014-2016 seasons, winning Super Bowl 50 with the team. I’m sure some Broncos were on the Chargers but I ain’t looking that up!
DVOA (Defense-adjusted Value Over Average) calculates a team's success based on the down-and-distance of each play during the season, then calculates how much more or less successful each team is compared to the league average. DVOA Pass/Run Defense Rank: Team’s NFL rank in DVOA pass or run defense so far this season. #1 means best DEF against the pass/run, #32 means worst DEF against the pass/run. ATS= Against the spread DVOA from https://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/teamdef/2019
Cincinnati Bengals vs Los Angeles Rams (-13) - In London
Opp (LAR) Pass DVOA: #13 Opp (LAR) Run DVOA: #2 Injuries to Watch DEF (LAR): LB Clay Matthews (OUT) CB Troy Hill (Q) LB Bryce Hager (OUT) Injuries to Watch OFF (CIN): T Cordy Glenn (OUT) WR A.J. Green (OUT) G John Miller (Q) Key WCB matchups: None Relevant Target Share %’s (season): Tyler Boyd (26%) John Ross (19%) Auden Tate (17%) Alex Erickson (11%) Tyler Eifert (8%) Giovani Bernard (8%) Joe Mixon (7%) RB Snap %/Touches/Targets Week 7: Joe Mixon (53%, 11, 4) Giovani Bernard (47%, 6, 3) QB/WTE Breakdown Sitting at 0-7, CIN is battling MIA for the #1 pick in next year's draft. That highly anticipated matchup takes place Week 16, which is coincidentally one of the few times that all Bengals players will be in play for fantasy teams. Until then, owners should continue to leave Andy Dalton (downgrade) on the wire. Only Michael Thomas (78) and Cooper Kupp (77) have seen more targets than Tyler Boyd, so owners can continue to throw him out there as a WR3, but just temper expectations - CIN has the 3rd lowest projected point total behind MIA and WSH. Alex Erickson and Auden Tate are riskier endeavors. It was Erickson’s turn last week, as he exploded for 8-137-0 on a whopping 14 targets. Before that game, he had yet to clear 50 yards receiving or get more than 6 targets. The matchup isn’t great this week either, LAR only gives up 19 FPPG to wideouts, and that was mainly before the addition of stud CB Jalen Ramsey. Erickson could be added as a wait and see, but he’s an extremely risky start this week as it feels like owners would be chasing an anomaly. Tate is a low upside WR4, this offense isn’t moving the ball enough to support more than one receiver. RB Breakdown So this is what rock bottom feels like - 10 carries for 2 yards plus 1 catch for 2 yards… Joe Mixon (downgrade) owners have to be thanking their lucky stars that he found the endzone last week. At this point, get him out of your lineup, he needs to be benched until we see signs of life - he’s no more than an RB3. Giovani Bernard didn’t fare much better, and neither are recommended options against the Rams imposing run defense. It was recommended last week, but if you can find someone brave enough to take on Mixon, do it.
Opp (CIN) Pass DVOA: #29 Opp (CIN) Run DVOA: #28 Injuries to Watch DEF (CIN): CB Darqueze Dennard (OUT) CB Dre Kirkpatrick (OUT) DE Carl Lawson (OUT) G John Miller (Q) T Andre Smith (Q) Injuries to Watch OFF (LAR): RB Malcolm Brown (OUT) Key WCB matchups: None Relevant Target Share %’s (season): Cooper Kupp (27%) Robert Woods (20%) Brandin Cooks (15%) Gerald Everett (14%) Todd Gurley (9%) Tyler Higbee (9%) RB Snap %/Touches/Targets Week 7: Todd Gurley (61%, 19, 1) Darrell Henderson (34%, 12, 1) John Kelly (5%, 3 , 0) QB/WTE Breakdown A date against the hapless Falcons was exactly what the doctor ordered for Jared Goff (upgrade) and crew, as the Rams got their mojo back to the tune of 37 points. Yeah baby, Yeah! Next up, a tanking CIN team that can’t guard anyone - looks like the doc re-upped the prescription. The Bengals are banged up in the secondary, and even though DB William Jackson will make his return, CIN is still coughing up 21.9 FPPG to QBs and 26.8 FPPG to wideouts (league worst). Roll all of the Rams out there - Jared Goff is a top-6 QB option this week, Cooper Kupp (upgrade) is a top-5 WR. Robert Woods (upgrade) is an upside WR2, and Brandin Cooks (upgrade) is a back-end WR2. CIN has actually been decent against tight ends, only giving up 5.5 FPPG, but in the projected blowout it’s likely that Gerald Everett gets his. Fire him up as a top-10 TE. It should be another Oprah week for the Rams offense, everybody gets fantasy points! RB Breakdown Todd Gurley (upgrade) continues to see a reduced workload, as the Rams are passing more and running less. He tied his highest touch total this season last week with 19, but was unable to parlay it into an effective fantasy day. This week should be a different story as CIN is giving up a league worst 26.8 FPPG to running backs. As long as Gurley sees 15+ touches, consider him a RB1 in the great matchup - there’s a great chance he finds his way back into the endzone this week. With Malcolm Brown sitting, the door has opened for rookie Darrell Henderson as the COP behind Gurley. He’s an interesting streaming option this week, as he may see an increased workload in a positive game-script, upgrade for PPR formats. Score Prediction: Rams 38, Bengals 13
Opp (NO) Pass DVOA: #12 Opp (NO) Run DVOA: #9 Injuries to Watch DEF (NO): CB Patrick Robinson (OUT) S J.T. Gray (Q) CB P.J. Williams (SUSPENDED) Injuries to Watch OFF (ARI): RB David Johnson (Q) WR Christian Kirk (Q) Key WCB matchups: None Relevant Target Share %’s (season): Christian Kirk (22%) Larry Fitzgerald (21%) David Johnson (16%) KeeSean Johnson (13%) Damiere Byrd (11%) Pharoh Cooper (11%) Chase Edmonds (6%) RB Snap %/Touches/Targets Week 7: Chase Edmonds (95%, 29, 4) David Johnson (5%, 1 ,0) QB/WTE Breakdown The Cards took care of business in NYG last week, but it wasn’t the usual suspects that contributed for fantasy squads. Kliff Kingsbury hoodwinked fantasy managers by making David Johnson active but barely playing him, he was apparently only needed as an emergency option. The rushing game didn’t struggle in his absence, but in turn this limited Kyler Murray’s output as ARI was able to run the ball effectively enough to win. Next on deck is a Saints defense that is ranked top-12 in DVOA in against both the run and the pass. They are however, giving up 20.6 FPPG a game to quarterbacks, but that number is buoyed by the early season - the Saints secondary has only given up four passing touchdowns in the last four games, and two of those were Mitch Trubisky garbage time specials. Consider Murray a back-end QB1 this week, his floor should remain relatively safe due to his passing volume and rushing ability. Larry Fitzgerald busted last week as well, as the Cards only threw for 104 yards. Consider him a WR3, albeit with upside, as the Cardinals should be forced to throw the ball plenty to stay in the game. Christian Kirk is trending toward a GTD, so monitor that situation closely if you own him. The Saints secondary is a bit banged up, but it’s likely that he would face plenty of Marshon Lattimore on the outside, so he’s no more than a volume based WR3. None of the peripheral pass catchers are seeing the consistent volume needed to be on fantasy rosters, including tight ends, so leave them on the wire. RB Breakdown It was a frustrating week for David Johnson owners, as he was active but didn’t really play. Chase Edmonds went absolutely bonkers in his stead, putting up 126 yards on 27 carries with 3 touchdowns, adding 2-24 receiving. It was a sight to behold… on my bench. It appears that ol’ Kliff should give us more warning this time, saying DJ needs to be at 100% to play. Even if he’s declared active again this week, it’s a risky endeavor as he may be limited again, and the matchup isn’t good - NO is only giving up 12.1 FPPG to the position. Consider Edmonds a back-end RB2 regardless of DJ’s status, and consider DJ a risky flex play.
Opp (ARI) Pass DVOA: #26 Opp (ARI) Run DVOA: #26 Injuries to Watch DEF (ARI): DE Zach Allen (OUT) LB Dennis Gardeck (Q) LB Jordan Hicks (Q) LB Ezekiel Turner (Q) Injuries to Watch OFF (NO): TE Jared Cook (OUT) WR Tre’Quan Smith (OUT) QB Drew Brees (Q) RB Alvin Kamara (Q) Key WCB matchups: Michael Thomas vs. Patrick Peterson (Rotoworld) Relevant Target Share %’s (season): Michael Thomas (32%) Alvin Kamara (19%) Ted Ginn (14%) Jared Cook (13%) Josh Hill (8%) Latavius Murray (7%) RB Snap %/Touches/Targets Week 7: Latavius Murray (88%, 32, 6) Zach Zenner (11%, 2, 2) Dwayne Washington (1%, 0, 1) QB/WTE Breakdown It appears the Saints offense will be getting even better this week, as Drew Brees (upgrade) will be making his return to the lineup in advance of the Week 9 bye week. He couldn’t return for a better matchup, as ARI is giving up 22.6 FPPG to QBs (4th worst), he needs to be in all lineups. The entire offense gets an upgrade, but really this helps the peripheral pass-catchers more than stud WR Michael Thomas (upgrade). Thomas continues to be locked and loaded into your lineup as a WR1, and is a good bet to vye for the top WR finish this week. Ted Ginn (upgrade) now becomes a viable bye week streamer, as Brees is much more willing to throw the ball down field than Teddy Bridgewater was. Jared Cook is going to miss this one, a major bummer because ARI is hemorrhaging 16 FPPG to tight ends, league worst. Josh Hill makes for an interesting streamer this week, he put up 3-43-1 last week and played 68% snaps (Rotoworld). You could do worse. RB Breakdown It appears that Alvin Kamara is a true GTD, and it would make sense for NO to sit him this week as they have a bye the following week. If he’s active, you probably have to start him, but be wary, it’s a risky situation similar to DJ/Chase Edmonds last week. Latavius Murray was the bell-cow last week, handling 32 touches in Kamara’s absence. He’s an sure-fire RB1 if Kamara sits. If Kamara is active, we may see a split similar to Week 6, in which case, consider Murray a high-end RB2, and Kamara a flex play (he’s probably limited if active). Score Prediction: Saints 30, Cardinals 17
Opp (HOU) Pass DVOA: #22 Opp (HOU) Run DVOA: #5 Injuries to Watch DEF (HOU): S Tashaun Gipson (Q) CB Johnathan Joseph (Q) CB Bradley Roby (Q) Injuries to Watch OFF (OAK): OT Trenton Brown (Q) RB Josh Jacobs (Q) WR Tyrell Williams (Q) Key WCB matchups: None Relevant Target Share %’s (season): Darren Waller (26%) Tyrell Williams (19%) Hunter Renfrow (14%) Josh Jacobs (6%) RB Snap %/Touches/Targets Week 7: Josh Jacobs (56%, 24, 3) QB/WTE Breakdown The Raiders head into their Week 8 matchup against the Texans sporting a finally healthy offensive line for the first time this season. This may give Derek Carr a bit more time in the pocket to make decisions, but is unlikely to lead to a significant uptick in his downfield passing. This is projected to be the second highest scoring game of the week, so Carr isn’t the worst deep league or 2QB streamer, but can’t be trusted for a big day as he’s more game manager than gunslinger. Tyrell Williams is questionable for this one, and if he does end up suiting up would have a nice matchup against a rough pass defense in Houston giving up the third most FPPG to opposing WRs. Should Williams sit, Hunter Renfrow can be penciled in for a slightly larger workload, but he is not on the fantasy radar. Realistically, the only trustworthy fantasy option in this passing game is Darren Waller (upgrade). He should be a target hog, and is an excellent DFS target with the expected high point totals and his status as the #1 target for a QB that likes to throw short and intermediate routes consistently. RB Breakdown The healthy O-Line should really show up in the run game, and may be a big boon to Josh Jacobs outlook. The Texans rank highly in rush defense DVOA metrics, and rank middle of the pack in FPPG to RBs, so Jacobs isn’t exactly in a smash spot. It seems likely, however, that he’ll have a better chance to create plays at the second level if the line can create more of a push up front. Jacobs is currently questionable for the matchup, with beat writers noting he is expected to play (SF Chronicle). Obviously this is a situation to monitor, but it appears he will at minimum be in position to suit up and take on a decent workload. Hopefully the Raiders will up his passing game involvement another tick as he gets more comfortable in the offense and proves consistent health. Assuming he plays, Jacobs is an RB2 this week while his backups Jalen Richard and DeAndre Washington are waiver fodder as neither makes for a worthwhile handcuff. If he were to miss, both backs would get a decent workload but the split would make it hard to predict a potential streamer.
Opp (OAK) Pass DVOA: #30 Opp (OAK) Run DVOA: #11 Injuries to Watch DEF (OAK): None Injuries to Watch OFF (HOU): WR Will Fuller (OUT) OT Tytus Howard (OUT) C Greg Mancz (OUT) OT Roderich Johnson (Q) Key WCB matchups: None Relevant Target Share %’s (season): DeAndre Hopkins (29%) Will Fuller (21%) Keke Coutee (13%) Kenny Stills (12%) Duke Johnson (9%) RB Snap %/Touches/Targets Week 7: Carlos Hyde (40%, 12, 1) Duke Johnson (60%, 9, 5) QB/WTE Breakdown Houston’s up and down season continued last week with a loss to the Colts, and Deshaun Watson (upgrade) put up an underwhelming final line. Despite his inconsistencies, Watson gets a tantalizing matchup against the Raiders 30th ranked DVOA pass defense that gives up the third most FPPG to opposing QBs. He’s a top-3 matchup this week and should be in line for a huge game, assuming the Raiders can keep pace even slightly in this projected shootout. DeAndre Hopkins (upgrade) finally broke out last week with his first 100+ yard game and first TD since Week 1. With Will Fuller (hamstring) out for Sunday’s game, Hopkins has an excellent chance to be the WR1 overall this week. Keke Coutee and Kenny Stills (upgrade) will both see additional looks with Fuller sidelined as well, and are borderline WR3s despite their less than ideal target share. We especially like Kenny Stills this week: Oakland’s safeties have given up multiple huge plays to speedsters, and Stills’ matchup on the outside should be exploitable. Get Stills in your lineup, and Coutee is a consideration if you are a bit short due to byes or injuries. Jordin Akins and Darren Fells are too inconsistent to trust in lineups, there are better dart throws with higher floors even at this shallow position. RB Breakdown Neither of the Texans’ running backs were able to produce against the Colts last week, and this whole offense was a bit out of sync. While this should change for the better on Sunday, the Raiders actually have a decent rush defense (#11 DVOA and 13th most FPPG). Due to his role as the likely goal line back, Carlos Hyde (upgrade standard) is still the preferred start playing for the home favorite in a high scoring game. Treat him as a RB3 with upside this week. Duke Johnson may get a few additional looks in the pass game with the absence of Fuller, but hasn’t been given a big workload the entire season. Treat him as a low floor RB3 that would need to bust a big play to be worth starting, and gets a downgrade in non-PPR leagues. Score Prediction: Texans 28, Raiders 17
Opp (SF) Pass DVOA: #2 Opp (SF) Run DVOA: #12 Injuries to Watch DEF (SF): CB Ahkello Witherspoon (OUT) Injuries to Watch OFF (CAR): OT Greg Little (OUT) QB Cam Newton (OUT) Key WCB matchups: None Relevant Target Share %’s (season): DJ Moore (23%) Christian McCaffrey (21%) Curtis Samuel (20%) Greg Olsen (18%) RB Snap %/Touches/Targets Week 6: Christian McCaffrey (97%, 26, 5) QB/WTE Breakdown The Panthers come out of their bye to face one of the best defenses in the league to date. The Niners have the second ranked DVOA pass defense and have given up the second fewest FPPG to QBs. Cam Newton is still a week or two away, but even with another start Kyle Allen (downgrade) is not a fantasy option this week. Curtis Samuel (downgrade PPR) finally had his breakout game in Week 6, and it appears that the Panthers are starting to find more ways to use his speed to their advantage. Still, going up against such a dominant defense, owners will have to consider benching the speedster in Week 8. Samuel is capable of breaking a big play to save his fantasy day, but his floor is a bit lower than other top receivers due to his role and this matchup. He’s a WR3 that gets a slight downgrade in PPR formats. DJ Moore (downgrade) has been more consistent that Samuel this year due to his role on short and intermediate routes, but he too will face imposing boundary matchups. Even working out of the slot will be challenging, as the Niners boast of the elite slot CBs in the league, K’waun Williams (#5 graded CB PFF). Overall, it’s safest to fade this entire passing game, but owners may be forced to make tough decisions. If choosing between the two, I like Samuel’s upside to break a big play or two in this game. This will likely be a low volume passing attack, as the Niners are so run heavy it often forces grind it out type matchups. So without volume, we are chasing the big play. Samuel is the more likely of the two to hit on that. Greg Olsen (downgrade) doesn’t get an easier matchup as the Niners give up the third fewest FPPG to TEs, and he hasn’t been producing much of late. Olsen is just a TD dependent TE2 this week, and can be benched if owners have an alternative top-15 option. RB Breakdown The Niners have been no more forgiving to opposing RBs, giving up the fewest FPPG to the position. Obviously no one is benching Christian McCaffrey, but he may be someone to avoid in DFS contests this weekend. His work in the passing game will still give him one of the highest floors across the entire fantasy landscape, so owners can confidently plug him into their season-long lineups as long as they aren’t expecting another 35 point outburst.
Opp (CAR) Pass DVOA: #3 Opp (CAR) Run DVOA: #30 Injuries to Watch DEF (CAR): LB Christian Miller (OUT) Injuries to Watch OFF (SF): OT Mike McGlinchey (OUT) OT Joe Staley (D) WR Marquise Goodwin (Q) RB Raheem Moster (Q) Key WCB matchups: None Relevant Target Share %’s (season): George Kittle (25%) Deebo Samuel (15%) Marquise Goodwin (10%) Dante Pettis (10%) RB Snap %/Touches/Targets Week 7: Tevin Coleman (66%, 22, 2) Matt Breida (27%, 9, 1) QB/WTE Breakdown The Niners finally addressed their need at WR this past week by adding Emmanuel Sanders (downgrade) in exchange for draft picks. While the move does put Sanders in the lead role, rather than playing second fiddle to emerging young star Courtland Sutton, Sanders is now a part of one of the lowest volume passing attacks in the NFL. In his first week with Niners, he’ll matchup at least occasionally this weekend against stud CB James Bradberry. Consider Sanders a low-end WR3 this week while we figure out his role in this offense. The addition is a slight boost for Jimmy Garappolo (downgrade), but he just hasn’t had the volume or production to suggest being worthy of a start in 1QB leagues this week. The good news on Deebo Samuel (downgrade) is that he’s healthy. The bad news is that his volume may continue to decrease with the addition of Sanders. Samuel is at best a WR4 dart throw this weekend going up against the third ranked pass defense by DVOA metrics, and would need to hit on a long TD play to approach his ceiling. George Kittle (upgrade) has been somewhat disappointing this year for owners that invested a second or third round pick. The biggest issue is the lack of volume and the consistently positive game script for a team that is 6-0 heading into Week 8. Kittle is still an easy TE1, but won’t be putting up the gaudy statistics from last year unless the Niners unexpectedly start to struggle defensively. A matchup against the Panthers, who give up the seventh fewest FPPG to TEs, isn’t a smash spot, but perhaps the addition of Sanders actually takes some attention away from him and opens up this passing game a bit overall. RB Breakdown The Niners backfield continues to frustrate fantasy owners, not due to a lack of production, but rather due to the fact that production is spread out over too many players. Tevin Coleman (upgrade standard) was the clear lead dog last week, receiving 22 touches to Matt Breida’s (upgrade PPR) 9 touches. The Panthers give up the 11th fewest FPPG to RBs, but that may be a bit misleading as their DVOA ranking is near the bottom of the league. If Raheem Mostert (Q, knee) misses the game, it would open up a few more looks for Breida and Coleman in the passing game. For now, treat Coleman as a solid RB2 this week as a home favorite, and Breida as an RB3 with upside in PPR leagues. I like Coleman’s chances to get into the end zone this week, and see him finishing with around 12-16 points. Breida should get his fair share of looks, and finish with around 8-12 points. Neither has a high ceiling, but their floor this week is supported by the matchup and the projected game flow. Score Prediction: Niners 24, Panthers 17
Chris Harris Jr. needs one interception to become the 12th Bronco to intercept 20 passes for the franchise.
Von Miller needs one sack to pass three players into sole possession of 30th place on the NFL’s all-time sack list.
Denver became the second fastest AFL franchise to reach 500 overall wins reaching that mark in 947 games.
Phillip Lindsay is averaging 5.23 yards per rush in his career, the fourth-highest mark through 20 career games since the NFL-AFL merger (minimum 200 rushes). He had five runs of at least 10 yards last week against the Chargers after doing so only once through Week 4.
Courtland Sutton ranks 10th in the NFL in receiving (401 yards) through five weeks.
Mike Munchak spent 32 seasons with the Houston Oilers/Tennessee Titans organization both as a player and coach. Munchak spent 12 seasons as a Pro Football Hall of Fame guard with the franchise from 1982-93. After retiring as a player, Munchak returned as an offensive assistant coach (1994-96), working his way up to offensive line coach (1997-2010) and eventually taking the reins as head coach (2011-13).
Titans LB Wesley Woodyard spent six seasons as a Bronco (2008-13).
Titans P Brett Kern played 24 games for Denver from 2008-09.
Chris Harris Jr. needs one interception to become the 12th Bronco to intercept 20 passes for the franchise.
Von Miller needs one sack to pass three players into sole possession of 30th place on the NFL’s all-time sack list.
Denver became the second fastest AFL franchise to reach 500 overall wins reaching that mark in 947 games.
Phillip Lindsay is averaging 5.23 yards per rush in his career, the fourth-highest mark through 20 career games since the NFL-AFL merger (minimum 200 rushes). He had five runs of at least 10 yards last week against the Chargers after doing so only once through Week 4.
Courtland Sutton ranks 10th in the NFL in receiving (401 yards) through five weeks.
Mike Munchak spent 32 seasons with the Houston Oilers/Tennessee Titans organization both as a player and coach. Munchak spent 12 seasons as a Pro Football Hall of Fame guard with the franchise from 1982-93. After retiring as a player, Munchak returned as an offensive assistant coach (1994-96), working his way up to offensive line coach (1997-2010) and eventually taking the reins as head coach (2011-13).
Titans LB Wesley Woodyard spent six seasons as a Bronco (2008-13).
Titans P Brett Kern played 24 games for Denver from 2008-09.
Opp (WAS) Pass DVOA: #29 Opp (WAS) Run DVOA: #17 Injuries to Watch DEF (WAS): None Injuries to Watch OFF (NE): RB Rex Burkhead (out) Key WCB matchups: Josh Gordon vs. Josh Norman, Norman doesn’t follow to slot (Rotoworld) Relevant Target Share %’s (season): Julian Edelman (21%), James White (20%), Josh Gordon (18%), Phillip Dorsett (15%), Rex Burkhead (12%) RB Snap %/Touches/Targets Week 4: Sony Michel (45%, 17, 0) James White (54%, 9, 10) QB/WTE Breakdown The Patriots encountered their first challenge of 2019, but came out on top against the Bills. Tom Brady (upgrade) had one of the worst statistical games of his career, but gets a much better matchup this week against the Redskins barely there pass defense. He can be treated as a top-10 QB1 this week, although his ceiling may be limited if the Redskins are unable to keep the game even mildly competitive. Julian Edelman (upgrade) is on track to play again this week, and owners should put last week’s dud in the rear view mirror. Edelman has a solid target share, and is an excellent WR2 in PPR leagues, with only a mild downgrade in standard leagues. Josh Gordon (downgrade PPR) hasn’t lived up to the billing yet this year, and gets a somewhat challenging shadow matchup against Josh Norman. He is certainly capable of burning Norman for a big play or two, but the Patriots may not need a high passing volume to win this week. He is a boom-bust WR3, especially in PPR leagues because of his lower target share. Phillip Dorsett (upgrade) is in a great spot as a streamer or DFS play, as he will likely avoid Norman, and could easily break free for a long TD against the Redskins poorly graded coverage safeties (PFF). Consider him a WR3/4 with excellent upside this week. Benjamin Watson (stash) returns this week after a 4 game suspension, and there’s a chance he becomes a relevant TE this year in fantasy. It's impossible to project his role at this point, making him a low floor start this week, but is worth stashing for owners desperate at the position. RB Breakdown The Patriots weren’t able to get much going on offense last week, and the run game was no exception. Sony Michel (upgrade standard) only managed 63 scoreless yards, and wasn’t targeted. His lack of involvement in the passing game keeps his floor extremely low, and makes him almost unusable in PPR leagues. However, the likely positive game-flow in this one gives him an excellent chance to punch in a rushing TD and get a solid volume of carries. He’s a low-end RB2 in standard, and a RB3/flex in PPR leagues. James White (downgrade) returned to his usual role last week, rushing only once but catching multiple passes and playing over 50% of the snaps. White will need to make a big play in the pass game or convert a red zone catch into a TD to be useful this week, and his volume will likely take a hit if the Patriots take a huge first half lead. He’s a decent flex in PPR leagues, but is a risky start in standard leagues. Rex Burkhead is out this week.
Opp (NE) Pass DVOA: #1 Opp (NE) Run DVOA: #2 Injuries to Watch DEF (NE): S Patrick Chung (Q), LB Dont’a Hightower (Q) Injuries to Watch OFF (WAS): WR Terry McLaurin (Q) Key WCB matchups: Terry McLaurin vs. Stephon Gilmore (Rotoworld) Relevant Target Share %’s (season): Terry McLaurin (19%), Chris Thompson (18%), Paul Richardson (16%) RB Snap %/Touches/Targets Week 4: Adrian Peterson (39%, 11, 0) Chris Thompson (53%, 8, 5) QB/WTE Breakdown The Redskins continue to look directionless, both on the field and as a franchise. It will likely get even worse this week against arguably the best defense in the league this year. Colt McCoy (just don’t) has been volunteered as tribute this week, and will get the start over Dwane Haskins (investment protection) and Case Keenum (injury). McCoy has over performed expectations before, but it would be a miracle if he’s able to make it out of this game with fewer than 3 turnovers. Terry McLaurin (downgrade) is questionable to play this week, and even if he does suit up, he gets rewarded with a matchup against Happy Gilmore’s Island. He can’t be trusted in lineups as more than a WR4, despite his status as the clear #1 in the offense. His best hope would be to pile up yardage in garbage time, but considering he may not even play, there’s really no reason for WAS to risk their young star’s health in a blowout. All options in this passing game should be avoided, unless McLaurin is cleared of injury and an owner is in a desperate spot. RB Breakdown Washington’s offensive line is in a fierce competition for worst in the league, and the absence of All-Pro Trent Williams continues to be a huge problem. Adrian Peterson (downgrade) hasn’t been able to put together a good rushing performance this year, and is almost guaranteed to get phased out this week due to game-flow. Avoid him at all costs, especially in any PPR format. Chris Thompson (upgrade PPR) will be needed more than ever this week, especially if McLaurin is ruled out. He is the only player on the Redskins that has a reasonable case to be started, and should probably be reserved for PPR leagues. He’s the best bet to lead the Redskins in receiving this week and makes for a decent flex. Score Prediction: Patriots 27, Redskins 14
Opp (PIT) Pass DVOA: #19 Opp (PIT) Run DVOA: #20 Injuries to Watch DEF (PIT): None Injuries to Watch OFF (BAL): None Key WCB matchups: None. Steelers secondary improved with Minkah Fitzpatrick addition (Rotoworld) Relevant Target Share %’s (season): Marquise Brown (24%), Mark Andrews (23%), Willie Snead (8%) RB Snap %/Touches/Targets Week 4: Mark Ingram (46%, 13, 1) QB/WTE Breakdown Even with Cleveland’s top-2 CBs out last week, Lamar Jackson was unable to jumpstart a suddenly struggling Ravens passing game. Jackson’s rushing upside keeps his weekly floor and ceiling extremely high, so he remains a weekly elite QB1. Marquise Brown (downgrade PPR) has racked up insanely high air yardage totals this season, but has been equally inefficient with potential yards. Some of this is due to Jackson’s inaccuracy the past two weeks, but some can also be chalked up to rookie inconsistencies and the fact that Brown’s usage has yet to expand beyond lower percentage throws. Brown can blow up on any given week, and has a potentially exploitable matchup against Joe Haden, but the Steelers defense has been much improved against the pass since adding Minkah Fitzpatrick. Consider Brown an upside WR2/3 this week, with a downgrade in PPR leagues in this run first offense. Mark Andrews (upgrade) has been taken off the injury report, and is due for a big game. The Steelers have been middle of the pack against TEs, but Andrews involvement in the red zone and overall volume make him a top 6 TE again this week. No other Baltimore pass catchers have the volume to be trusted in lineups. RB Breakdown The Ravens haven’t given Mark Ingram (upgrade) workhorse level volume this year, but he has made the most of his touches. The Steelers aren’t elite against the run, and will get plenty of opportunities to rack up the points in likely positive game flow. Somewhat surprisingly, Ingram has been elite in both of his road games, and has put up duds at home both weeks. It’s a small sample size, but perhaps the trend is partly due to the Ravens added commitment to the run when in hostile territory. On the road again this week, and with the Ravens Vegas line favorites, consider him a low-end RB1 with a high floor due to his all around usage (red zone and pass game). Gus Edwards appears to be the primary handcuff to Ingram because of his early down usage, but if Ingram were to get injured, Justice Hill would likely get a bigger role as well. Neither is useful outside of extremely deep leagues at this point.
Opp (BAL) Pass DVOA: #25 Opp (BAL) Run DVOA: #28 Injuries to Watch DEF (BAL): CB Jimmy Smith (out), DT Brandon Williams (Q) Injuries to Watch OFF (PIT): WR Juju Smith Schuster (Q), TE Vance McDonald (Q) Key WCB matchups: None (Rotoworld), Ravens secondary banged up Relevant Target Share %’s (season): Juju Smith-Schuster (19%), Dionte Johnson (15%), James Conner (14%), Vance McDonald (12%), Jaylen Samuels (10%) RB Snap %/Touches/Targets Week 4: James Conner (68%, 18, 8) Jaylen Samuels (26%, 18, 8) QB/WTE Breakdown The post Big Ben era has gotten off to a rocky start, and the Steelers have yet to take the training wheels off of Mason Rudolph (downgrade). His incredibly low average depth of target is holding back every WR and TE option in this offense for the time being, including last year’s breakout star Juju Smith-Schuster. The lack of downfield passing has hurt him the past few weeks, and with the Steelers running all kinds of gimmicky formations to limit Rudolph’s exposure, it’s hard to project a significant increase in volume coming soon. However, this week’s matchup against a banged up Baltimore secondary and explosive offense may be just the script that Juju needs to produce. Consider him a low-end WR2 this week, albeit with upside if the Steelers get down big and are forced to throw. Dionte Johnson has scored a TD in back to back weeks, but both have been on somewhat fluky plays. His low target share in an offense that is taking very few shots downfield keeps him in the dart throw WR4 area. Vance McDonald is questionable to play after missing last week, and his backup Nick Vannett is not a fantasy option. If McDonald does play, he would be on the TE1/2 borderline but should get a decent target share of short to intermediate throws. Ideally, all options in this passing game should be avoided, but Juju will likely need to be in lineups considering where owners drafted him. With his talent, it only takes one play for him to payoff. RB Breakdown The Steelers game plan last week to beat the hapless Bengals was to basically have their QB do as little as possible. They lined up James Conner (upgrade) and Jaylen Samuels (stash) in the backfield together at times, and even had Samuels throw a few short pop passes to Conner on motion plays. Conner’s carry volume in the positive game script was not as high as owners would like, but his involvement in the passing game should translate to this week’s likely negative game-flow matchup against the Ravens. If the Ravens are without nose tackle Brandon Wililams this week, it would be a further upgrade to his matchup. Conner has been removed from the injury report after a full practice on Thursday, so all systems are go for him to be fired up as a solid RB2, especially in PPR leagues. Samuels is a tough start with Conner fully healthy, but he could still get 10-15 touches. Consider him a low-end flex, worth starting in deep PPR leagues potentially, but keep him stashed in all leagues. Score Prediction: Ravens 28, Steelers 17
Opp (OAK) Pass DVOA: #27 Opp (OAK) Run DVOA: #9 Injuries to Watch DEF (OAK): DE Clelin Ferrel (Q), Vontaze Burfict (out for year) Injuries to Watch OFF (CHI): WR Taylor Gabriel (out) Key WCB matchups: None (Rotoworld) Relevant Target Share %’s (season): Allen Robinson (25%), Tarik Cohen (18%), Trey Burton (12%), David Montgomery (9%). RB Snap %/Touches/Targets Week 4: David Montgomery (69%, 24, 5 Tarik Cohen (39%, 7, 5) QB/WTE Breakdown The question hanging over the Bears right now is whether Mitchell Trubisky’s (out, shoulder) injury actually makes this offense better in the short term. Chase Daniel has been confirmed as the Week 5 starter after playing most of last week’s game in relief of an injured Trubisky, and was able to acquit himself decently well. He is not a fantasy option outside of deep 2 QB leagues because of this offense’s overall lack of production, but he should keep the main weapons viable and possibly even be a slight upgrade. Allen Robinson (upgrade PPR) got 23% of Daniel’s Week 4 targets, and should be given a slight upgrade considering the poor play and lack of depth in the Oakland secondary. Consider him on the WR2/3 borderline. Taylor Gabriel is out again this week due to his Week 3 concussion, so Anthony Miller may get a few more targets than usual. Considering he only saw 2 targets from Daniel last week, it’s tough to put him anywhere higher than a WR4/5 dart throw, especially in this low volume offense. Trey Burton (upgrade PPR) did get 4 targets from Daniels, and appears back to full health. The Raiders have given up the 5th most FPPG to opposing TEs, so this could be a week he racks up 5+ catches for 50+ yards. He’s more of a high-end TE2 due to the uncertainty of targets, but makes for a somewhat appealing streamer for those looking for a decently high floor that are ok with a low ceiling. RB Breakdown The shift to a full workload for David Montgomery (upgrade) continued last week, as he received 21 carries and caught 3 passes. His efficiency has been continually poor this year, but it’s not clear if that is due to his vision and burst, or more to poor offensive line play. Although the Raiders have been stout against the run, the absence of Vontaze Burfict (longest suspension for on-field actions in NFL history) is a slight downgrade to their rush defense. The Bears’ defense should put Montgomery in position to work with a short field and neutral or positive game-script for much of the day, so he could be coming for somewhat of a breakout week. Consider him a RB2 with a solid floor (due to receiving work), that could hit the endzone at least once if the Bears get a lead. Tarik Cohen (downgrade) surprisingly was faded out of the game plan almost entirely last week, getting only one carry turning his 5 targets into three catches for 7 yards. He was able to get into the endzone on one of his catches, but aside from that was very quiet. Cohen is a roll of the dice flex in PPR leagues, but this doesn’t project as a week the Bears will be working from behind so he’s generally less appealing, especially in non-PPR leagues.
Opp (CHI) Pass DVOA: #6 Opp (CHI) Run DVOA: #3 Injuries to Watch DEF (CHI): DT Akiem Hicks (Q) Injuries to Watch OFF (OAK): WR Tyrell Williams (Q), OL Richie Incognito (Q), WR J.J. Nelson (Q) Key WCB matchups: None, Bears lock down opposing WRs (Rotoworld) Relevant Target Share %’s (season): Darren Waller (29%), Tyrell Williams (19%), J.J. Nelson (15%), Josh Jacobs (4%) RB Snap %/Touches/Targets Week 4: Josh Jacobs (54%, 19, 2)
Similar to last year, the Raiders got off to a great start by winning Week 1 and have since faded massively. Derek Carr (downgrade) has been his normal dink and dunk self, and isn’t taking enough shots downfield to bring any kind of fantasy relevance. This week’s matchup against the Bears dominating defense makes him unusable even in 2 QB leagues. Tyrell Williams (downgrade) is questionable to play, and even if he suits up makes for more of a WR4 considering the potency of the Bears secondary. Darren Waller (upgrade PPR) is likely the only member of the Raiders offense that owners can start somewhat confidently, as he has caught 6+ passes in every game this year. The Bears are only middle of the road against opposing TEs, and given the pressure Carr will face all game long, Waller will see at least 6-8 targets. He is a must start mid-level TE1 because of his high floor in PPR formats, but can be benched in standard formats if owners have an alternative TE1 option with a better matchup.
Despite Jon Gruden’s continued insistence that the Raiders want to involve Josh Jacobs (downgrade) more in the passing game, it has yet to really materialize. He hasn’t gone over 2 targets in a game yet this year, and his snap %’s have hovered around 50% the past three weeks. The Chicago front seven has been truly elite against the run, and considering the Raiders have one of the lower implied point totals on the week, he is a poor bet for a TD. His lack of pass game involvement also lowers his floor, which means he has to be viewed as more RB3 than RB2 in this incredibly tough matchup. Owners may have no choice but to start him, but do so knowing full well that the outlook is not very promising. Jalen Richard and Deandre Washington are far off the fantasy radar, and neither makes for a great handcuff. Score Prediction: Bears 21, Raiders 13
Opp (LAC) Pass DVOA: #30 Opp (LAC) Run DVOA: #21 Injuries to Watch DEF (LAC): DE Melvin Ingram, S Nasir Adderley, LB Thomas Davis Injuries to Watch OFF (DEN): T Ja’Wuan James Key WCB matchups: Cpurtland Sutton vs. Casey Hayward (Rotoworld) Relevant Target Share %’s (season): Emmanuel Sanders (23%), Courtland Sutton (21%), Phillip Lindsay (13%), Royce Freeman (13%), DaeSean Hamilton (13%) RB Snap %/Touches/Targets Week 4: Royce Freeman (58%, 10, 6), Phillip Lindsay (42%, 10, 1) QB/WTE Breakdown Sitting at 0-4, the Broncos are essentially out of playoff contention - the 1992 Chargers are the only team to make the postseason after starting winless through four weeks since the NFL expanded the playoffs in 1990 (NFL.com). Joe Flacco put up a respectable 303 yards passing and tossed 3 scores, but avoid him in fantasy. This lead to Emmanuel Sanders (upgrade PPR) and Courtland Sutton (downgrade) both having great days in the losing effort. Really, this Broncos team isn’t as bad as their record would indicate, they’ve given up two game winning field goals at home in the final seconds, truly heartbreaking, but such is life in the weekly grind of the NFL. Look for both Sanders and Sutton to remain WR2’s moving forward, but the matchup for Sutton this week is one that should be avoided if possible. He’s going up against Chargers stud CB Casey Hayward, a matchup that Hayward has dominated in the past (Rotoworld). The Chargers PASS DVOA numbers don’t reflect the secondary we expected, but seeing as they’ve been hit with the injury apocalypse to start the season, it makes sense. Outside of the safety position (the Chargers have lost multiple safeties for the season), the Bolts look to be getting healthy in the secondary, and this looks like a spot to avoid the Denver passing game if possible. Noah Fant caught his first touchdown last week and the Chargers give up 9.4 FPPG to tight ends; so he’s on the streaming radar as a TE2. RB Breakdown Phillip Lindsay (upgrade) and Royce Freeman (upgrade) continue to split work evenly, but not in the way some would expect. Rather than each having a clear role in a facet of the game (running/passing), they are operating as the clear lead back while in the game and rotating in shifts. This has lead to unpredictable production from both and it’s impossible to predict which one will be on the field when Denver puts together a drive. Both should be considered low-end RB2’s this week - the Bolts are giving up 17.1 FPPG to running backs and have not been strong against the run this year.
Opp (DEN) Pass DVOA: #28 Opp (DEN) Run DVOA: #26 Injuries to Watch DEF (DEN): DB Kareem Jackson (expected to play), ILB Josey Jewell Injuries to Watch OFF (LAC): WR Dontrell Inman (IR), WR Travis Benjamin, WR Mike Williams (expected to play) Key WCB matchups: Keenan Allen vs. Chris Harris Jr. (Rotoworld) Relevant Target Share %’s (season): Keenan Allen (32%), Austin Ekeler (17%), Mike Williams (13%) RB Snap %/Touches/Targets Week 4: Austin Ekeler (63%, 23, 5), Troymaine Pope (37%, 12, 2) QB/WTE Breakdown It’s impossible to read into last weeks dismantling of the Dolphins by the Chargers, heck, even Tyrod Taylor got into the game. Philip Rivers is the definition of consistency, throwing between 293 yards and 333 in every game this year. He’s a back-end QB1 and his appeal is in the high floor, not the low ceiling. The Bolts receiving corps has also been hit by the injury Armageddon; Dontrell Inman was placed on the IR with a quad injury suffered last week, and both Mike Williams and Travis Benjamin are dealing with respective ailments. Keenan Allen should continue to soak up massive amounts of targets, but his date with CB Chris Harris Jr. is not desirable. The volume should at least guarantee a high floor and Allen remains a WR1. Mike Williams looks to be ready to return this week, and could see a large piece of the target share pie if fully healthy - he’s a WR3 with upside, we just don’t know what his role in the passing game will be or if he’ll be limited. The absence of any red zone threat tight end makes Williams even more appealing - the Bolts are also dealing with a myriad of injuries at tight end. Lance Kendricks was the only healthy tight end on the roster at the end of Sunday’s game against the Fin’s (latimes.com), and he wasn’t a Charger two weeks ago. RB Breakdown Melvin Gordon is back. Or is he? Turns out he wasn’t needed after all Sunday and he didn’t even see one snap. Sounds like he’s going to be eased back into gameshape, but can we really believe coach speak at this point… Austin Ekeler (upgrade) will still be extremely involved, if not as a running back, but as a wideout. Consider both RB2s, but give the edge to Ekeler - we know for sure that he’ll see consistent volume. Score Prediction: Broncos 21, Chargers 20
Opp (DAL) Pass DVOA: #14 Opp (DAL) Run DVOA: #14 Injuries to Watch DEF (DAL): DT Antwaun Woods (questionable), DT Tyrone Crawford (questionable) Injuries to Watch OFF (GB): WR Devante Adams (out), RB Jamaal Williams (out) Key WCB matchups: None Relevant Target Share %’s (season): Davante Adams (25%), Marquez Valdes-Scantling (19%), Aaron Jones (10%), Jimmy Graham (11%) Geronimo Allison (9%) RB Snap %/Touches/Targets Week 4: Aaron Jones (99%, 19, 7), Jamaal Williams - left game INJ (1%, 1, 1) QB/WTE Breakdown Devante Adams (out-toe) was given the doubtful tag for the matchup against Dallas early in the week after leaving TNF, throwing doubt on his availability in the short term moving forward. His absence leaves 25% of Aaron Rodgers targets up for grabs and the likely bet is that Geronimo Allison (upgrade) and Jimmy Graham (upgrade) will assume larger roles this week. Marquez Valdez-Scantling also receives a small upgrade and is the preferred play of the wideouts, but he is already assuming 19% of the target share. Dallas’ defense, although ranking right in the middle in terms of DVOA, is only giving up 12.6 FPPG to quarterbacks and 17.4 FPPG to wideouts so far, top-5 in the NFL. The real issue for Rodgers and his pass catchers is the amount of opportunity they’ll see - Dallas ranks 20th in pace of play (footballoutsiders) and will look to limit Packer possessions by establishing the run. Rodgers is a back-end QB1, but keep expectations tempered considering the tough road matchup without his number one target. MVS can be treated as a solid WR2 this week, while Allison is a feast-or-famine WR3. Jimmy draws the best matchup on paper and appears to be fully healthy after seeing 71% of snaps in Week 4 with 9 targets. After Adams left with his injury, Graham was targeted three times in a row (NFL.com) showing that he may become the primary target sans the star receiver. His floor is still scary low, but he’s a low-end TE1 in a good matchup this week. RB Breakdown Jamaal Williams (out) remains out after taking a huge hit against the Eagles last week. Aaron Jones (upgrade PPR) assumed an every down role after Williams left, but only managed 21 yards on 13 carries against the Eagles menacing front 7, salvaging his fantasy line by finding pay dirt. The matchup against the Cowboys doesn’t get any easier as they are only giving up 14.8 FPPG to running backs. The encouraging takeaway from the week before was that Jones was heavily involved in the passing game, receiving 7 targets. If the every down role continues in Williams’ absence along with the passing game usage, Jones will establish a higher weekly floor for owners and become game-script proof. Treat him as a high-end RB2 this week.
Opp (GB) Pass DVOA: #5 Opp (GB) Run DVOA: #27 Injuries to Watch DEF (GB): CB Kevin King (doubtful), LB Oren Burks (questionable), LB Kyler Fackrell (doubtful), DL Montravius Adams (questionable) Injuries to Watch OFF (DAL): OT Tyron Smith (out), OT La’el Collins (questionable), WR Michael Gallup (expected to play) Key WCB matchups: Amari Cooper vs. Jaire Alexander (Rotoworld) Relevant Target Share %’s (season): Michael Gallup (24%), Amari Cooper (23%), Randall Cobb (17%), Jason Witten (13%), Ezekiel Elliot (11%) RB Snap %/Touches/Targets Week 4: Ezekiel Elliot (96%, 24, 7), Tony Pollard (4%, 0, 0) QB/WTE Breakdown Dak Prescott has become a top-3 fantasy quarterback seemingly overnight playing for a new contract. The Packers tough secondary may be his toughest test yet, but he gets emerging receiver Michael Gallup back, and Green Bay may be without CB Kevin King (upgraded to questionable today) who graded out as their best corner in Week 4 (PFF). Prescott is a QB1 per usual, but the Cowboys may look to run the ball against a weak run defense (27.6 FPPG to running backs), just like the Eagles did the week before - limiting Prescott’s upside. Interestingly, in Week 4, emerging Green Bay stud CB Jaire Alexander did not shadow Alshon Jeffery as expected, and it remains to be seen if that was due to Alshon being a slower, big body receiver (Rotoworld), or if the Packers are choosing not to deploy him in shadow coverage. Amari Cooper (downgrade) is expected to draw Alexander in coverage, but even if he doesn’t, Kevin King slowed down Alshon to a 3-38-1 line. The matchup and gameplan should work against the Cowboys passing game this week, plus their starting LT is expected to be out. Michael Gallup is a feast-or-famine WR4 in a bad matchup, owners should wait and see that he’s healthy before deploying him. Devin Smith will be relegated to a role player with the return of Gallup and isn’t an option. Jason Witten continues to turn back the clock, receiving 4 targets every week as Dallas continues to feed him the rock. He’s emerging as a low-end TE1, albeit one without much upside. RB Breakdown Ezekiel Elliot is top running back option and this week is no different. The blueprint that the Eagles established to beat the Packers last week will likely be replicated by the Cowboys, setting Zeke up to eat. Tony Pollard is no more than a handcuff. Score Prediction: Packers 20, Cowboys 17
Opp (KC) Pass DVOA: #9 Opp (KC) Run DVOA: #31 Injuries to Watch DEF (KC): LB Dorian O’Daniel (out) Injuries to Watch OFF (IND): WR Parris Campbell (out), T.Y. Hilton (questionable), Marlon Mack (expected to play) Key WCB matchups: None Relevant Target Share %’s (season): T.Y. Hilton (27%), Devin Funchess (19%), Eric Ebron (12%), Jack Doyle (12%), Nyheim Hines (12%) RB Snap %/Touches/Targets Week 4: Marlon Mack (35%, 11, 0), Nyheim Hines (44%, 9, 6), Jordan Wilkins (21%, 4, 1) QB/WTE Breakdown It’s safe to wonder after a home loss to the Raiders if the Colts are a different team without T.Y. Hilton. Regardless, the passing attack is going to need to perform this week likely without Hilton; the Chiefs will score their usual 35 points. Jacoby Brissett while solid so far, wasn’t expected to be an option for 1QB leagues. Surprisingly, through four games he’s got the 9th most points for the position,- and will continue to score points this week as he will need to throw 40+ times to keep up with the potent KC offense - he’s a back-end QB1. T.Y. Hilton is looking extremely iffy to play, and coach Frank Reich has even admitted that the Colts Week 6 bye is factoring into their decision on whether or not to play the star wideout; it looks like Hilton will most likely sit. This game carries easily the highest projected point total of the week and someone will need to catch the ball for Indy. Zach Pascal is coming off of back to back weeks with either 70 yards or a touchdown, his status as a WR3 is completely dependent on Hilton’s health. Deon Cain and Chester Rodgers have also seen similar snap counts and target share in the absence of Hilton, and it’s really anyone’s guess who will produce. Pascal seems like the best bet considering the past few games. Eric Ebron and Jack Doyle also saw a similar amount of targets last week as the wideouts and really, the whole situation should be avoided outside of Brissett if possible. RB Breakdown Marlon Mack was unable to return in the second half against the Raiders with an ankle injury, but is expected to play this week. The Chiefs have been weak against the run, but it may not matter - most weeks Mahomes is able to build a lead so the opposing team has to abandon the run altogether. Consider Mack a game-script dependent RB2 in a good matchup. It’s looking like this could be a Nyheim Hines upgrade PPR) week if there ever was one. He will be on the field when the Colts face negative game-flow and could see an uptick in targets this week. Consider him a back-end flex option that receives an upgrade in full PPR formats.
Opp (IND) Pass DVOA: #9 Opp (IND) Run DVOA: #32 Injuries to Watch DEF (IND): S Malik Hooker (out), LB Darius Leonard (out), DE Tyquan Lewis (out), S Rolan Milligan (questionable), LB Anthony Walker (questionable), CB Rock Ya-Sin (questionable) Injuries to Watch OFF (KC): WR Tyreek Hill (out), WR Sammy Watkins (questionable), T Eric Fisher (out) Key WCB matchups: None Relevant Target Share %’s (season): Sammy Watkins (24%), Travis Kelce (21%), Damien Williams (14%), Demarcus Robinson (13%), Mecole Hardman (11%), Darrell Williams (11%), LeSean McCoy (7%) RB Snap %/Touches/Targets Week 4: LeSean McCoy (45%, 13, 4) Darrell Williams (50%, 11, 4) Darwin Thompson (5%, 0, 0) QB/WTE Breakdown The Lions finally gave the Chiefs a game in Week 4, but Patrick Mahomes did P-Mahomey things to win, getting it done with his legs this time. Mahomes is the QB1 regardless of matchup, however, going against a weak run defense and a stingy secondary (although banged up) it would seem like the Chiefs may opt to run the ball a bit more..or not. Mahomes can never be counted out and it doesn’t seem like matchups matter to Andy Ried - Kansas City seems to move the ball however they want to. Tyreek Hill (out) is set to miss another game, but surprisingly (is it?) Sammy Watkins has popped up on the injury report as questionable. Monitor his status, but if he is unable to go then Mecole Hardman and Demarcus Robinson would both receive a bump in usage. Hardman demonstrated his extremely low floor last week, actually receiving negative fantasy points due to a lost fumble. Both are big play dependent WR3/4’s. Travis Kelce continues his assault on the league, clearing 80 yards in every game so far. He only has one touchdown on the year and that will probably change in a hurry. He’s a good bet for some positive touchdown regression this week, fire him up as the overall TE1. RB Breakdown Damien Williams is set to return after missing the last couple with a knee injury. He’s expected to mix in with LeSean McCoy, bumping Darrell Williams back to the bench and fading Darwin Thompson back into obscurity. It’s anyone's guess who receives the lion's share of touches, but based on Week 1, it seems like McCoy will be deployed as purely a runner while Williams will be the pass-catching back. Both offer immense upside against a defense ranked dead last against the run and hemorrhaging 20.5 FPPG to running backs. Williams and LeSean should both be considered solid RB2s. Score Prediction: Chiefs 34, Colts 24
Opp (SF) Pass DVOA: #2 Opp (SF) Run DVOA: #6 Injuries to Watch DEF (SF): DE Dee Ford (DNP) Injuries to Watch OFF (CLE): WR Jarvis Landry (likely to play), TE David Njoku (out) Key WCB matchups: None, Richard Sherman hasn’t shadowed WRs with SF (Rotoworld) Relevant Target Share %’s (season): Odell Beckham Jr. (26%), Jarvis Landry (24%), Nick Chubb (14%), David Njoku (10%), Ricky Seals-Jones (7%) RB Snap %/Touches/Targets Week 4: Nick Chubb (64%, 23, 4) Dontrell Hilliard (36%, 8, 3) QB/WTE Breakdown Week 4 was a welcome sight for Browns’ fans and fantasy owners alike, as the offense came alive in a beatdown of a solid Ravens team on the road. The formula for success was to give Nick Chubb a huge workload, while getting the ball out of Baker Mayfield’s (downgrade) hands on quick routes. Mayfield hasn’t had the time in the pocket to throw for almost any long downfield completions, but his 17 fantasy points last week represented a season high. As long as the O-Line remains a problem his ceiling will be capped in what should be a run and short pass oriented offense going forward. This week’s matchup against a stout Niners passing defense will be a real test not only for the Browns but also to find out if the SF secondary is for real. Mayfield is just outside the QB1 ranks this week, and can be benched for alternative options, but his weapons keep him in the mix for 15+ points again this week. Odell Beckham Jr. (upgrade) only caught two passes for 20 yards last week, while watching his teammate Jarvis Landry (downgrade standard) go off for a season high 167 yards. Beckham is unlikely to face shadow coverage, and should have a solid matchup against Emmanuel Mosley (2018 UDFA). Look for Mayfield to get Beckham rolling this week early and often, and he can be treated as a borderline WR1 based on talent alone. Landry needs volume to reach his ceiling, but does have a great floor in PPR, especially with the need for short passes behind this shoddy line. His projected matchup with SF’s stud slot CB K’waun Williams is a slight concern, so he’s only a WR3 in PPR with a slight downgrade in standard. He has cleared the concussion protocol and practiced in full on Friday, so if you need him, he’ll be good to go on Monday night. RB Breakdown Head Coach Freddie Kitchens said after Week 2 that he “would love to get (Chubb) more touches”, and has managed to make it happen the past two weeks. Nick Chubb (upgrade) ran hard last week into a weak Ravens front seven, and ended with a monster line. The Niners have a better rush DVOA than Baltimore, but Chubb’s volume keeps him in the RB1 slot with ease at this point. We aren’t sure exactly who Kitchens had to ask to get Chubb more touches (Chubb’s parents maybe?), but we can only hope that the permission slip isn’t rescinded any time soon. Backup Dontrell Hilliard is a weak handcuff with Kareem Hunt due back in a few weeks, so if you must roster one of them make it Hunt.
Opp (CLE) Pass DVOA: #7 Opp (CLE) Run DVOA: #19 Injuries to Watch DEF (CLE): CB Greedy Williams (Q, unlikely to play), CB Denzel Ward (out), S Morgan Burnett (Q, likely to play) Injuries to Watch OFF (SF): RB Tevin Coleman (questionable) Key WCB matchups: None (Rotoworld) Relevant Target Share %’s (season): George Kittle (25%), Deebo Samuel (16%), Marquise Goodwin (9%), Tevin Coleman (11%), Matt Breida (6%) RB Snap %/Touches/Targets Week 3: Matt Breida (41%, 16, 3) Raheem Mostert (30%, 12, 1) QB/WTE Breakdown Kyle Shanahan is riding high at 3-0 coming off of an early bye week. His offense hasn’t been flawless through three games, but has done enough to keep a few weapons valuable. In the passing game, Jimmy Garappolo (downgrade) continues to struggle with turnovers (3 in Week 3) but makes plays when his weapons are schemed into space properly. His ceiling is extremely low in this run heavy offense, so he isn’t an option except in deep 2 QB leagues. Deebo Samuel has been Jimmy G’s preferred target so far this season, and Samuel’s 16% target share makes him a risky week to week proposition. He’ll take aim at an injured Browns secondary this week, but after watching the backups hold the Rams and Ravens receivers to mostly poor lines the last two weeks, it’s hard to get overly excited about Samuel’s potential. There just isn’t enough volume to sustain multiple fantasy relevant WRs most weeks, and much like the run game, Shanahan tends not to have one WR get a high majority of the work. He’s a WR4 with upside based on his speed. George Kittle is an obvious TE1, and is due for some positive TD regression after barely missing and/or having a few wiped out due to penalty. Expect him to hit soon, and don’t even think about benching him. Dante Pettis has been mostly phased out, so unless you think he’s just on timeout for missing bedtime and will return to a full snap count soon, he’s not a start in any depth of league. RB Breakdown One of the more frustrating backfields to predict this season, the Niners have managed to force fantasy owners to pick up potentially four different running backs this season. That’s kind of rude honestly. Tevin Coleman is tentatively expected to return from injury this week, and will likely get a few early down carries and a sprinkle of targets, but should be stashed not started this week. The Browns are vulnerable to the run, but unless you recently found a new car with no license plates and the keys in the ignition, starting Coleman this week seems unwise. Matt Breida is probably the safest option considering his swiss army like usage and his 41% snap count in a tight Week 3 game keep him in the flex range. Raheem Mostert (stash) is likely relegated to 5-8 touch COP work, and Jeff Wilson should only be owned in leagues that don’t count yardage. Ideally this backfield is one to avoid entirely, but owners in desperate need can roll with Breida and expect something in the range of 7-12 points. Score Prediction: Browns 21, Niners 17
2019.10.02 20:42 PotRoastBoobsWeek 5 Weekly Thread: Broncos vs. Chargers
Maybe changing the name of this thread will help the Broncos win a football game... The Denver Broncos (0-4) play the Los Angeles Chargers (2-2) on Sunday, October 6 at 2:05 p.m. MDT at Dignity Health Sports Park in Carson, California. Line LAC -6.5 O/U: 44.5 Weather 78 degrees Sunny TV/Radio TV: CBS (Jim Nantz, Tony Romo, Tracy Wolfson) Local Radio: KOA – 850 AM/94.1 FM and The Fox – 103.5 FM (Dave Logan, Rick Lewis, Susie Wargin) Game Notes/Milestones
The Broncos have won 11 of the last 15 regular-season meetings in the series, after the Chargers had gone 9-2 versus Denver between 2006 and 2011. In 2018, the teams split two sloppy contests that produced a total of 10 turnovers, 38 penalties and seven fumbles.
Denver has dropped eight straight games dating back to last December; a loss on Sunday would mark just the third time the Broncos have ever lost as many as nine straight contests. The team is also in danger of starting a season 0-5 for the first time in its 60-year existence.
The Chargers have the No. 3 passing offensive in the NFL at 300.3 net yards per game; they also rank in the top five in the league in average time of possession, yards per play, plays of 20-plus yards and third-down efficiency. Yet LAC is only 14th in scoring, averaging 22.5 points per game.
Led by Ekeler's 24 catches for 270 yards, the Chargers lead all teams in receiving totals from their running backs: 34 receptions for 321 yards and four touchdowns. Denver's defense has allowed only 11 receptions by running backs in 2019 -- fewest in the NFL.
Broncos have a 65-52-1 all-time record against the Chargers. They won their last matchup against the Chargers on the road 23-22 on November 18, 2018.
Broncos are seeking to become the sixth team since its inaugural season in 1960 to reach 500 overall wins
Von Miller became the sixth-fastest player to reach 100 career regular-season sacks with his 25th career multi-sack game vs. Jaguars
Emmanuel Sanders moved past Lionel Taylor for fourth on the team’s all-time 100-yard receiving games list
Courtland Sutton became the fourth Bronco to reach 1,000 career receiving yards by his 20th game
Broncos and Chargers Team Connections
Broncos LB Jeremiah Attaochu played four seasons for the Chargers (2014-17).
Chargers TE Virgil Green played seven seasons for the Broncos (2011-17) and was a member of the Broncos Super Bowl 50 championship team.
Chargers G/T Michael Schofield played three seasons for the Broncos (2014-16) and was a member of the Broncos Super Bowl 50 championship team.
Chargers T Russell Okung played one season for the Broncos (2016).
Chargers HC Anthony Lynn played five seasons for the Broncos (1993-94, 1997-99) and was a member of the back-to-back Super Bowl championship teams. Lynn got his coaching start with the Broncos as an assistant from 2000-02.
Chargers LB coach Richard Smith spent eight seasons as a special teams/linebackers coach for the Broncos (1993-96, 2011-14).
Chargers assistant STC Keith Burns played 11 seasons for the Broncos (1994-98, 2000-03, 2005-06) and was an assistant coach for the Broncos for six seasons (2007-12). Burns was a member of the back-to-back Super Bowl championship teams.
Chargers DB coach Ron Milus coached five seasons for the Broncos (2000-02, 2011-12).
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